DON'T PANIC
[Ed. Since SnP and I haven't been able to bring ourselves to optimism, I think we could all benefit from McCleak's offering.]
With all the doom and gloom surrounding the Wolves, I thought it would behoove someone to point out why the sky isn't falling. Since the rest of the Wolves fanbase is tuned out, trading Mike Miller, trading Al Jefferson, imagining an owner savvy enough to fire McHale, or hoping that the Target Center burns down so that we can sow its ashes with salt, bury them at sea, and never again speak the word "basketball" in the Twin Cities again, I guess it has to be me. So here's some observations/problems, and the solutions (or lack thereof).
1) Rebounding: The Wolves are one of the worst rebouding teams in the NBA right now. They've only grabbed 47.6% of possible rebounds so far this season. The Wolves have 5 players who are above average at rebounding (six if you think of Gomes as a SF), and those 5/6 have received the most minutes this season. What does it mean? Partly I think it's a reflection of how bad the Wolves have started out of the gate, partly I think it's the bad, bad rotations that Wittman throws on the floor. If your front line is Smith/Gomes/Miller, you're going to lose a lot of rebound opportunities, pure and simple. Now a Jefferson/Love/Gomes, on the other hand...
2) Three-point shots: A lot has been made of this already, but the Wolves absolutely need to get behind the line more often. They have taken 15.1 3PA a game this season, which is 23rd in the Association. Now, this is a team with 3 players who shot over 40% last season, which is fairly august company, putting the Wolves up with the Lakers, the Magic, and the Raptors. Interestingly, only the Magic seem to be embracing the long ball, as the Lakes and the Raptors are shooting 16.6 and 15.6 threes per game. In any case, the Wolves must embrace their destiny as former employers of Juwan Howard and bombing. Anything less than 20 per game is a disappointment. And once they do this, expect them to start winning a little bit more.
3) Cohesiveness: This team doesn't seem to have any idea of how to play in the units that are being thrown out on the court. This is Wittman's fault and needs to end now, today, immediately, this second, etc. The Wolves have 11 players with over 10 minutes a game, and 9 players with over 90 minutes of playing time, meaning they played over 10 minutes a game for every game the Wolves played, not just their own. This is disgusting/asinine/idiotic/laughable/fill in the adjective. Of the top of my head, a recommended rotation going forward: Foye and Telfair at the point; Brewer, McCants, and Miller at the two; Brewer, Gomes, and Miller at the three; Jefferson and Love at the four; Collins and Jefferson at the five. That's nine players, all with definable, usable abilities that can be mixed and matched on the court, if you have a coach that knows what he's doing.
Now, a couple of suggestions:
1) Trade Craig Smith: Craig Smith is a very good player, a nice guy, someone who has had two of the best nicknames ever on the Wolves, and is utterly wrong for this team. When Al Jefferson's on the floor he doesn't have enough space to work, and the defense is just a sieve, as it is with everyone (to be fair, he hasn't had a chance to go with Collins, who might be a perfect fit for him as an inside partner). But why keep a guy who is, at best, redundant? Trade him to Chicago, who would sell their own mothers for an inside scorer. Trade him to Boston and let him pair up with Kevin Garnett, who is the epitome of the perfect inside partner for Smith. Send him to the mad scientist lab in San Francisco, or the hippie lab in LA. The point is, he's an inexpensive, short contract and a very good role player. The Wolves should either be able to get a pick and an expiring contract back, or they could bundle him with Cardinal's Not-As-Bad-As-People-Say contract and ship to someplace like, say, Indiana. The point is that the Wolves could trade him and not miss a beat in the current season, and help out their future prospects.
2) Have Corey Brewer play point...on defense: Seriously. He's big, he's fast, he's strong vs. point guards. Additionally, the rest of the unit tends to have issues on defense, so you might as well put you may as well put your best man defender where he can do the most good. If he's playing against a shoot-first guard, even better. Speaking of defense...
3) Don't worry about the D: This team isn't supposed to be good on D. Arguably, it detracts from what they are good at. Now, I'm not advocating that they ignore it, and they're giving up a frankly unaccaptable amount of points right now. But if they can make themselve average on defense, that should be all they need to get things moving for this team. But to do that...
4) Stop playing Wittmanball: A lot of people have been decrying smallball due to the Wolves horrific start. I don't think it's smallball's fault. I think it's Wittmanball's fault. In smallball you play your power forward at center, your tall small forward at power forward, a shooting guard, a point guard, and another guard of your choice. In Wittmanball you play your midget power forward at center, your average sized small forward at power forward, two poor defending shooting guards, and a point guard of your choice. Additionally, you play at one of the slowest paces in the league, have your guards drive in 1 on 3 situations, and try to post up at all other teams. Wittmanball is built for teams that are simply too good, and need to add obstacles simply to make the game competitive. However it's nice to see that someone has that kind of faith in this team.
If all this isn't enough to brighten the most despairing heart, consider that the Wolves have the following 4 options available: 1. They follow my advice and get better. 2. They don't follow my advice and get better. 3. They stay this bad and a coaching change is made soon. 4. They stay this bad and a coaching change isn't made soon enough or at all, in which case we get Ricky Rubio.
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Lol. Nice options in the end part. Though the last option isn’t as good as it sounds. If no coaching change is made, I think even Lebron couldn’t make this a winning team, let alone a 18 yr old kid (even though he’s very talented and I really really like him).
Agreed on the rotation. I’m back to thinking Foye should start. And keep it to 8-9 guys. I like your Rhino take. Makes sense. Although I like the idea of playing Brewer on PG’s, I wouldn’t do it from the get go. I would throw it in here and there, and do it when we need stops in critical situations. I like Rubio as much as the next guy. But I’m wondering if we don’t need some length and athleticism more than what Rubio can give, especially with guys like DeRozan on the board when we will be drafting. We keep passing up athletes for specialty players (not saying Rubio is a specialty player). If we’d have drafted the better athlete in the last few drafts we wouldn’t be in this situation….
Brewer has issues...
but athleticism isn’t one of them.
Thanks for cheering me up, man. I was ready to throw my TV out the window during the 4th quarter of the Blazers game. Get Rhino off this f***ing team. The best five players should be on the floor at the end of the fourth quarter. I just hate it that Love sits down at the end of the third quarter and is never heard from again.
Well...
….they’d have to wait until 3 months after the signing (or Dec 15th) but Rhino for Joakim Noah works.
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which...
would have seemed preposterous last year but for some reason Noah barely makes the Chicago rotation.
That would be ideal...
but I’d frankly take Cedric Simmons and a pick, especially if it was a few years down the road.
Sweetening the pot...
Adding Mike Miller on the Wolves’ end and Kirk Hinrich on the Bulls’ works. I don’t think the Bulls would do Noah for Rhino, but this might be attractive to them because in addition to Rhino’s strength and low post scoring (which they have neither right now), Miller’s got a shorter contract than Hinrich, who’s now an expensive backup with Rose looking every bit as good as advertised, and fits a need as a shooter.
Wolves aren’t using Miller right, anyway, and this would net them a not-half-bad PG (desperately needed) who can shoot a little bit from outside, run the show, and provide some pressure D on the perimeter. Wolves’ would then have a Jefferson/Love/Noah committee in the frontcourt, which could actually work, and a decent PG. And while I’m not overly excited about the depth of stud prospects in the next draft, there are an interesting mix of athletes at the 2 and 3 positions (chances are Rubio’s not falling into their laps, anyway). So, at least they’d have a clear plan.
Anyway, checking out some of the posts on blogabull, it seems the frustration with Noah and Tyrus Thomas is they just don’t look like the sorts who are ever going to develop a mature offensive game and, while athletic, they aren’t all that strong. (They almost have the opposite frontcourt as the Wolves: the Wolves are all about wide bodies who can take the ball and do something; the Bulls are all about gazelles who only really score off offensive boards). So naturally, maybe a trade could help both teams. Noah isn’t considered a good post defender in the one-on-one sense; he’s more about help defense and blocking shots. But, that could maybe work with the Wolves, as both Jefferson and Love have the requisite strength to battle for position with the burly post-up types but lack the fluidity to keep up with the lanky, athletic types.
Would they take Booth's contract?
Then we could sign Richard from the D-League and start an all-Florida front line!
If we don't move Miller
We could pretty much have a Florida rotation.
Now sure what it’d take to pick up Green or White Chocolate but if we want to get the Florida Alums out in droves that’d be the way to pull it off.
Not that I’d want to really see that though.
We could make all the trades we like if Witt is still calling the shots we are going to see disjointed rotations and non-sensical stretch drive line-ups. I think Witt’s looking for a long Christmas vacation.
I thought the problem with Noah
was his offence. At FL it didn’t really matter because of their depth and his athleticism, but the few times I’ve seen him for the Bulls, he just hasn’t looked very good – can’t make Js, can’t handle the ball…seems like the only thing he can do on offence is rebound. I haven’t seen him in a while though, is he looking better?
by plinytheelder on Nov 18, 2008 12:43 PM CST up reply actions
I haven't seen a lot of their games this year...
…but we last saw him as a nice interior passing big man who can run and rebound.
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