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Around SBN: Josh Hamilton's Unique Public Statement On His Addiction

After 10

(Ed: This post is best viewed in the wide format.) 

Last Year (ranking) This Year (ranking) Diff (Improve/Backwards)
OE 103.8 (27) 104.3 (18) +0.5 (I)
DE 111.2 (27) 108.4 (26) -2.8 (I)
Pace 91.9 (13) 90.6 (18) -1.3
eFG 48.4 (20) 46.2 (24) -2.2 (B)
deFG 51.3 (26) 49.3 (23) -2 (I)
OReb% 27.5 (11) 25.8 (20) -1.7 (B)

dOreb%

26.4 (14) 28.4 (22) +2 (B)
FTA diff -6.9 (30) -2.7 (24) +4.2 (I)
FTM diff -6.0 (30) -1.3 (20) +4.7 (I)
Pts for 95.6 (26) 97.4 (14) +1.8 (I)
Pts against 102.4 (21) 101.3 (25) -1.1 (I)
Pt diff -6.8 (26) -3.9 (24) +2.9 (I)
TO 15.7 (20) 13.7 (1) -2 (I)
dTO 14.6 (21) 14.0 (27) -0.6 (B)
record 2-8 2-8 even

 

Production
On Court/Off Court
Roland
Player
Min
Own
Opp
Net
On
Off
Net
Rating
 Jefferson
74%
24.3
17.6
+6.7
-0.6
-16.9
+16.3
+9.1
 Collins
7%
7.0
9.4
-2.4
+6.3
-5.6
+11.9
+1.2
 Ollie
19%
15.6
14.2
+1.4
-7.9
-4.1
-3.8
+0.1
 Brewer
45%
10.2
14.4
-4.2
+0.5
-9.2
+9.6
-0.7
 Love
49%
15.3
19.1
-3.9
-0.9
-8.6
+7.8
-0.9
 McCants
39%
12.9
12.8
+0.1
-7.4
-3.2
-4.3
-1.0
 Miller
73%
15.5
15.5
-0.1
-7.1
+1.2
-8.3
-2.1
 Foye
69%
9.5
17.6
-8.0
-0.9
-13.6
+12.7
-2.8
 Smith
35%
13.6
16.4
-2.7
-12.0
-1.0
-11.0
-4.8
 Gomes
52%
12.8
14.7
-1.9
-12.1
+3.2
-15.3
-5.3
 Cardinal
1%
-4.9
22.7
-27.6
+50.9
-5.4
+56.3
-6.6
 Carney
7%
13.5
20.9
-7.4
-16.0
-3.9
-12.1
-8.5
 Telfair
27%
9.2
24.1
-14.9
-8.1
-3.7
-4.4
-12.3
 Madsen
3%
4.3
37.0
-32.7
-14.8
-4.5
-10.3
-27.1

Individual Player Floor Time statistics

Player
Min
+/-
Off
Def
Net48
W
L
Win%
Cardinal 1%   +5  162.8  111.9  +50.9   1   0  
100
Collins 6%   +4  81.7  75.4  +6.3   2   0  
100
Brewer 44%   +2  96.6  96.1  +0.5   5   4  
55.6
Love 49%   -4  100.0  100.9  -0.9   3   4  
42.9
Madsen 2%   -4  77.8  92.7  -14.8   0   1  
0.0
Jefferson 73%   -4  94.9  95.5  -0.6   3   5  
37.5
Foye 69%   -6  95.1  96.0  -0.9   3   5  
37.5
Carney 7%   -11  90.3  106.3  -16.0   2   2  
50.0
Ollie 19%   -14  87.1  95.0  -7.9   2   4  
33.3
Telfair 26%   -20  100.1  108.2  -8.1   0   5  
0.0
McCants 39%   -27  90.5  97.9  -7.4   3   4  
42.9
Smith 34%   -39  87.3  99.3  -12.0   3   6  
33.3
Miller 72%   -48  94.2  101.3  -7.1   1   7  
12.5
Gomes 52%   -59  87.9  100.0  -12.1   1   8  
11.1

Shooting Details

Offense
Defense
Shot
Att.
eFG%
Ast
Pts
Att.
eFG%
Ast
Pts
Jump
61%  .388   68%  41.0  71%  .446   58%  52.2 
Close
34%  .521   61%  30.4  23%  .566   38%  21.8 
Dunk
3%  1.000   78%  5.1  4%  .897   81%  5.8 
Tips
3%  .550   0%  2.4  2%  .643   0%  2.0 
All
100%  .455   64%  79.0  100%  .495   52%  81.8 

 

Team Position Stats


08-09
Ranks (Net)
PER Difference
POS
Pts
FG%
Reb
Ast
T/O
FTA
PER
Opp
Rank
PG 30   30   27   2   6   4   10.7  18.8  30  
SG 14   7   20   11   6   24   17.3  16.5  8  
SF 26   24   12   22   8   23   13.4  15.7  21  
PF 22   25   25   2   17   21   15.9  21.2  27  
C 2   23   24   12   21   5   22.2  18.1  8  

 

Top Five-Man Floor Units

#
Unit
Min
Off
Def
+/-
W
L
Win%
1
 Foye-Miller-Brewer-Gomes-Jefferson 71  0.98  1.04  -9   2   3  
40.0
2
 Telfair-Miller-Brewer-Love-Jefferson 48  1.30  1.19  +8   4   0  
100
3
 Foye-Miller-Brewer-Love-Jefferson 24  1.15  1.08  +0   2   3  
40.0
4
 Foye-McCants-Miller-Gomes-Jefferson 18  0.84  0.82  +2   4   3  
57.1
5
 Telfair-Foye-Miller-Love-Jefferson 17  1.20  1.07  +3   2   1  
66.6
6
 Foye-McCants-Gomes-Smith-Jefferson 16  1.07  1.06  +0   2   1  
66.6
7
 Ollie-McCants-Carney-Smith-Love 14  1.20  0.89  +8   2   0  
100
8
 Foye-Miller-Gomes-Jefferson-Collins 11  1.19  0.80  +11   1   0  
100
9
 Foye-Miller-Gomes-Smith-Jefferson 0.91  1.25  -4   1   2  
33.3
10
 Foye-McCants-Miller-Smith-Jefferson 1.01  1.11  -3   0   1  
0.0

Top Five-Man Floor Units, Details
#
Unit
eFG
eFGA
FTA
Close
dClose
Reb
T/O
1
 Foye-Miller-Brewer-Gomes-Jefferson .461  .500  +4  38%  35%   93%  +2% 
2
 Telfair-Miller-Brewer-Love-Jefferson .523  .565  +7  37%  25%   128%  -2% 
3
 Foye-Miller-Brewer-Love-Jefferson .511  .488  -4  34%  24%   115%  -1% 
4
 Foye-McCants-Miller-Gomes-Jefferson .338  .214  -15  32%  29%   86%  +3% 
5
 Telfair-Foye-Miller-Love-Jefferson .500  .426  -9  39%  30%   100%  +9% 
6
 Foye-McCants-Gomes-Smith-Jefferson .446  .455  -5  43%  23%   73%  +21% 
7
 Ollie-McCants-Carney-Smith-Love .483  .391  -7  47%  22%   86%  +19% 
8
 Foye-Miller-Gomes-Jefferson-Collins .639  .381  +6  50%  38%   76%  +7% 
9
 Foye-Miller-Gomes-Smith-Jefferson .438  .536  -4  38%  36%   61%  +13% 
10
 Foye-McCants-Miller-Smith-Jefferson .400  .467  -1  60%  33%   123%  -7% 

 

Team Stats:

TeamMinPoss
For
Poss
Opp
Pts
For
Pts
Opp
Off
Rtg
Def
Rtg
Overall
Rtg
 OReb
For
OReb
Opp
DReb
For
DReb
Opp
OReb
Rate
DReb
Rate
MIN 495.00 936 935 974 1013 104.06 108.34 -4.28   147 144 328 351 29.52% 69.49%

Team Offensive Shooting Detail stats:

3 pointers 2 pointers Inside Shots
attempts 18% 42% 39%
fg% .289 .370 .565
ast 96% 59% 57%
blk 0% 5% 9%
pts 14.1 28.0 40.0

Dunks: 23

And 1: 21

Foul: 11%

 

Team Defensive Shooting Detail stats:

3 point shots 2 point shots Inside Shots
att 18% 52% 28%
fg% .364 .421 .645
ast 84% 43% 42%
blk 1% 4% 10%
pts 16.7 37.1 31.1

Dunks: 17

And 1: 16

Foul: 11%

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I'll be posting these stats every 10 games so that we can keep track of what is and is not improving with Our Beloved Puppies Zombies.  A few things jumped out at me:

  1. Take a look at how many inside and 2 point shots the Wolves allow without an assist.  They rank 25th in the league in fewest assisted 2 pointers and 27th in the league in fewest assisted inside shots.  In other words, they are getting broke the hell down by individual players.  We've seen it all year; guys like Kevin Martin and Brandon Roy are able to get what they want when they want it.
  2. The Wolves don't turn the ball over a lot but they also don't force a lot of turnovers.  Even in areas where the Wolves are very good (not turning the ball over) they don't cause enough of a differential on the other end of the court to make it matter.  It's time for some gambling defense.  It's also time for a quicker offense. 
  3. The Wolves are losing this year because of offense.  They are an improved defensive team but they are leaving a lot of points on the board in terms of dissonance between offensive efficiency and production.  They aren't shooting particularly well and they have a slower pace than last year.  At the beginning of the year, I said that the main goal for this team was a neutral OE/DE differential of somewhere between 108-108 pts/100 possessions.  Right now the Wolves are meeting the defensive part of this equation but not the offensive one.  An increased pace + a definite 4th quarter pecking order can go a long way to helping this statistical dream become a reality.

What do you guys notice? 

Oh yeah, KG is back in town.

UPDATE: We're also going to be keeping track of Ryan Gomes at the 4.  He's putting up some pretty ugly numbers at that position while playing 30% of the team's minutes there.  With no further delay, here you go:

Ryan Gomes:

Player Floor Time Stats by Position

Position
Min
Net Pts
Off
Def
Net48
W
L
Win%
PG
SG
SF
  21%
-10
  85.4   90.5 -5.1
2
2
50%
PF
  30%
-54
  87.7   106.5 -18.8
2
6
25%
C
  0%
+3
  162.3   108.2 54.1
1
0
100%

 

Net 48-Minute Production by Position

Position
FGA
eFG%
FTA
iFG
Reb
Ast
T/O
Blk
PF
Pts
PER*
PG
SG
SF
-0.5  +0.163  -6.1  +1% -2.5  +0.0  -0.5  +0.0  +0.5  +1.0  +2.1  
PF
+5.0  -0.118  -8.2  -15% -2.5  +2.8  +0.0  -0.7  +0.7  -5.3  -9.6  
C
+0.0  +0.000  +0.0  +0% -13.5  +0.0  +0.0  +0.0  +0.0  +0.0  +0.0  

 

UPDATE ii: I forgot to put in the stat links.

Comment 8 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Interesting stuff! I hope we never see Gomes at the 4 again, ever.

by Dave T on Nov 21, 2008 11:52 AM CST reply actions  

Gomes...

…has ridiculously bad splits at the 4. -9.6 PER, -5.3 points, + 0.7 PF, -2.5 reb, -8.2 FTA, -15% iFG…it goes on and on. He gets absolutely abused there and he plays 30% of the team’s total minutes at the position. This is a good one to keep track of. I’ll add it to the list.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Nov 21, 2008 12:55 PM CST up reply actions  

Miller

The most striking thing for me right now is Mike Miller. I couldn’t believe the net point difference when he’s on or off the court, but it makes a lot of sense. I went and just checked his Hollinger stats and his usage rate is 14.6! That’s one of the lowest amongst all Shooting Guards…yet his true shooting percentage is still .626.

It’s not as if Miller is passing up open shots though, he’s just not getting the opportunities, and he clearly can’t create his own shots. I lay this on the feet of both Randy Wittman and our point guards. There is no reason we should wait till the end of games (and really only 2 games thus far) to play Miller off of Big Al.

by Blakeley on Nov 21, 2008 11:58 AM CST reply actions  

Agreed...

…his defense is much too bad for him to not be taking all those bad shots he hates taking. That 3 point threat is hard to replace though. It’s also interesting to note that the 5 players with the highest OE are

1- Bassy
2- Love
3- Brewer
4- Foye
5- Big Al

Pick up the pace and run, run, run. Also, from both watching closer in the past few games and from the stat sheet, it’s becoming clear that Foye has really picked up his defense this year. Hat’s off to him on that front.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Nov 21, 2008 12:45 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah I think his main defensive concern right now is the same as his main offensive concern, i.e. the occasional mind-farts, unfortunately they occur most often at the end of games, e.g. going under the screen at the end of the Denver game while guarding Billups. How the hell do you go under the screen any time against Billups, much less at the end of the game? That 3 took their lead from 1 to 4 and basically sealed the deal. This after he played him pretty well most of the game.

I agree on Miller too. I think I’m halfway between what Blakeley and S/P are saying: on the one hand, he’s just not getting the shots he needs to get, he’s not the best at creating his own shot so this is on the other guys; on the other hand, he’s such a good shooter that you wish he’d take some bad ones once in a while – fadeaway 3, hurried 3, shit underhand 3 if necessary but just get ’em up!

Nice pickup on Gomes btw. I noticed that in the last few games (though I didn’t see the Philly game) he’s getting more minutes at the 3, which is obviously nice. Oh also I noticed Love had only 20 min. – I’m not going to complain after a win but any reason for this, other than just riding Smith’s hot hand?

by plinytheelder on Nov 21, 2008 1:55 PM CST up reply actions  

Hopefully...

…it’s just the hot hand factor. Even so, they almost lost because of a lack of rebounding.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Nov 21, 2008 3:17 PM CST up reply actions  

Maybe these are silly questions

I’m not up on the meaning of some (all?) of these stats, but it looks to me like they are largely tredning in the right direction. Maybe not enough to be a 40-42 team, but they are noticeably better than last year. So why the same record? Does it come down to:

1. That the areas where we’ve regressed/not improved that much, a) rebounding (note that to your point 1above, the other way you get an unassisted 2 in the paint is to grab an offensive rebound and put it back in) and b) OE (where we’ve improved only modestly) is important enough to negate any of the other areas of improvement?
2. Or are we statistically better but the record doesn’t show it yet b/c we’ve lost 2 overtime games and several others that have come down to making/missing shots or ridiculous substitution patterns so all we’re seeing is a “better” point differential, but with bad coaching/luck, no more wins?

Or, put another way, maybe we have more talent and it actually hasn’t played THAT badly, but because we have a crappy coach it doesn’t matter?

Or, maybe we should be apllauding the genius that is Glen (see the quote you cited from today’s PP) and the FO. They’ve added talent but kept Witt, thereby strengthening the team yet still having the ability to preserve ALL of our potential lottery picks this year, through Witt’s sheer gross incompetence in game mismanagement (i.e., when we have Witt, we don’t need the MadDog to chuck threes!).

Obviously, I’m pretty confident it’s the former.

by Sterno on Nov 21, 2008 4:49 PM CST reply actions  

I think...

…they’re improving. The 4th quarter thing is a bit frustrating but I think it’s brought about largely by poor rotations, no system, and a lack of a set pecking order.

I guess Witt should get some credit for this but going back to the rotation thing, he just gets so in the way sometimes.

You know, there is some evidence for the Evil Genius Papa Glen position. Last year when McHale said that they could get 42 wins this year, Papa Glen said something to the effect of “next year’s draft is where we bring it all together”. Obviously, if they win 42 games they give away their top pick. They’re mutually exclusive. I do think it is the former however.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Nov 21, 2008 7:11 PM CST up reply actions  

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