Canis Hoopus: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
New Blog: Anonymous Eagle covering Marquette!

Why They Lost

Category In Wins In Losses % Difference
FG% 48.1 44.1 -8%
FGA 84.6 82.3 -2.7%
FGM 40.7 36.3 -10.8%

3P%

38.8 33.5 -13.7%
3PM 5.8 5.2 -10.3%
3PA 14.9 15.4 +3.2%
EFG 51.5 47.3 -8.2%
FTM 19.3 13.7 -29%
FTA 25.1 18.9 -24.7%
OREB 12.1 11.3 -12.4%
TREB 44.9 40.1 -10.7%
AST 21.9 19.1 -12.8%
TO 12.2 14.7 +17%
BLK 3.6 3.7 +2.7%
PTS 106.5 91.3 -14.3%
POSS 93.94 93.26 -0.1%

NOTE: Stats are through 80 games.  I left out the last 2 games to allow for even stat keeping, prohibit garbage time in the last 2 games, and to cut the season into 4 even 20 game blocks. 

Top 3 problem areas (largest loss differentials excluding points):

  1. FTM (-29%)
  2. FTA (-24.7%)
  3. TO (+17%)

Insignificant differences:

  1. Poss/Pace (0.7%)
  2. Blocks (+2.7%)
  3. 3PA (+3.2)
  4. FGA (-2.7)

Secondary problem areas:

  1. eFG% (-8.2%)
  2. OREB (-12.8%)

Overall, the Wolves' biggest, most glaring issue in their losses is free throw shooting, and it's not even close.  The Timberwolves are the worst free throw shooting team in the league; averaging 0.9 fewer FTM/game than the 28th place team (7.9 fewer than 1st) and 6.6 fewer than their combined opponenets. To put it quite simply, when the Wolves shoot well at the line, they are a functional and competitive team.  In their wins, they averaged 25.1 FTA and 19.3 FTM.  If these numbers were their season averages, they would be the 11th best free throw shooting team in the league with roughly a -1.7 point differential compared to their current -6.6 deficit.  For a team with a -7 point differential, there is no single bigger way they can improve their game.  It's that cut and dry. 

Four Factors:

  1. eFG% (-8.2%)
  2. FTM/A (-29%/-24.7%)
  3. TO (+17%)
  4. OREB (-12.4%)

Surprisingly, pace and FGA have very little to do with whether or not the Wolves win games.  The Wovles have a nearly equal amount of shots and possessions in their wins and losses.  Their eFG is affected equally by 3 pointers and 2 point field goals (-10.3/-10.8% respectively).  In other words: it's all about whether or not they make their shots. Simple and cliched? Yes.  True? Si. Turnovers and offensive rebounds are self-explanatory. 

Cutting to the chase, the Wolves lose because they are an inconsistent shooting ball club that turns the ball over while racking up a massive free throw discrepancy.  When they lose, they average 4.4 fewer FGM/game, 0.6 fewer 3pm/game,  5.6 fewer FTM/game, and 1.6 OREB/game while committing 2.5 more turnovers/contest.  All in all, this works out to nearly 5 lost possessions/game (including the disparity in FTA) and 10.6 ppg. 

0 recs  |  Comment 2 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Thanks. Happy to be on the network. I can’t wait until we have a team to talk about as good as the one you write about, but I guess we’ll just have to wait.

by Stop-n-Pop on Apr 17, 2008 5:18 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Canis Hoopus is straight T-Wolves straight from Minnesota.
Start posting about the Timberwolves »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Christinagivingthefinger2_small
Casper's 2010 Big Board and Mock Draft 3-08-2010
No-seagulls_small
Fake Wolves Team Recap from the Future
Small
Defensive player of the year

Recent FanPosts

Christinagivingthefinger2_small
Bracket reaction (prospect matchups):
Small
Open Game Thread - Gophers v Evan Turner
Wolveslogo_small
Prowling the NBA: March 13th - Evan Almighty
No-seagulls_small
Quick thoughts on Wall, Turner, and Cousins
Franklin2_small
In Which Half are the Wolves?
Small
a rare optimistic take on the Wolves, courtesy of TrueHoop
Small
The votes are in!
Rickyrubio_small
Two Lists of Players, Free Agents, and Prospects we should look at in filling our two biggest needs, an Athletic, Shot Blocking Big Man, and an Athletic, Scoring, Wing.
Small
The Charlotte Pick (dun dun dun)

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Canis Hoopus Twitter

    follow me on Twitter

    Hoopus Features

    Salary Cap Info

    Draft Info

    Player Movement Flow Charts

    EuroWatch

    Stats

    Draft Boards

    Former Tag Lines:

    • In desperate need of an epic dose of basketball Viagra
    • Your source of radical left wing politics cleverly disguised as basketball fandom
    • Palin-Free since before statehood
    • The world's leading exporter of small area quickness
    • Sorry…I have no idea who is Joe Mauer
    • Home of the Peja deep douche
    • Vote McGrady!
    • Bork, bork, bork, bork, bork
    • Wir Sind Darko

    Misc:

    Self-Promotion

    BallHype Sports Blog Rankings

    SPONSORS

    SBNation.com Recent Stories

    Boston Celtics' Paul Pierce (34) and Kendrick Perkins, left, harass Cleveland Cavaliers' LeBron James (23) in the first quarter of an NBA basketball game Sunday, March 14, 2010, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Mark Duncan)

    Cavaliers Hand Struggling Celtics Their Third Loss In Past Four Games

    Los Angeles Lakers' Kobe Bryant passes against the Phoenix Suns during the second half of an NBA basketball game Friday, March 12, 2010, in Phoenix. The Lakers won 102-96. (AP Photo/Matt York)

    Kobe's Near Triple Double Helps Lakers Eclipse Suns

    Oklahoma City rookie guard James Harden dunks the ball over San Antonio guard Manu Ginobili of Argentina during the third quarter of an NBA basketball game at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Saturday, Nov. 14, 2009. (AP Photo/ Bahram Mark Sobhani)

    James Harden Out 2-4 Weeks With Hamstring Injury

    More from SBNation.com >


    Managers

    Dr wyn

    Img_2487_small Stop-n-Pop