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So Far, Who's Good - Part 1

Ok, Acquisition Summer isn't close to being over, but it's time we stop and look at which teams are ahead and behind on the roster scorecards. We'll start with the West, where we have a 20 game win increase prediction on the table for the Wolves from the Iron Ranger. Who are the early favorites to compete for a playoff slot next season?

The competitors - (in no particular order):
Hornets
They got valuable playoff experience last year, and a great young core.
Spurs
Losing Maggette was a blow to them. Signing Roger Mason is okay, but the earth didn't shake on that acquisition. If Ginobili is healthy, the Spurs will still be in it.
Lakers
There's talk of an Odom-Artest trade with the Kings; Losing Turiaf to the Warriors would be no big deal, especially if Bynum eventually comes back healthy. They do have a core now, though, and a taste of what it's like to be in the finals.
Jazz
Always solid and well coached. Williams will only get better.
Rockets
If Yao comes back strong, and McGrady doesn't get dealt, they'll be competitive.
Mavs
I don't like their team to do anything but make the playoffs. No toughness to speak of, except for coach Rick Carlisle. Acquiring Diop along with a developing Brandon Bass gives them a better frontcourt by an inch, but Jason Kidd is aging and Dirk is overrated. They are stuck right now, probably close to being blown up.
Suns
Can Shaq stay healthy? Will Steve Nash start falling apart? With Terry Porter at the helm, I think the decline will be faster than anyone believes. Still good enough talent to compete for a slot.
Nuggets
Draft? What draft? Here's a team that should be blown up right now. 7th or 8th seed at best.
Blazers
I think they could sneak in as 8th seed, it will be the jelling of their young talent that will determine their position. They will be one of most fun teams to watch in the West this year.

The also rans - (also in no particular order):

Warriors
Davis bolts and effectively reduces the team to bottom feeder status, even with the addition of Maggette and possibly Turiaf.
Clippers
They get Davis, but can't keep Brand. If they can free up Okafor from the Bobcats, that might help soften the blow. Still the gold standard in front office incompetence.
OKC Whatevers
Young talent that will excite their new city, but probably PJ's last year. Calling Flip Saunders...
Grizzlies
We'll be watching this team, won't we? Still not nearly enough talent to make noise in the West
Kings
They sign Wolves for a day Udrih to a fat contract, but even though I think Jason Thompson is a diamond in the rough, that pick was a strech. Petrie is losing his mojo.
Wolves
Still bottom feeding, but making moves and getting aggressive. Resolving their point guard issues will help them concentrate on their core players this year, and determine whether Wittman can be their coach long term.


The one non-acquisition issue out there that will affect teams chances next season will be the players on the USA Olympic Basketball team. Usually one or two of those folks end up getting hurt or burned out by playing in that competition.


Next up: The East

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Nice Summary..

...but I think the Blazers will do better than sneak in for eighth. And the Mavs decline could well be precipitous.

No revelations that the Clippers and Warriors are the big losers so far. So much will fall onto the shoulders of Thornton in LA now.

by Auswolf on Jul 11, 2008 8:02 AM CDT reply actions  

Agreed...

If Oden is healthy, Portland could do just about anything in the West next season.

by Andy G on Jul 11, 2008 12:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yes, yes, yes, and yes...

...on the need for a PG to figure out if Witt can be the guy. I think there’s something to be said about continuity with coaching and it would be nice to see how he can do it with a full team and season under his belt.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Jul 11, 2008 8:59 AM CDT reply actions  

I agree on the whole, I think the Suns might be better than expected, though I was sort of expecting them to be in the FA chase for a wing guy, do their salaries just make this impossible? I know next to nothing about that stuff. Seems like they’re just standing pat, I don’t think their wing guys are good enough for them to do that.

I also think that if the Lakers get Artest, who to me is the Posey-type player they need, and if Bynum is indeed healthy, they will win the championship short of something very strange happening. Kind of makes me vomit in my mouth a little bit to say so but there you go. Also Artest might get into a fight in practice with Vujacic which would be kind of funny.

By the way I don’t mean to be nitpicky but why “the iron ranger”? I was up there a couple of weeks ago and actually saw a wolf for only the second time ever (first in MN), I’m guessing it’s the most likely spot in the state to see the animal on the team logo, surely that has to count for something? :)

by plinytheelder on Jul 11, 2008 1:09 PM CDT reply actions  

The Iron Ranger...

is a nickname I first attached to McHale back when I started commenting on Mr. Robson’s blog at City Pages. Since McHale comes from Hibbing, which is on the Iron Range, I thought it would be interesting to do a slight bit of word play (very slight, in some folks opinion) since the one in use-McFail-was already well used. I really didn’t want it to be negative or positive, just different.

I had big plans for that nickname; a comic book, podcast, etc. I just haven’t had the time to pull it off.

by Peter W on Jul 11, 2008 2:20 PM CDT reply actions  

It's a hell of a lot more respectful...

...than the Iron Range Ape. I’m trying to think of something a bit easier to swallow a’la what Sasquatch is to Big Foot.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Jul 11, 2008 7:23 PM CDT reply actions  

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