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Around SBN: Dan Marino Starting College For Developmentally Disabled

So Far, Who's Good - Part II

Continuing our look at how the teams are benefiting from Acquisition Summer 08, here’s a look at the East. From top to bottom, the conference is getting stronger; while there won’t be as many over .500 teams as the West, I think the top eight from top to bottom in the conference should have less disparity than last year’s best (Boston – 66 wins) and worst (Atlanta – 37 wins).  Plus, there could be significant churn at the 6, 7, and 8 seeds, given the players the Bucks, Pacers, Heat, Bulls and Nets have picked up. Here’s the rundown.

Playoff bound (not necessarily in order):

Celtics
The Celtics sign Patrick O’Bryant, and keep James Posey –one of the major playoff stars last year—considering an exodus from the club. Remember before the Iron Ranger handed Danny Ainge the gift of KG, how reviled Ainge was in Boston?  This is another of those head scratcher moves. I understand Posey is getting on in years, but given all the money you’ve spent on the Tri-Core, NOT offering a fourth year at the mid-level for a guy who was second to Pierce as the clutch player in the Finals seems stupid to me. Then again, I love to spend other people’s money.

Sixers
The big free agency winner to date with the Elton Brand deal. It makes the drafting of Marreese Speights redundant, but if Brand is healthy, they move up as a potential headache for Boston.

Pistons
A solid playoff team, but the talent is aging, Rasheed Wallace is still a head case, and if they don’t get someone on the par of McGrady, they don’t get out of the East.

Magic
Another team with a decent young core, but with a mediocre point guard in Jameer Nelson. They also overpaid for Rashard Lewis last year, which will continue to haunt them.

Wizards
Another playoff team with one player I really like—Caron Butler. Otherwise, a lot of flash, but no substance.

Raptors
On paper, they could have improved with the solidifying of Calderon at the point and Jermaine O’Neal along side of Bosh in the front court. But J.O. hasn’t been truly healthy in awhile, and my gut says Bryan Colangelo would rather have someone else than Sam Mitchell as his head coach. There may be a ticket in Club Taylor available for Sam here in Minnesota in a year or two for his services.

Cavs
LeBron himself can probably push a team two playoff rounds deep, but he needs serious help to compete for a ring. What they have now doesn't get it done.

Nets
Another intriguing team, that has acquired solid role players (Najera, Hayes) alongside one overrated star (Carter) and their young talent (Harris, Lopez, Yi Jianlian). Could still be a year or so away from making the playoffs, but if Lopez is better than advertised, and Carter is not totally slothful they could surprise, so I’ve got them tucked in the 8th slot right now.

The also-rans:

Hawks
I’m conflicted over whether to place them or the Nets at the 8th playoff spot. A great playoff story last year, but Bibby’s skills are declining, and if they lose Smith, it’s back to scratch. We’ll have to see how events play out.

Bucks
Richard Jefferson is a good player, and Alexander may eventually be a solid pro, but they play mostly the same position, unless Alexander can play a small power forward. They also invested a lot of money in Mo Williams last year, and didn’t seem terribly overjoyed at the result. Tough guy coach Scott Skiles will probably produce a spike in wins, but if they were to sneak into the playoffs, they wouldn’t get past the first round.

Knicks
Still a mess, even with an upgrade at coach. Gallinari does nothing for me; another soft, tall European player who will fit in well with D’Antoni’s all offense, little defense style of play. They will be more entertaining to watch, but they’re not Phoenix.

Bobcats
How long will Larry Brown stay? It could be longer than Okafor. I would love for the Wolves to attempt to pry Felton away if they eventually don’t want him. Not a top point guard, but better than what we have.

Pacers
Another rebuilding team with a lot of size and point guards, but no real star to build around. Danny Granger has proven once again what a joke it was to draft Rashad McCants instead of him, but he hasn’t established core stud credentials yet. Another team to watch and see if Coach O’Brien can arrange the pieces properly.

Heat
Even with a healthy Wade and new stud Beasley, they need a lot of help, starting at point guard. Once again, our man McHale is trying his best to help, dealing Mario Chalmers to Miami on draft day. James Jones is another decent pickup, but as long as Mark Blount is in your playing rotation, there’s trouble on the Beach. They also have to figure out how Shawn Marion fits into their plans.

Bulls
I love Rose, but after having such a potentially great young core a couple of years ago, it looks like the team is fighting their way up again, especially with virgin head coach My Cousin Vinny at the helm.

 

 

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The Wizards stagger me...

..essentially the same roster that has got them half way to nowhere, just with a bigger wage bill. I think the FO should have allowed Gilbert to wander out and find another team.

And one day, Toronto and Atlanta will get their act together. I didn’t say when.

by Auswolf on Jul 14, 2008 6:57 AM CDT reply actions  

The Wiz...

...maybe the dumbest team in the league. I can’t believe how much they overpaid for those guys. It will be cosmic justice if they end up losing to Cleveland again in the 1st round.

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by Stop-n-Pop on Jul 14, 2008 8:16 AM CDT up reply actions  

Too optimistic on the Nets

I like what they’ve done in the offseason - bringing in some solid role players while positioning themselves for the LeBron Sweepstakes, but I can’t see them as a playoff team - relying on VC to be your leader is asking too much, and I don’t think Harris is going to be as effective without the talent the Mavs had around him. Plus, I don’t think Yi and Lopez are going to help that much in a conference that is getting tougher inside.

If I had to order them (regular season), it would look something like this:

Detroit (i still think theyr’e good for 55 wins if they’re healthy)
Celtics (won’t care as much about the regular season)
Sixers (honestly, I could see them with the best record in the conference, just because the Pistons and Celts won’t be that concerned about it)
Magic (this is the year that we get to find out if Howard is a legit top 10 player in the league or just a defensive/rebounding force - either way, they are still a player away. Question: wouldn’t Telfair be a good fit with this team?)
Cavs (If not for the olympics, i would think that LeBron would be putting up something like 32-8-7 this year - with the Olympics, I thinik he’ll pick his spots in the regular season)
Toronto (this is a bit of addition by subtraction and the fact that O’Neal will be an upgrade at the 5, any way you slice it. If their international players make a leap, they could become as dangerous in the East ast Phoenix used to be in the West)
Wizards (Given all their moves, they must really think Blatche is going to be a force. Stil, there’s a lot of talent here and Jordan’s system is tough to play against on any given night)
Heat (This is the NBA, and stars matter. I don’t see Wade, assuming he’s healthy, missing the playoffs again, particularly with some improved talent around him)

I guess that means that the hawks slip out. Given they had 0 draft picks and their biggest move in FA will be to retain their own palyers, this seems sensible to me. The rest of the teams seem to be getting better, but not enough to crack the top 8.

by Sterno on Jul 14, 2008 12:07 PM CDT reply actions  

The East's 8th seed threshold is still low...

So, I think it could go any way on any of five teams. Wade is still going to have to have someone as his running mate; and while it could be Beasley or Marion, it looks like they might still want to move Matrix. By the end of August, I’ll probably revise it to reflect any more changes and roster shuffles.

by Peter W on Jul 14, 2008 12:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

Agreed on Felton, I’m really surprised he’s not a better NBA player after he was so fantastic at Carolina, I thought he’d be the best pg in that draft, boy was I wrong (Chris Paul anyone?). I’d love to see him on the Wolves though.

I think Atlanta will have a nice year, I can’t stand Horford but I think he’s on his way to becoming an elite player.

This is the year Calderón becomes a star, best pg in the east.

by plinytheelder on Jul 14, 2008 1:04 PM CDT reply actions  

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