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Tell Me Again About the Old Times...

The Wolves have had a fantastic off-season.  From the highway robbery that brought them Mike Miller and Kevin Love to their 'it can't do us any harm' trade for Rodney Carney, the Wolves have, for the most part (cough...Mario Chalmers...cough), made the right moves. 

Perhaps the most interesting aspect of the FO's new approach is the apparent non-McHaleness of their approach and execution.  Earlier in the year, Papa Glen told the Star Tribune that the Wolves had adopted a new culture in the FO; a culture that favored multiple opinions over the single iron fist of the Iron Ranger:

For six weeks, the team's sizable front office has been going full tilt in hopes of making the right decision with the third overall pick. Taylor has tried to create a system that strives for consensus but at the same time makes sure everyone is heard. And that's a lot of listening, when you consider that group includes a VP of basketball operations (Kevin McHale), a GM (Jim Stack), two assistant GMs (Fred Hoiberg and Rob Babcock), coaches and top scouts.

"Everybody is used to coming to the meetings, to the written reports," Taylor said. "I want everyone's opinion. Not like it was, when everybody would give it to Kevin and Kevin would give me a summation. Now what goes to Kevin goes to me, goes to everybody. Everybody sees it."

Granted, this is a team that sees a marketing gimmick in just about anything that moves, but the proof is in the pudding and the new collective approach appears to have generated a plan in both player selection (they identified the BPA with each of their picks) and long term planning (they are building a team with a clear structure and direction).  This is a welcome development...especially when the Iron Ranger gets a hold of Grandpa Sports for long enough to remind you of the way things were:

Kevin McHale, vice president of the Timberwolves, said, "We should be much better. I think last year we went through a growth period trying to figure out what we had here. We had a bunch of new players -- but as much as that, I think [Randy] Foye being hurt for the first half of the season really put us back. I think after Randy came back, we were 17-21 or something like that coming down the stretch. For a lot of these guys, familiarity is going to make us much, much better."

Look, I know the guy is a Hall of Fame player.  I know he is probably the greatest player in Minnesota history.  That being said, the guy has one of the most simplistic  and ridiculous ways of viewing basketball imaginable.  It's a sentiment I've expressed here before:

McHale's entire basketball outlook is encased in the amber of the 86 Celts.  As far as he's concerned, basketball reached its pinnacle on the parquet floor in Boston 22 years ago and it's been downhill ever since. 

In McHale's world, the Wolves just need to allow their young players to grow together in order to produce more wins.  Whether or not the Wolves actually improved or played a better style of ball upon Foye's The Guy Who McHale Traded Brandon Roy For's return isn't even part of the discussion.  We broke down the question of in-season improvement at the end of the year:

Getting back to the main point of this post, it's pretty hard to say that the Wolves improved when they ended the season with such a terrible defensive performance.  While it was nice to see them end the season by getting 100ppg in the last 2 months, they also gave up 103 and 110 respectively.  That's not improvement.  That's going the other direction.  Outside of the 1st 2 horrible months, the Wolves went 18-34 while scoring 97 ppg and giving up 102.85.  Since Foye came back you can add about 3 points to each average.  And therein lies the big problem: there wasn't any real improvement; just an addition of a (relatively) important player who is better on offense than he is on defense.

...

As a team, the Wolves most certainly did not improve throughout the year.  Foye simply came back and played well enough for them to knock off a few more wins against the likes of the Clips and Grizz. Pace, DPace, FTM/FTA, DFTM/DFTA, eFG%, DeFG%...the list goes on and on; the Wolves had a series of important numbers that remained consistent throughout the year.  Outside of a slight uptick in eFG% after the ASB (which can be tied to a single player more than actual team play), they were the same team they were at the beginning of the year + Foye. They had the same issues, played the same style, had the same deficiencies, and so on and so forth.  I'm not sure if you can call this improvement.

The most disturbing thing about McHale's approach to GM'ing has been that his statements/decisions have always made more sense as marketing talking points than they have as positive actions for the squad.  If I'm a Wolves employee and I'm calling potential season ticket holders, I'm pulling a page from the McHale playbook and I'm telling the guy/gal on the other end of the line that Randy Foye missed a bunch of games last year and it's a given that the team will improve if he plays a full slate of games.  However, if I'm coaching the Wolves, I'm thinking to myself "What the hell?" Especially when the big guy with the ugly sweaters has essentially told the world that .500 is the goal.  We took a look at that claim a while back:

In order to get to an even .500 (which is just below McHale's lofty projection), the Wolves would have to increase their winning percentage by an amazing 23.2%. As you can see, McHale's high hopes are just an itty-bitty bit off of historical projections for expected changes in win %. Of course, for folks like McHale, improvement is probably all about the appearance of will and effort. I wouldn't expect any less from someone who supported the Mittster. I'd also like to believe that his statement has nothing to do with the fact that his good buddy Danny Ainge's squad just took part in a 42 game improvement, but I wouldn't put it past the Iron Ranger. I can just hear the gears working…”If Danny can do it…”

...

Needless to say, there aren't too many teams in the history of the league to sport such numbers right before a massive turnaround. The closest example I could find is the 97-98 Spurs…or, as the event is otherwise known as, When Duncan Came to Town. Barring the introduction of a historic, game changing rookie, there is nothing in the Wolves stats, roster or schedule to suggest that they are in any way, shape, or form capable of running off an additional 20 wins in the 2008-09 season. Unfortunately, as I have been saying for some time, the sudden appearance of Basketball Jesus appears to be a large part of the Blueprint.  And then something magical happened...

Just to give you an idea of how rare a 20 game turnaround is, the 2003-04 Nuggets won 26 more games than the previous season, ending up with a 43-39 record. The reason why? They added Andre Miller, Carmelo Anthony, and Marcus Camby. This is the 8th greatest single-season turnaround in NBA history. (Jason Kidd and the Nets had an equal turnaround in the 2000-01 season.) The 72 win Bulls are also on this list, improving by 25 games from the year before.

The most tragic part of Witt's Unfortunate Predicament (aside from the fact that it requires a historical turn-around) is this:

The best part about all of this is that if the Wolves improve to a relatively impressive 33-35 wins, they will likely forfeit their top 2009 Draft selection to the LA Clippers. Translation: According to the team's own words, either they need McHale's craziness to be true or they need to remain in the NBA's cellar for the Let's Build It Blueprint to actually work. Their boobery is so advanced that it almost doubles back on itself in an attempt to make its way out of the rabbit hole.

Again, McHale's approach works well when you're trying to sell tickets over the phone...not so much when you're trying to win basketball games. Maybe they should move him over to marketing. 

Anywho, the point of this little post (aside from taking up some space in the dead air of August NBA action) is to remind everyone of how thankful they should be that the old sheriff has been replaced by a group of people who actually seem to be capable of making competent basketball decisions.  The Wolves have shown remarkable efficiency and smarts with their recent FO actions.  Their decisions are in stark relief to the way things used to get done in the days when the Iron Ranger roamed the offices of 600 First Avenue without a leash.

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nice post..

Enjoyed the read. I think it’s amazing how much more efficiently our fo is working now. Call me naive, which I probably am, but I really think this team has the chance to flirt with a 20 win improvement next season. Who’s Tim Duncan? All I know is K-Love baby

by pmac. on Aug 3, 2008 1:52 PM CDT   0 recs

Thanks. I think Mike Miller...

...really has the chance to be the guy who provides them with the big improvement. I eventually think we’ll see a starting lineup of Bassy, Foye, Miller, Love, and Jefferson with Shaddy and Gomes being the first 2 off the bench. Before they landed Miller, I had them at 31 wins if the Clips couldn’t bring back Brand and the Sonics picked behind the Wolves. I think 35 is within range but I’d be very surprised if they won any more. They have a long way to go as far as the gap in ORtg/DRtg is concerned to be a .500 type ball club. They have to improve offensively by 3-4 pts/100 possessions as well as shave off 3-4 for every 100 possessions on the defensive end. They also need to slash their free throw gap. If they can improve their eFG by 2-3% (which is a lot) they’ll be a top 5-10 shooting team. Their defensive play remains a question mark, but I think it is well within their talent range to improve their eFG, win the boards, and close the FT gap. If they do those things, they should be a much improved ball club.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Aug 3, 2008 5:07 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I'm hopeful

If we have a soft start to the schedule, I think we might be hopeful of hitting 40 wins into the later part of the season. I think the improvement offensively should be reasonable, considering the improvement in all things offensive that happens when Miller is on the floor. Defensively, it’s not as exciting, but I think the improved rebounding with Love and Miller (how did we every get this guy for so little) could be enough to really help. One of the easiest ways to improve your defense is not allowing second chance points to your opponenets.

by midlife crisis on Aug 4, 2008 12:19 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

The schedules...

...should come out in the next week or so. I think they come out in early August. Last year it was August 8th.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Aug 4, 2008 8:13 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

35 is probably about right.

I’m still pretty high on Foye because he came in halfway through last season. Also, when looking to improvements through history, has there ever been a team that had a core this young? Where a lot of players made their biggest jump around the same time?
I’m especially high on Foye because I really liked the way he played point at summer league in 2007. He knew exactly when to pass (like when Mccants had the hot hand in his 40pt game) and when to get some points himself.
His defense remains to be seen but I just can’t believe he isn’t gonna be a decent defender.
Also remember point is the hardest position to play.

Great read btw!.

by Wim (Belgium) on Aug 4, 2008 4:52 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Thanks

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Aug 4, 2008 8:07 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

“I wouldn’t expect any less from someone who supported the Mittster.” Who is the Mittster – Romney? Wow that’s hilarious! Did he say that in an interview or something? That would make at least two Wolves (Madsen).

by plinytheelder on Aug 4, 2008 2:16 AM CDT   0 recs

Yep, it's Romney

One of the Boston papers ran something on it last year:

MINNEAPOLIS—Mitt Romney is counting another former Celtics great among his supporters.
more stories like this

Kevin McHale was among those attending a fundraiser for the Republican presidential contender on Saturday night in Minneapolis.

He joins Danny Ainge, who has already maxed out as a Romney contributor.

Ainge and McHale were teammates on Boston Celtics teams that won two world championships during the 1980s.

Ainge remains with the Celtics as the team’s executive director of basketball operations, while McHale is vice president of basketball operations for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Romney was in Minnesota raising money and addressing a rally before the state holds a presidential caucus on Tuesday.
I thought it was a pretty interesting insight into the way the man’s mind works. I won’t go into it here because I try to keep politics out of this site, but…well, I think it’s pretty funny that he followed the most transparently hokey candidate along with Ainge. The guy is from way up on the Range and he’s supporting Mitt.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Aug 4, 2008 8:11 AM CDT   0 recs

whoops...

...the quote didn’t really work there. after the 1st quote box, the next 4 paragraphs are from the article as well

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Aug 4, 2008 8:11 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

this is the only part of that post that was mine:

I thought it was a pretty interesting insight into the way the man’s mind works. I won’t go into it here because I try to keep politics out of this site, but…well, I think it’s pretty funny that he followed the most transparently hokey candidate along with Ainge. The guy is from way up on the Range and he’s supporting Mitt.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Aug 4, 2008 8:12 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I wish Mchale was still in charge

we would have won a championship last year for sure with a starting lineup of Avery, Foye, Hassell, Ebi, and Kandi with T-Hud being the 6th man.

by roundhouse on Aug 4, 2008 2:36 PM CDT   0 recs

Do you suppose Supporting Mitt was part of the KG deal?

I mean, I get Ainge, since both he and the Mittster are Mormon (not that that’s how you should decide who you support for president, but I’m guesssing they share a lot of the same views).

I like the idea that Ainge made it part of the negotiation: “No, we’re not giving you Rondo and if you want Cupcake you also have to donate to Mitt—I mean, Cupcake averaged nearly 10 points during our 17 game losing streak!”

It does speak to McHale’s ability to relate to the average player these days—I doubt too many of them were lining up behind Romney, even if he would have cut their taxes.

by Sterno on Aug 4, 2008 8:00 PM CDT   0 recs

I've always wanted...

...to do a big political/Wolves FO post. I think there’s a lot of good stuff to be mined there. I had no idea Ainge was a Mormon. I have a dual degree with religious studies and political science and that sort of thing fascinates me to no end. I was really hoping that Mitt would make it against Obama. I would have loved to see conservative Southern Baptists wrestle with that one.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Aug 4, 2008 9:08 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

You may get your chance

Though I guess our governor is the frontrunner, Mitt still has to be considered one of the favorites to be the VP candidate. He supposedly brings a lot of economic experience that McCain lacks. And of course he’s actually been on the Internet. Plus, he can deliver a lot of big fundraisers (besides basketball execs). Given McCain’s already strained ties with the religious right, it would make for an interesting pairing even if the Mittster isn’t at the top of the ticket.

by Sterno on Aug 5, 2008 6:13 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Mitt definitely...

...has tried his best to get on the ticket (he’s personally retiring his campaign debt, allowing his donors to give all their money to McCain), but ultimately I don’t think that a guy who left his first wife because she was disfigured in a car accident so that he could pick up someone a bit more…uh, trophy-ish, or a guy who made a sloppy first kiss with the evangelical right by going with a guy who had some wonderful things to say about Catholics (Hagee: whom he picked because of his ties to the Jews for Jesus faction of the evangelical right), and never mind his earlier comments about Bob Jones and the “hateful” rhetoric of the evangelical right, he’s not going to roll with a guy who is viewed as a member of a cult by a large chunk of evangelical Christians. If Mitt does get on the ticket, it will be interesting to see just where the rubber meets the road for many of these “values voters”. As we have repeatedly been reminded since 2000, religious details matter in politics and are these folks willing to vote for a liberal Christian more than they are for someone who literally breaks a couple of the 10 Commandments and is viewed by many as being part of a fundamentally anti-Christian faith? It would have been an interesting dilemma: would they stay at home or prove that their politics are a little too embedded in their faith? If the details matter, the ends can’t justify the means.

I think it’s going to be T-Paw or a last minute surprise from the House; a youngish up-and-coming Republican.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Aug 5, 2008 7:42 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

The choice of VP...

won’t make the election for ether side but he has the chance to break it for McCain. The people who will like Romney are the people who will suck it up and vote for McCain just he isn’t a democrat.

The only down side with T-Paw is the he won’t beable to give McCain an extra state (no way Obama loses MN). He is young, well spoken, and has been a good mix of towing the company line one some issues while doing his own thing on others.

Sense apparently modern day politics is only concerned with things like what groups you represent and how you feel about hot button issues (than ever actually change and aren’t really affected by the president) there is no reason to really talk about what T-Paw believes. Thanks for that Karl.

by Pants_ on Aug 5, 2008 8:09 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I think...

...McCain could win Minny with T-Paw on the ticket. McCain, Pawlenty, and Coleman will play better than Obama, ?, and Franken in a lot of places: exurbs, Rochester, the 6th, the non-Austin/Winona areas of the 1st, the 7th, and a fair chunk of urban independents. T-Paw survived a DFL landslide in 06 because of Mike Hatch and a good ground game. I don’t think he will win here but I don’t think it’s a given that Obama will carry it. If he does, it will take some split tickets as I think Coleman will beat Franken and T-Paw, if he makes it, will carry some hometown independents over whoever Obama picks…unless it’s Hillary.

As for your last paragraph, there is an interesting school of thought that views the 18th Century view of reason as being outdated: that it is external, dispassionate, etc. From what we are learning about how the mind works, emotion and unconscious thought play a large part into how people make decisions (in this case, read: political ones). Groups, group/brand identification, and “un-beneficial” emotions like happiness and guilt are just as powerful motivators as are basic economic needs and getting the “facts” straight. Traditional liberals view things like opposition to global warming as being an instance of where people simply don’t have the facts; all they need to do is show people the truth and they’ll rationally move to the “correct” position. This is why Al Gore named his book An Assault on Reason. However, it turns out that our minds may not really work that way. Political ideals may not be based on external self-evident truths; rather, they are embedded qualities of the physical brain. Summing this all up: Karl is definitely a bastard, but he may be more in tune with how peoples’ minds work than his traditional liberal counterpart.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Aug 5, 2008 8:39 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

whoops...

...t-paw didn’t have a good ground game; i meant to type “media game”

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Aug 5, 2008 8:40 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Interesting notes on the inner workings of the mind. It goes along way to explaining the oddly grouped sets disparate issues that fall under the realms of democrats and republicans.

by Pants_ on Aug 5, 2008 10:48 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

George Lakoff...

...just put out a book called the Political Mind that is a good primer on the political aspects of evolutionary psychology. It’s pretty basic but it’s a good starter. If there is one thing to take away from all of it, it is that political ideology is not an external slide rule that people move on from left to right. Rather, people are equipped with the tools to view various frames in a conservative or liberal manner and much of the decision making process may be unconscious. Some people (Rove) are very adept at tapping into (knowingly or not) this sort of process. It’s one of the big reasons why McCain’s latest “Obama is an unexperienced celebrity” strategy is resonating. Through years and years of social structure, as well as years and years of the physical brain processing that structure’s information, some people decode this information thusly: he’s an uppity negro. They are being presented with a recognizable frame and they are reacting to it both consciously and, more importantly, unconsciously. It appears that the ones who react the most are white moderates and independents. Is this racist? I don’t know. It sure as hell is pretty damn cynical.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Aug 5, 2008 11:04 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Isn't it more of a Hollywood connection?

I think the connection to courting Hollywood is what resonates more with conservatives of all hues. Hollywood offends people’s sensibilities. Many people don’t vote for the person who matches them politically, but the person who could get their car out of the ditch. Both parties settle into a pattern than galvanizes their base at the same time as it offends the other, and it seems like the breakdown leads to Republican victories.
Clinton was great at was borrowing the rhetoric of the right so the republicans lost their talking points. In some ways it was the same maneuver as having a republican from Hollywood. If you never heard a word from their mouth, you can look at these two (Obama and McCain) and see how they got to this spot. The question is if the unconscious decisions you mention is going to break things down to Republican all over again.

by midlife crisis on Aug 6, 2008 6:25 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Well...

...it’s not so much that it would break down Republican as it is that Democratic candidates would have to frame their issues in a different manner. The typical classical liberal approach is this: here are the facts, you need to know the facts, now vote in your best interest as determined by the facts. The problem with this is that we are learning things about how the mind works that really call into question the foundation of this classical liberal view; “facts” are not external and indifferent, rather they are embedded ideas of a physical brain that, in some cases, reward feelings like guilt, happiness, and other assorted emotions that have not traditionally been a part of rational inquiry.

Getting around to your point about Republicans, I think Obama has tapped into a very emotional need for change. I follow politics pretty closely and I have zero idea what change means with the guy. However, after the 2000 election and 2 wars, I’m ready for it. My “rational” thought process here has nothing to do with whether or not his election may be in my best economic or social interest (I’m just assuming it will be), rather it’s because I think the last 8 years have been a disaster and I would vote for a Democratic toaster at this point.

You make a good point about how both parties are too geared towards their base. Rove proved that you could govern the country on an “and 1” basis (as in 50 and 1 %) and don’t think that the Democrats weren’t paying attention. If Obama wins the White House, I think the last few years were just a warm up for the type of nastiness we’ll see from DC. It’s a pretty complex subject, but the way the House and Senate have been run in the past few Congresses it will only serve to make things worse; if Democrats win everything in November, they will have 2 years to get as much done as possible and that will mean zero input from Republicans. And, as post-94 Republicans have shown us, it’s that one party can literally cut the other out of the legislative process….especially in the House.

Here are some good books on the subject:

The Broken Branch
Fight Club Politics
Congress Reconsidered
The Great Derangement (it has a fantastic chapter on the issue of congress)

If anyone reads these, pay special attention to the role of the Rules Committee, conference committees and leadership PACs. We have a highly developed form of legalized bribery at this point.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Aug 6, 2008 8:08 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Interesting discussion though no way your politics will get more complicated then ours ^^ nevah!

by Wim (Belgium) on Aug 5, 2008 8:26 AM CDT   0 recs

You are not kidding

If anyone doesn’t know Belgian politics, they have one of the most complicated systems of democratic government on the planet. There are elements of federalism, constitutional monarchy, and parliamentary systems. They can suspend majorities, create alliances on the fly, and some minorities, I think, have special protections (language-based if I remember correctly). It’s pretty interesting.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Aug 5, 2008 8:45 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Yea that’s the downside of having been conquered by 27 (just saying a number) nations throughout history ^^.

by Wim (Belgium) on Aug 5, 2008 12:49 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I think this is the most revealing thing I’ve ever seen re: Belgian politics: once I was walking down a street in Prague, and came across the Belgian embassy. Except that it wasn’t the Belgian embassy – it was the embassy of “the Francophone community of Belgium”! So the Flemish and the Walloons even have separate embassies? And I thought we had trouble getting along in Canada…

by plinytheelder on Aug 6, 2008 12:39 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

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