Coach's Challenge

Paul Forrester of CNNSI had a good breakdown of the challenges and prospects facing the eight new NBA coaches this year. I thought it might be good to profile our own head wizard in a similar fashion.
Challenges:
- Defense, Defense, Defense. The Wolves were 5th worse last year in point differential, a hefty -6.78 per game. They gave up 102.37 points per game, 10th worse in the league, and allowed opponents to shoot .472 overall, 4th worse in the league. If Kevin McHale thinks that 20 more wins are coming strictly due to the additions of Kevin Love, Mike Miller and Rodney Carney--all primarily offensive players--there must be truly some fierce hallucinogenic in the Iron Range or North Oaks air. Since the Wolves have no real individual stoppers on the roster--save for an occasional Corey Brewer sighting--Wittman is going to have to develop a team approach to defense, with the idea that good enough may be the best this team can do right now. It's regrettable that McHale couldn't find a Richie Adubato or Dick Harter type of assistant coach who could help Wittman to preach and design schemes on defense.
- The Love Connection. Okay, McHale wanted a shorter, heavier version of himself on the team, albeit with much better passing skills. Only time will tell whether or not the Mayo/Love exchange was justified, but in large part that depends on how Wittman uses Love. The conventional wisdom--both from an offensive and defensive standpoint--has been beaten to death; the time is near to see exactly how Wittman's pairs the kid with Big Al. Will the fans go wild, or be hurling empty chocolate milk cartons toward the Timberwolves bench by mid-season?
- How much progress will be enough? Even the most optimistic Wolves fans probably deep down feel a 20 win improvement is unreasonable. So, no playoffs...again. Yet, fans are starving for some sign of results, and not unlike the current presidential race, may once again be willing to give a failed organization yet another shot at redemption. Too bad Pam Borton signed an extension with the Gophers; she may have been the Palin-esque jolt the coaching staff needs to help Randy keep his job. Seriously though, if the Wolves stay in the 20's, how can Wittman keep his job, other than through his country club connections?
Prospects
The Wolves have stacked their improvements on the offensive end, which should substantially improve their offensive stats (95.59 points per game, 5th worse in the league last year). Given the acquisition of Love, Miller, and Carney, as well as the re-signing of Gomes, Telfair and Smith, the Wolves can effectively argue they have given Wittman a better chance of success this season. If he were an outsider like Dwyane Casey (or even Bill Blair), this certainly would be a do-or-die season for the Hoosier. In an earlier thread, many of us predicted a win record in the mid-30's; if that's realized, the prospects for Wittman to stay on as head coach are decent to good. On the other hand, if the Wolves start out of the gate as poorly as last year, McHale may be forced to bounce Randy mid-season. But, there's too much talent for him to screw up that badly, right?
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Optimistic
In the matter of being a true Minnesota sports fan I enter another season with optimism. And, like the majority of seasons, be it football, basketball or football, my optimism for a Minnesota team to make the playoffs and challenge for a championship is highest before the first game has begun.
The additions of Love and Miller don’t provide any indication of the Wolves improvement in defense this year, but the resigning of Gomes, Telfair and Smith might. SInce defense is a team effort, keeping the core group of players together has to lead to an improvement in defense this year. Foye, Jefferson and McCants have a foundation to build on and Love and Miller, being offensive players but intelligent players as well, should be able to fit into the defensive scheme relatviely seamlessly. And, if the Love and Jefferson tandem is getting abused on defense inside we have Collins and Booth on the bench to provide some inside presence and even an occasional Maddog and Cardinal option to go out and infuriate the opposing team’s players with their energy and uncoordinated hacking that might just disrupt the opposing teams rhythm.
Brewer should get playing time whenever Miller tires or a small forward goes off on him for a string of baskets and Foye will have more experience working with McCants and others. A Foye McCants backcourt does have some potential to provide a physical backcourt and they both should go all out on defense knowing Brewer and Telfair are capable backups who can come in to spell them when they tire. Wittman should have seen how Wade was used in the Olympics to teach Foye to really go after it and let him know he’ll get his breaks in the game. The same might be said for McCants and should be a good reason to keep him in his 6th man role. But, not only because he has freedom to shoot as the offensive weapon when he comes in, but also to create some disruption on defense.
I agree with you that it would have been nice if the WOlves had hired a defensive assistant to instill this mindset in the players, but it still has to come from the top. I think Wittman should be able to do that. At least I’m optimistic til the ball goes up on opening night.
by Andy B on Sep 12, 2008 10:43 AM CDT 0 recs
'too much talent to screw it up' No.
remember, OJ’s in Memphis now.
by 0004248939 on Sep 12, 2008 12:18 PM CDT 0 recs
The Fly in the Ointment
Is “D”, as Peter points out. As everyone who follows today’s NBA knows (and it seems like the Wolves braintrust is couting on most Minnesota sportswritiers, who don’t know bleep about hoops, to forget this fact), “D” wins championships. Look no further than Boston, or all the Spurs championships.
As the Phoenix experiment has shown, not being able to get stops when you need it will ultimately doom you come playoff time. It also explains why Memphis, for all their promise with the Gasol/Miller tandem, never won a playoff game, let alone a series (and there was a year or two where they had 50+ wins). And it’s why Fliip can’t get to an NBA final (that, and he can’t make adjustments in game or game-to-game to save his hide).
So are the wolves going to be better? If they are healthy, most definitely.
Are they going to score more points? How can they not, with the talent/scorers they’ve added, plus bringing back all the “core” from a 22-win team?
Will they win a few more games? Again, how can they not? There will be nights when some teams will come to Target and not be ready to play. The Wolves should have the offensive weapons to take care of them.
Are they going to win a lot more games? That depends on how improved the “D” is.
How improved will the “D” be? To my mind, not much. True, most of the players will have palyed together for a year now and should be more cohesive. However, the new players who will expect to play significant minutes (Miller and Love) are not known to be great defenders. Miller is probably not a liability against most matchups. However, Love is going to struggle defensively, if only because most young big men do and despite his “small area quickness”, he is still going to be undersized and underatheltic relative to most of the 4s and 5s in the league. So defensive improvement is going to be incremental at best, unless Al makes the leap and becomes a true shotblocker down low. And I can’t remember when a player has “learned” that skill after 4 years in the association.
So what will the wolves have to do to shore up their D beyond this year? to me, the critical elements for this team will be: 1. Getting better defense at the point and 2. Getting defense out of the 5. 3. Pray that Corey Brewer can get enough offensive game to justify 30-35 minutes on the court. None of those are rocket science. I’m somewhat optimistic about #1, if only because Foye is going to be given the chance to be the combo guard and he’ll have to prove that he can at least be a passable defender, otherwise, he’s never going to be a complete player and the Foye-Roy trade truly will be a disaster. PErsonally, i think the brian trust is expecting Foye to be the “lead” guard with McCants and Miller sharing time at the 2, with Telfair as the backup. I think Foye can step it up, at least to the point where he isn’t a liability (like he was when he returned from injury last year).
- is pretty binary. We’ll know after the first two weeks of the season (if not the first two preseason games) if Brewer has improved offensively. If not, then last year’s draft was a disaster, too.
- is more problematic, since there isn’t an above average defensive 5 on the roster at this point. While Collins may be an upgrade from the patchwork last year, he’s not a great defensive center. Otherwise, he’d have gotten a lot more minutes at all his other stops during his career. What the wolves are going to have to find (as posters here have said thousands of times) is an intimidating low-post defender. Easier said than done, obviously, since there are fewer than a dozen in the league. However, the payoff could be huge. Combine that unnamed defensive center and assume Brewer develops a jumpshot, a wolves lineup in a year or two of 1. Foye, 2. Miller, 3. Brewer, 4. Jefferson, 5. Defensive center, would provide both offensive punch and potentially spurs-like defense (with Brewer being Bowen and the 5 being duncan).
What do we do until then? Hope for 35 or so wins, expect 30, and pray it’s more than 25 wins.
by Sterno on Sep 12, 2008 12:55 PM CDT 0 recs
Collins is a very good defensive center. The problems is that he’s truly horrible on offense. Like makes Mark Madsen look like Rashad McCants bad. Like getting rejected by the rim even though he’s 7’ tall bad.
by McCleak on
Sep 12, 2008 8:36 PM CDT
up
0 recs
not sure what happend
but the 1st “1.” should be “#3” and the 2nd “1.” should be “#2”. All that typing for naught!
by Sterno on Sep 12, 2008 12:57 PM CDT 0 recs
Great post
“Will the fans go wild, or be hurling empty chocolate milk cartons toward the Timberwolves bench by mid-season?” – the chocolate milk jokes will never get old…I just hope they remain to be only “jokes” and not actual concerns for our new player.
I think the biggest potential signs for optimism would be Jefferson cementing a spot on the All-Star team that he’ll keep for the next decade, and Foye being 100% healthy and looking like Rodney Stuckey, if not closer to D-Wade. Then we cross our fingers with Pekovic crossing the Atlantic in two years, and the rest should fall into place, somewhere between Gomes-Love-Telfair-McCants-Miller.
If Foye sucks on D and remains a non-playmaking point guard, and Pekovic stays overseas, things will probably get worse before they get better.
by Andy G on Sep 12, 2008 1:22 PM CDT 0 recs
I'm not sure.
My understanding was that he has two full years remaining on his contract over there. That would make his likely rookie year to be the 2010-11 season. At some point, I think we’d basically just have to cough up the change to out-bid his Euro team. Since he is a 2nd Round pick (and not subject to the slotted maximums for 1st Rounders) I think we can do that whenever we feel he deserves it. Somebody correct that if it’s wrong. I really am not sure.
by Andy G on Sep 12, 2008 3:09 PM CDT 0 recs












