Final SCHOENE projection for the Wolves
by Stop-n-Pop on Oct 28, 2009 1:01 PM CDT
7 comments
We can't say enough nice things about Basketball Prospectus. If you haven't bought their book yet, you really need to do so by clicking here. After you're done placing your order, head on over to the BP blog and check out their final team projections. Here's what they have to say about Our Beloved Puppies:
West Lottery Win% W L Play Div Con NBA ORating DRating
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
L.A. Clippers .501 41.1 40.9 .39 .06 .01 .00 109.2 (15) 108.8 (14)
Phoenix .495 40.6 41.4 .36 .05 .01 .00 112.5 (6) 112.5 (26)
Houston .470 38.5 43.5 .24 .01 .00 .00 108.8 (19) 109.5 (18)
Golden State .459 37.6 44.4 .21 .02 .00 .00 109.5 (14) 110.5 (22)
Oklahoma City .412 33.8 48.2 .08 .01 .00 .00 107.6 (24) 110.3 (21)
Minnesota .378 31.0 51.0 .03 .00 .00 .00 108.2 (22) 112.1 (23)
Sacramento .230 18.9 63.1 .00 .00 .00 .00 105.8 (28) 114.5 (30)The big change in the West is Golden State tumbling from a legit playoff threat (just ahead of the Clippers) to near the bottom of the pack of teams that legitimately aspire to make the playoffs this year. Alas, this owes less to the general dysfunction in the Bay Area than Brandan Wright's long-term shoulder injury. Minnesota also lost about a win and a half from what is in the book because of Kevin Love's injury and some other changes in projected playing time. Still, barring a catastrophic injury to Al Jefferson, it is difficult to see the Timberwolves finishing behind the Kings in the standings.
There you have it; a rallying cry for the year: Finish ahead of the Kings!
0 recs |
7 comments
|
Email
Print
Comments
In the East
They’d practically be a playoff team.
Pining for a Troy Hudson/Marko Jaric backcourt.
by SBG on Oct 28, 2009 1:26 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
But Seriously
Boston at 51 wins? No 60 win teams? Only one team below about 28 wins? Methinks that the projection system isn’t very good at projecting at the extremes.
Pining for a Troy Hudson/Marko Jaric backcourt.
by SBG on Oct 28, 2009 1:30 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Not for high wins, anyway
It doesn’t seem to think that highly of Sacramento, does it?
(Holy cow, could the Kings not afford to take the risk on Rubio at their draft slot. If the rookie cap had resulted in waiting a year or two, they’d be staring into the eyes of this season without even a Tyreke Evans to hope on.)
by feral on Oct 28, 2009 3:10 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Beyond that..
…Memphis is the one that really surprises me.
Forever splitting the Cheechakos from the Sourdoughs
www.canishoopus.com
by Stop-n-Pop on Oct 28, 2009 3:42 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I imagine it only takes on-court “production” into account. No system can be designed to account for the butthole factor of Zach Randolph and Allen Iverson. I say you take away at least 10 wins from the Memphis prediction because of those two.
When I get sad, I stop being sad and be awesome instead. True story.
by Xand1 on Oct 29, 2009 10:13 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
But you're forgetting that...
Rubio certainly would have played if he’d been drafted by Sacramento. Nicer weather there, for one, and also he wouldn’t have to compete with another rookie point guard.
by LoveTo on Oct 28, 2009 5:29 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's certainly not certain, and maybe not even likely that he'd sign if drafted at 4 to the Kings
Those 2 reasons aren’t the core reason why he didn’t play here and aren’t the prime reasons why he would have played there. Maybe the Kings liked Tyreke more anyhow, though it’s also likely they didn’t take Rubio because they worried about the buyout and the likelihood of it getting done at that draft slot.
Rubio was almost a guarantee to sign anywhere in the top 3 because his contract size at that level would have been financially worth arranging the buyout to him. That’s a very big deal in this whole situation, and I doubt nicer weather and no PG competition would’ve changed that. Not to mention if he cared as much about team quality and situation as we’ve heard from different corners, the Kings would be just as bad or likely worse.
by nja700 on Oct 28, 2009 7:37 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Comments For This Post Are Closed
Secondary Sidebar
Related FanPosts on Canis Hoopus
FanPosts
Community blog posts and discussion.
Certain photos copyright © 2010 by Associated Press or Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Associated Press and Getty Images is strictly prohibited.
