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Those Who Ignore History Are Bound to Repeat It

Flowchart_medium

There is one question that every professional sports team, and just about anyone at some point, asks themselves from time to time: How did I/we get here?

Sometimes the question is asked from the top of the mountain, looking down in a moment of reflection. Sometimes the question is asked from the depths of failure, as a search for even the faintest glimmer of light.

While each situation's gravitas is unique, sports teams adopt a win-now mentality by reflex, and are constantly asking themselves this question (or at least they should be).

I've put together a flow chart to sort out exactly what moves led to the roster that our beloved Timberwolves now hold today; how did they get here?

With a franchise like ours, change of direction is a natural consideration. We're not a good team right now; how do we get better? What are the assets we have? What are our weaknesses? How can exchange with another party put us in a better position?

It is an endless cycle of questioning and testing that is never guaranteed to result in success. We've had our fair share of disappointment, from the franchise's failure to translate a roster built around Kevin Garnett (in multiple iterations) into a championship, to a painful rebuilding process (especially considering the number of injuries to key players that we've withstood).

I'm just blathering now, but these are the thoughts that make me want to trace the chain of events that led us to this state. So I made a flow chart to help me, and hopefully you, understand this team's state.

It's an attempt to trace the series of transactions that led to the particular roster composition (and draft stock) that currently comprises your Minnesota Timberwolves. If you have any suggestions on how to improve clarity or if you notice any errors, please let me know.

Without ProSportsTransactions.com, I would've been lost.

And don't forget to sign up for Hoopus Night (Friday, April 11th against the Suns) now.

3 recs  |  Comment 22 comments |

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at first glance...

…this is laser-awesome. I’ll have to scrutinize it for a while to get the full flavor but Good On Ya.

One thing I would be interested to see is the “net cash flow” that has occurred with all these trades. If I’m reading the chart correctly I think all the cash has been flowing in and none has been going out. So how much has Glen made with all these moves, setting aside the salaries for the sake of argument?

Also, where/who is Mavrokefalidis?

Thanks for whipping this up!

by highpockets on Mar 3, 2009 8:35 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

i like lasers, so thanks

mavrokefalidis was a draft pick of ours in 2006 that is still playing overseas. we hold his rights if he ever wants to play in the nba (outlook: not so good). i try to track his progress here: http://www.canishoopus.com/tags/loukas%20mavrokefalidis

with the money, it’s true that the sources i’ve been using list the wolves as taking cash in deals, rather than sending it out. i’ll try to track down amounts, but i may not be able to find them all.

thanks for the suggestion!

www.canishoopus.com

by wyn on Mar 3, 2009 9:04 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

good stuff; as always

Beater of the early Thabeet drum

by Wim (Belgium) on Mar 3, 2009 9:10 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Excellant work...once again

Wyn is the master. I bow….and thank him for doing a similar chart for the Suns

by Seth Pollack on Mar 3, 2009 10:02 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

thank you sir

i’m working on the suns next… but i’m already back to David Thirdkill… yeesh

www.canishoopus.com

by wyn on Mar 3, 2009 10:45 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Or this one:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UGa52pQ-z4E

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Mar 3, 2009 2:02 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

this is another goodie...

….http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l5zFsy9VIdM

It’s almost enough to make the middle class seem somewhat menacing ;)

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Mar 3, 2009 2:08 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

OK...

….last musical suggestion:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GzCi6qr5qKw

Studio version:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bqtlcHiSHTE

Best Dylan impression of the new century. Plus, it has a Wolf reference. They also dropped the best album of 2008. Here’s the best track on the album:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-i1Js32hCA

They’re from Portland. Maybe their favorite team is the Wolves too.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Mar 3, 2009 2:14 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I'll state the obvious

those are some high quality tunes right there. High quality. Black River Killer has improved my life . Definitely causal.

by littleboxes on Mar 3, 2009 3:55 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

ok...

…one more. This one caught my eye over at Colbert Nation:

http://www.colbertnation.com/the-colbert-report-videos/220272/march-02-2009/david-byrne-pt—2

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Mar 3, 2009 5:50 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Very interesting...

Take a look at the protected 09 1st rounder we get about 2/3 down the chart – somehow the team managed to extract that little gem from what was essentially Ricky Davis and Mark Blount – that’s a nifty little transaction!

There are others like it in the flow chart that show that the front office actually does a decent job of creating value, sometimes out of nothing. If Kevin McHale ever goes on trial for his crimes against basketball, this might be exhibit A in his defense.

However…

What the chart misses (by din of being a flow chart and not an oracle), and what the front office misses is a sense of the whole. The flow chart can be forgiven for not being able to show the impact of Malik Sealy’s death. What worries me is that the vision of the front office is unclear or missing. They are able to create value, but to what purpose? I’m curious if anyone could actually articulate the Wolves vision, maybe I’m just dense.

by gill0137 on Mar 3, 2009 10:19 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

For some reason I have the tought they are trying to follow the San Antonio model. I’ve seen some very similar things between the two, but I could be completely wrong too.

Beater of the early Thabeet drum

by Wim (Belgium) on Mar 3, 2009 1:19 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Knowing where you've been

is an important ingredient in determining where you are going. There is a lot to learn from an analysis like this.

In terms of a vision for the future, you first have to get yourself in a position to execute on whatever vision it you have created. If you are hamstrung by bad contracts and a lack of draft picks, it sure makes it tough to your vision a reality. On that front, we have done a commendable job in less than 2 years of accumulating a collection of assets that give us tremendous flexibility going forward, whether it’s young players on our existing roster, draft picks, overseas assets (Pekovic), or expiring deals. Looking at the flow chart above, the FO has done a tremendous job putting us in position to now execute on a vision.

Which leads us to…..what is the vision of the product we put on the floor? Well, I think we have a very rough foundation for that vision:

1. We have a team that is generally comprised of unselfish, hard working players that comport themselves in a way that doesn’t embarrass the franchise or its fanbase. This doesn’t necessarily lead to W’s, but I look at it as more of a foundational principle that we should adhere to as we try to build a winning culture. Character does ultimately count.

2. When healthy, we have a team that could win the battle of possessions on most nights. As long as Jefferson and Love are a part of our Core Group, we should try to build upon their strengths while at the same time addressing weaknesses: You can do this by adding more length, speed, and athleticism across the board. This should help improve rebounds garnered, deflections made, and defensive stops.

So we start with a high-character, possession-based foundation and then hopefully build upon that with players that add to those strengths and potentially bring some other capabilities that help neutralize some of our weaknesses.

Some players up and down the draft board that could be good strategic fits:
Rubio – Big, long PG. Gets a ton of steals.
Thabeet – Long Center. Solid enough on the boards that if paired with Love or Jefferson, we should maintain our advantage. Helps shore up our defense.
Aldrich – Tremendous defensive rebounder. Blocks out extremely well. Would absolutely help us win the possession battle on most nights.
DeMar DeRozan – Pure upside pick. Big athletic 2-guard would add tremendous size and athleticism to our backcourt.
Danny Green (later pick) – Another long 2-guard. Moves well without the ball and very efficient, rarely turning the ball over while getting his fair share of deflections on the defensive side.
Evan Turner – Turns the ball over a lot, but not bad in terms of TOs as a % of possessions. Tremendous rebounder from the wing. Great defender. Again, could be used a long 2-guard.
Terrence Williams – Andre Iguodala ceiling? Big, athletic, rebounds well. Yet another guy we could throw out there at the 2-guard to be an attack dog on both sides of the court.
Earl Clark – A bigger, longer, stronger version of Corey Brewer. Sometimes disappears, but physically, he is unlike anyone we have among our wings today.
Jerome Jordan – Long 7-footer that has improved every single year. Solid on the boards and defensively. Improving offensive repertoire.

Just some food for thought…..

by Rascal Flatts on Mar 3, 2009 12:04 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

good stuff

I like the overview of the picks. Over at ESPN they are saying this now about Thabeet

Thabeet is still 7-foot-3, and that’s all some NBA GMs really need to know. He’s an elite shot-blocker, a good rebounder and athletic for someone that big. But questions still swirl around Thabeet, the latest coming when 6-foot-7 DeJuan Blair dominated against him in a Pittsburgh win over UConn. Thabeet had five points and four boards. Blair had 22 points and 23 boards. When Thabeet plays against teams without a dominant big man, he thrives. But when he faces anyone with size or strength, he really struggles. — Chad Ford

I apologize if this nugget has already been posted and thoroughly discussed. Makes me worry about Thabeet. He should be a man among boys, even among very tough boys. I think wolves should take Aldrich over Thabeet.

by littleboxes on Mar 3, 2009 4:51 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed...

…on Aldrich. I think he’s the catch in the draft as far as big men go. Although, to tell you the truth, I wouldn’t be upset with Blair. He’s a super Rhino and if they’re all-in on small ball…;)

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on Mar 3, 2009 4:58 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Thabeet

I think Thabeet will always struggle with the big, bully types because he has such a high center of gravity. Aldrich has a much stronger base and will be much better in terms of one-on-one post defense. But one area Aldrich can’t touch Thabeet on is weakside shotblocking. Thabeet is simply the most gifted shotblocker that’s come along in a very long time. And he’s literally a game-changer in this regard, rendering some opposing teams into a bunch of jump shooters, as they simply give up on slashing to the hoop.

by Rascal Flatts on Mar 3, 2009 6:41 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t agree that every time he faces up against somebody with size or strength the struggles. He did a very good job against Luke Harrangody.

Beater of the early Thabeet drum

by Wim (Belgium) on Mar 5, 2009 5:27 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

but ...

Thabeet is still essentially a end-of-lottery pick; not a top 5; that’s rediculous.

Beater of the early Thabeet drum

by Wim (Belgium) on Mar 5, 2009 5:28 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Junk in our trunk

By my quick math, 8 of our current 15 roster spots come via trade from some truly horrendous teams: Memphis (3), Sacremento (2), and Boston pre-big-3 (3). I think this helps to explain the absence of depth, skill and athleticism on the current squad. If you look at the names, minus Big Al, none of them would even be starting if they’d stayed on these teams.

I’m also praying that we don’t get Utah’s pick this year. We do not need 4 picks in one of the weakest drafts in recent memory. We need to be vigilant in cheering against the Jazz for the remainder of the year. That, and giving Madsen the green light, are our best hope for future success.

Thanks for the Talking Heads posts.

by Ominuz P on Mar 3, 2009 7:01 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

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