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Building a Winner Update, pt. i: the new head of Basketball Operations

Since we are no longer in the mood to speculate about the goings on in the GM/Basketball Operations search over at 600 First Avenue, I thought it would be a good time to update our Building a Winner post as well as kick off a few ideas concerning our idea for a fan-based approach for the personnel management of the ball club. 

For those of you who are new to the site, you can read the first Building a Winner post by clicking here.  It was written back in early January and it is in need of a solid update.  In that post we talked about the team's needs in the Basketball Operations department, draft, and free agency.  We will do the same this time around with a series of three posts.  Let's start with Basketball Operations.

Here is what we asked way back at the beginning of the year:

The most pressing issue facing the squad is the coach and front office.  Will Kevin McHale be at the end of the bench at the opening tip of the 2009/10 season?  Will Toronto Ron, Jesus Jim, and Freddie Iowa run the front office in Triangle of Accountability fashion?  Will Papa Glen bring in an honest-to-Pete professional GM to run the ship? 

Amazingly, those questions--ones that should have been obvious to anyone with a pulse at the second Kevin McHale was relieved of his Basketball Operations duties back in December--have yet to be substantially addressed by the team. 

As if the Basketball Operations situation wasn't a pressing need way back when, it is really an issue now--a month before the 2009 Draft.  According to a few sources, we are under the impression that the trio of Toronto Ron, Jesus Jim, and Freddie Iowa are preparing for the off-season and draft just as they were last year at this time.  As we said back in January, like it or not, this is probably the trio that decides what to do with all of this year's draft picks.  Each and every day this team continues to operate without a new head of Basketball Operations, the writing on the wall becomes clearer and clearer that one (or all) of this group will head up the player evaluation component of the franchise.

What was really interesting about the Tom Penn loss (aside from being left at the altar) was that his selection marked an important operational development from Papa Glen: He clearly recognized that his team was in need of a man who could deal with the single biggest front office deficiency that has plagued his franchise since the day he took over--the proper management of assets under the CBA.

Say what you will about McHale's draft decisions, but the thing that really strapped this franchise--the thing that really killed all hopes of building a contender around Kevin Garnett (and made even more important since his departure)--is his complete lack of creativity with things like cap space and general asset management.  From the Wally contract to throwing in 1st rounders for guys like Marko Jaric and Marcus Banks, to matching the Trenton Hassell offer from Portland, McHale was a master of diminishing results.  Granted, Garnett's obscene contract was at the heart of some of these problems (and at the heart of some of the league-wide CBA changes), but the simple fact remains that this team lacked anything approaching creativity when it came to using exceptions, cap holds, and other tools of the trade that a guy like Penn put to great use during his time in Portland.  If Wolves fans are to take any positive out of this current GM search, it is that most of the candidates Papa Glen is looking at fit this important bill. 

What is not to Papa Glen's credit is that the Wolves are hopelessly behind the curve in terms of giving fans a sense that this job search (which should have started immediately after McHale was relieved of his duties in December) has a coherent purpose.  Most fans I hear from are convinced that this thing will end up with a large chunk of the status quo remaining in place.  Instead of getting out ahead of this story and creating useful themes that could give fans some direction and hope, the team has gone to radio silence.  The only things we hear and know are that each new week brings us yet another qualified candidate who turns the team down. 

In fairness to the club, they haven't had to make a decision like this before.  When Taylor bought the team, there was an untraditional transition between Trader Jack and Kevin McHale.  In general, the selection of a new GM isn't something that you want to do on a regular basis and there is definitely something to be said about making the right decision instead of a quick one.  That being said, the clock is ticking and with Fred, Ron, and Jim acting like business as usual in the realm of player evaluation and the draft, each passing day makes for a harder pitch to any young up-and-coming GM in terms of giving him the autonomy that would make a destination like Minny a palatable, or better yet, a preferable one. 

Hoopus Prediction:

The Wolves will maintain their current front office structure while promoting Fred Hoiberg to GM.  They will eventually bring in a business-oriented candidate for the head of Basketball Operations but this person will likely be a candidate who has been out of the league and wants back in, a'la Randy Pfund or David Kahn.  For reasons that may never be known to fans, Glen Taylor seems to have his sights set on a collaborative culture and we think that this, rather than issues relating to Kevin McHale, is the main reason why they are having such a hard time bringing in a new head of Basketball Ops.  In many ways, a collaborative pitch with a clock ticking towards the draft and important free agency deadlines is a pretty hard thing to sell.  From a logistical stand point, there may be a date of no return for many potential candidates who seek to bring in a new way of doing things.  One of the biggest selling points the team has is its wealth of future assets.  Unfortunately, many of these assets will have to be deployed on or shortly after draft day. 

Hoopus Prescription:

Glen Taylor needs to make a public announcement about the type of candidate he is seeking.  He doesn't need to tip his hand (as if word hasn't already made its way around the league) or give away sensitive information.  What he does need to do is let fans know that there is a process here and that the team is preparing for all sorts of contingencies and outcomes.  He should announce that Fred Hoiberg will be retained in the Basketball Operations department in some secondary capacity but that everything else is up to the new hire.  The reason for this is so that the team can continue to prepare for the upcoming off season and maintain the readiness of its assets so that the new head of Basketball Ops can hit the ground running.  This is a practical matter of moving forward, not maintaining the status quo.  He could dress up this announcement in the language of business (even organizations that are taken over require some form of transition) or politics (see the current Al Franken situation where he is in a holding pattern before receiving his certificate for the Senate).  He also needs to make clear to fans that the retention of Kevin McHale as coach is a decision that will be made by the new hire.  This is one area where fans need to have as much clarity as any potential hire.  Glen needs to explain to fans that he understands that any new hire will want to bring in his own people and that this includes replacing (or keeping) the man who used to hold the job he is trying to fill.

Taylor should then continue to press for candidates like David Lindsey and Tom Penn. Houston's Sam Hinkie is a name that we here at Hoopus have advocated for for a long time.  Short of an existing name from a winning franchise, Taylor should consult with organizers of MIT's Sloan Sports Analytics Conference to find a young candidate that could be brought aboard in an assistant title and groomed, along with Fred Hoiberg, to hopefully become the Wolves' own Tom Penn, David Lindsey, or Sam Hinkie.  Granted, part of the reason why candidates like Penn and Lindsey are attractive is that they have put time in with other organizations but Hinkie was plucked out of the Stanford MBA program.  Sometimes informed luck matters and if Taylor wants to have continuity of assets and a collaborative approach, perhaps he needs to concentrate more on creating his own cap guru rather than offering potential up-and-coming candidates a job that becomes less attractive with each passing day towards the draft, free agency, and contract reset date.  Again, a forward thinking public relations approach would go a long way towards making this sort of thing an attractive option to the players and fans alike.  There is nothing wrong with D.I.Y., even for a team with as long of a dysfunctional history as the Wolves. Creativity and results are eventually what will matter.

In the next part of our Building a Winner post we will talk about personnel issues: the draft, free agency, and trades. 

Until later.

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At the moment of that Wittman firing....

Does it not seem as if, when he pulled the trigger on Wittman and bumped McHale down to the bench, Taylor made a conscious choice to be passive for the rest of the season? It was as if he wanted to give McHale a chance to vindicate his personnel decisions by using them better as coach, so he told the front office we were letting things ride until April in order to evaluate where we were.

However they were thinking of that, this remains the one organization in professional sports that seems to think it can only do one thing at a time. If you’re dealing with Tom Gugliotta’s agent you can’t concentrate on re-signing other, more minor free agents. If you’re working out a trade with Memphis, it’s impossible to also concentrate on how that would dovetail with another move; you can only agree to one thing at a time, finish it, and move on. If you’re evaluating young talent, you have to keep all of that young talent exactly as-is, so considering other moves would be a problem. The collective intelligence that is the Wolves’ front office can only keep one thought in its head at any given moment.

So, we’re totally unable to pursue interviews with GM candidates during the season after we’ve demoted McHale — because we’re seeing how Sebastian Telfair’s game is coming along, and we have to concentrate. Or something….

by feral on May 21, 2009 7:31 AM CDT reply actions  

it's weird...

…at the very least they should have had either interviews completed (if it is allowed under contract…i need to double check that one) or planned in the 1st week following the season. i’m pretty sure candidates can interview during the season.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
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by Stop-n-Pop on May 21, 2009 7:40 AM CDT up reply actions  

Glen said they were almost *done*

Taylor himself said, in interviews the last week of the regular season, that the interview process was already almost done.

Little did we know that, by the time of the Penn collapse, the team still wouldn’t even have talked about the McHale situation with him, their leading candidate….. Something does not match up, there.

by feral on May 21, 2009 7:48 AM CDT up reply actions  

nope....

….i had that quote in queue but didn’t use it because one way or another, someone is not telling the truth. it doesn’t add up at all.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on May 21, 2009 7:59 AM CDT up reply actions  

Everyone seems to have heard the oracle on one point

For whatever reason, the dogma among Wolves figures these days includes one single mantra: the team has three first-rounders, but they’re not going to be keeping all of those.

Sichting was on the Paul Allen show yesterday, and while tap dancing around such things as whether he still had a job — he was equivocal on that — Jerry did leap up with the answer to the draft picks question. No! We cannot keep all three picks. Playoff teams have established players, so the Wolves cannot keep all three! (One wonders where Jerry thinks those veterans come from. Do they descend from heaven? Emerge from the bodies of slain titans?)

We have nobody to make the basic decisions about where the franchise goes, but apparently that part we know. Are there, perhaps, cap implications to the money held by each of those picks? Is that part of the rationale, there, too? Wouldn’t we have to have somebody in charge to get marching orders like that??

by feral on May 21, 2009 7:46 AM CDT reply actions  

i think...

….and this is pure speculation on my part, is that they are not going to let go of part of the blueprint (or whatever you want to call it) and that part of this included moving expiring contracts + draft picks for existing players with larger contracts on declining teams. I don’t know who these players are, but they seem to have an idea. Also, it doesn’t make much sense to keep all the picks simply in terms of having 3 new young guys with guaranteed money. 2 is probably the most anyone would really want to take on at once. Portland had more last year but 2 of them were Euro League players and one was injured in his 2nd year.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on May 21, 2009 8:02 AM CDT up reply actions  

I think

That veteran star players must emerge from the bodies of slain titans—that’s why it’s so hard for us to find any. Does the gnome in the tree around Lake Harriet count? Maybe he could play point for us, I mean produce a point guard for us.

by biggity2bit on May 21, 2009 8:51 AM CDT up reply actions  

Everyone should pray to him..

….to deliver a point.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on May 21, 2009 9:03 AM CDT up reply actions  

Portland played 4 rookies last season

Greg and Rudy were drafted the year before. Batum and Bayless were drafted that season. All were first rounders.

by Sabonis4Ever on May 26, 2009 1:06 AM CDT up reply actions  

I know...

….but with Fernandez and Batum, that’s like saying Ichiro was a rookie in his first MLB season. In name yes, otherwise not so much.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on May 26, 2009 3:47 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'd imagine trading one of the picks

purely stems from a lack of belief in the draft pool around #28. Having three scale contracts plus two second rounders and Pekovic coming (ha ha) in 2 years apparently isn’t manageable.

I’m not against having three scale deals and/or signing one (or even both) of the second rounders. Yes they are likely to be low yield selections, but the idea you might grab a “diamond in the rough” is not to be discounted. And let’s not forget the D-League comes in handy for this type of stuff. Rather than trading for someone else’s flotsam, your produce your own players under your terms.

I’ve seen enough pro sport to know what a lousy predictor of future performance draft position can be.

by Auswolf on May 21, 2009 8:08 AM CDT reply actions  

well put..

…and i put it kind of clumsily above, but I actually agree with this take if they are unable to move the picks for an established player. I’ve been predicting it for a while, but I really hope they don’t sell the 28th pick. They are in zero position to simply hand something away for cash right now. They did that with Chalmers and Roy and I don’t want to see it again when they could pick up a young player.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on May 21, 2009 8:23 AM CDT up reply actions  

Why does this scenario

seem like such an obvious step for this organization?

I’ve been predicting it for a while, but I really hope they don’t sell the 28th pick. They are in zero position to simply hand something away for cash right now. They did that with Chalmers and Roy and I don’t want to see it again when they could pick up a young player.

by PoorDick on May 21, 2009 8:57 AM CDT up reply actions  

i know..

….i penciled it in at the time of the kg trade. it’s useless to an uncreative organization. there are several international players they could stash with it.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on May 21, 2009 9:03 AM CDT up reply actions  

Excellent Post

I look forward to reading the rest. This reminds me of Nebraska’s search for a head coach after Solich was fired, they kept so much of the process veiled that the (rabid) public lived off a rumors that indicated every potential candidate was turning the job down and NU was starting to panic, resulting in the Bill Callahan hire. This may or not have been true, but a simple press conference or interview – which could have been completely orchestrated by the University if they wanted – clearing the air and putting the public at ease would have softened sentiment and garnered even more trust from the fans, instead of this lasting impression of incompetence and flop sweat.

by sgdtv on May 21, 2009 8:41 AM CDT reply actions  

Oy..

….i remember the solich nonsense. We lived in Omaha (Bellevue) for a long while and that was ridiculous.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on May 21, 2009 9:05 AM CDT up reply actions  

SnP

Are you planning any future posts looking at what evidence we have and trying to put it all together as to what’s actually happening inside this franchise? Like you said earlier, something doesn’t add up here. Are any Hoopus readers in management or business administration? Can you read between the lines here about how this organization is operating, what they may be doing or thinking—or why they’re behaving this way? I mean, what is the strategic benefit at this point? It’s like the Timberwolves are the banking industry of the NBA—“as long as we stay vague, everything will be OK. You’ll see. Just trust us. If we do (insert vague basketball speak), then we’ll find a titan to slay for a veteran player” etc. etc.

All kidding aside, where’s the sense of urgency? Where’s that critical business sense of a prime opportunity to make an aggressive move and significantly improve the team? It’s almost as if PG has lost his confidence, and his hanging his head and wringing his hands about breaking up with McHale, and consequently nothing is moving very quickly anymore.

by biggity2bit on May 21, 2009 9:01 AM CDT reply actions  

I think Wyn is planning...

…a Rumsfeld-esque knowns and unknowns post. I’ll follow up with him on it. I’m trying to get one of my neighbors (who is in management at Carlson Craft) to write a post for me but he just laughs when I ask him about it. ;)

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on May 21, 2009 9:07 AM CDT up reply actions  

Rumsfeld quotes that seem incredibly handy for this purpose

It’s astonishing how many Rumsfeld quotes seem apropos…. Maybe that’s because Rummie was an adept dissembler…. Maybe “adept” wasn’t the right word, there. He certainly was in practice, however. Lots of his statements from the podium were nothing but smoke.

Q. Who will be your new head of operations, Wolves?
Ans. “We do know of certain knowledge that (our new GM) is either in Afghanistan, or in some other country, or dead.”

Q. How have you revised your talent evaluation process so as to better identify star players in the making, Wolves?
Ans. “I would not say that the future is necessarily less predictable than the past. I think the past was not predictable when it started.”

by feral on May 21, 2009 9:56 AM CDT up reply actions  

Interesting stuff

I also advocated in one of the previous threads that Taylor has to stop the silence, he has to try to get ahead of this story. Control the spin.

On another point, regardless of whether Hoiberg is any good, here’s an issue: what’s going on right now? There’s a lot to do, with the group workout, the combine, the Euro camp, individual workouts, communications with other clubs. Not only is this stuff hampered by the lack of leadership, and of course a new person would have their own ways of doing things. Here’s the point, though: it seems like Hoiberg is likely to keep a job, and therefore has some incentive to work hard. Everyone else, though…why would they be doing anything but updating their resumes and trying to find work? They must know that there is a real chance that they will go as soon as a new person can get his own people in there.

by Eric in Madison on May 21, 2009 9:02 AM CDT reply actions  

From what I have been told by a few folks I trust....

….it’s business as usual with regards to prepping for the draft with Stack, Hoiberg, Babcock, etc. Everyone is still working as they were last season at this time.

The World's Leading Exporter of Small Area Quickness
www.canishoopus.com

by Stop-n-Pop on May 21, 2009 9:08 AM CDT up reply actions  

Well, maybe

but they are also human. Stack et. al. have to realize that if a new boss comes in, they are probably gone.

Still, it’s good to hear. I guess; it’s not as if this group has particularly distinguished itself. If they are doing the same stuff as always…does another 24 wins await? (I’m really crabby).

by Eric in Madison on May 21, 2009 9:14 AM CDT up reply actions  

Er, like last season?

When Kevin McHale was still in charge?

We’re holding a workout with more than ten teams attending and something upwards of 40 players…. How did we handle that last year, again? I can’t recall…. Who even invited these players?

by feral on May 21, 2009 9:58 AM CDT up reply actions  

ESPN is reporting that...

The Wolves are targeting Kahn now. Not to be the bearer of bad news…

by mnjayhawk on May 21, 2009 9:26 AM CDT reply actions  

Sweet. The nightmare scenario

Of course, who knows? There were Kahn reports weeks ago that turned out to be untrue.

by Eric in Madison on May 21, 2009 9:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

Only potential highlight might be that McHale was less likely to stay?

This is all echoed rumor, starting with the Fox article itself — but if the hints that Larry Bird didn’t like Kahn much were true, maybe a Kahn hire would mean McHale was less likely to stay.

Before the Penn thing came out, I spent some time on the fence about Kahn. At least he showed signs of thinking in somewhat unconventional ways, and the Wolves might have a chance to get out ahead of the D-League as a developmental tool. Now? There are just too many signs of his being a slick operator and not a guy to head up a team. Let the Maloofs hire someone like this.

by feral on May 21, 2009 10:03 AM CDT up reply actions  

Trade Proposal

Why? Jefferson is neither a center (too short) nor a PF (too immobile to defend). He also is an unwilling passer, poor defender, and too slow to play uptempo. Plus I believe KLove will ultimately become a superior all around player at the 4 (the position everyone seems to believe is Jefferson’s natural spot.

Washington needs a big, wants to win now, and can shift Jamison over to the 3.

We replace Jefferson with similar scoring, plug the 3 spot for the foreseeable future with a young All Star (and frankly better all around player), and get another high pick to grab the two of the best SG/PG options with the fifth and sixth picks.

by DougW on May 21, 2009 9:38 AM CDT reply actions  

Trade Proposal

Sorry, the proposal is:

Jefferson for Caron Butler and the #5.

by DougW on May 21, 2009 9:39 AM CDT reply actions  

Can't see Washington doing this

It commits them to a longer contract for more money (Jefferson).

They would be more likely to consider it if it were for Jamison as opposed to Butler. That makes them younger (Jamison is 32) and gets rid of a contract bigger than Butler’s,

Still, I doubt they would go for it—it’s alot of money they would prefer not to spend.

I was trying to figure out if they could get the first pick from the Clips, actually (remember they traded the 2nd pick for Brand). If the Wolves would be willing to take on Randolph’s absurd contract for Jefferson and Gomes would the Clips give them the first pick? It’s a tough sell, and I doubt strongly that either team would actually do it.

by Eric in Madison on May 21, 2009 9:46 AM CDT up reply actions  

hmmm

To be honest, I have no idea how good he is, but it certainly opens a spot if he’s ready.

Or you potentially grab Thabeet (not a big fan personally) at #5, the go Derozan or Curry or Holliday at the #6 and fill in the blanks with the remaining picks.

by DougW on May 21, 2009 9:42 AM CDT reply actions  

more

My worst fear is that the Wolves compound their error of overestimating Jefferson’s worth to grab Thabeet so Al can play PF. That would result in less minute for KLove, watching Jefferon get lunched by any PF with a jumper and some quickness, and us taking a lesser talent (Thabeet) to make it all happen.

by DougW on May 21, 2009 9:48 AM CDT reply actions  

LA idea

I wouldn’t trade Griffin for Jefferson, and I doubt anyone else would either…even if you can shed Zbo in the process and pick up a nice (but easy to find) role player like Gomes.

Washington is only taking on two extra years of contract. Butler and Jamison play the same position, and Jamison is on the books for four years. They’d be trading the better of the two for a scoring big man they desperately need. I think they would bite.

by DougW on May 21, 2009 9:55 AM CDT reply actions  

Yeah, I doubt the Clips would go for it either

On the other hand, I doubt Washington would consider the trade you proposed either. “Only” two extra years of contract? That’s quite a bit. Plus, is Jefferson coming off injury a better player than Butler? I mean, why would they pay more AND give up an asset like the 5th pick to make that exchange?

It gives them a little more balance, I guess, but that’s an awful lot to pay. I can’t see it.

by Eric in Madison on May 21, 2009 10:04 AM CDT up reply actions  

could be wishful thinking

And I hadn’t considered Jefferson’s shaky post op status.

I think I tend to forget the rest of the league knows Jefferson is not half the player the Wolves media machine would have us believe he is.

But, what if? We could be two deep at every position bar the 5!

by DougW on May 21, 2009 10:10 AM CDT up reply actions  

Zagoda reporting

We’ve hired Kahn, noon press conference tomorrow, sigh

by Ebomb on May 21, 2009 10:25 AM CDT reply actions  

Horrible news...

… I’m really losing patience/confidence in this organization (obviously this has been an ongoing process, but it’s especially bad now ;)

by Shogun on May 21, 2009 10:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

seriously?

Why do I continue to care about this team? I feel like Glen is trying to push me away. He is John Lithgow at the end of Harry and the Hendersons. I am Harry.

by wannayeti on May 21, 2009 10:53 AM CDT reply actions  

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