FanPost

Updated depth chart and PT estimate

I will keep this one short.  With the recent signing of Pavlovic, I thought it might be beneficial to compare his PER numbers to the players expected to be on next year's roster (for a while at least).

Offensive Depth Chart based upon offensive position PER
PG SG SF PF C
1st Sessions 20.6 Sessions 16.8 Gomes 11.9 Big Al 17.9 Big Al 26.3
2nd Daniels  14.4 Pavlovic 13.2 Brewer 10.5 Love 17.6 Love 22.6
3rd Flynn ? Brewer ? Cardinal 8.4 Gomes 16.0 Pecherov 16.3
4th Ellington ? Pavlovic 8.4 Cardinal 9.0 Hollins 12.7

Defensive Depth Chart based upon defensive position PER
PG SG SF PF C
1st Sessions 14.1 Sessions 14.3 Cardinal 13.2 Big Al 13.5 Hollins 13.9
2nd Daniels  16.9 Pavlovic 17.4 Pavlovic 14.3 Cardinal 16.3 Big Al 19.2
3rd Flynn ? Brewer ? Brewer 16.3 Love 19.1 Love 19.5
4th Ellington ? Gomes 17.5 Gomes 19.9 Pecherov 24.9

Overall Depth Chart based upon overall position PER
PG SG SF PF C
1st Sessions    6.5 Sessions    2.5 Cardinal    (4.8) Big Al    4.5 Big Al    7.1
2nd Daniels  (2.5) Pavlovic  (4.2) Gomes    (5.6) Love  (1.6) Love    3.0
3rd Flynn  ?  Brewer ? Brewer    (5.7) Gomes  (3.9) Hollins  (1.3)
4th Ellington  ?  Pavlovic    (5.9) Cardinal  (7.3) Pecherov  (8.6)

My takeaways from the charts above was that Pavlovic was better at guarding SFs because of his additional 35 lbs.  Pavs versus Brewer for Defensive Win Shares was 0.9 vs 1.2 in 07-08 and 1.4 vs 0.2 in 08-09.  The DRtg was 109 vs 110 and 105 vs 110 for the 07-08 and 08-09 seasons, respectively.  Without a lot of quality data to back me up, my hypothesis is that Brewer's a better man defender, but needs to add strength to not get taken advantage of.  But as of now, Pavs is better guarding the 3.  I think Brewer is a much better defender of 2's than Pavs will ever be...but again, no data.  With this in mind I prepared the following chart for position PT.

Position PT Estimate
PG 48 SG 48 SF 48 PF 48 C 48
1st Flynn 24 Brewer 15 Pavlovic 18 Love 30 Big Al 30
2nd Sessions 18 Ellington 15 Gomes 16 Gomes 10 Hollins 10
3rd Daniels 6 Sessions 10 Brewer 10 Big Al 4 Pecherov 6
4th Pavlovic 8 Cardinal 4 Cardinal 4 Love 2

Post away. 

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