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Around SBN: Will Rhymes 'Fine' After Being Hit By Pitch And Fainting

Yikes... Dave Berri shares the evidence that led him to the conclusion that Corey Brewer hasn't actually improved.

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This to me

is where the naked eye is better than than the stats. Does anyone really believe, when watching CB, that he was slightly worse this year than seasons 1 and 2?

This is not to say stats are worthless, just that there needs to be a balance between what is observed and what it shows on paper. The drawback of stats is that there are so many variables on any one play.

Science has the scientific method and controls its variables and then measures. No such controls for basketball stats. Each play has a mulitude of changing factors and is a bit random.

When you are playing a pickup game, there are certain players you know you want on your team or not. Why? Because your naked eye observations tell you so. Any kid on the playground knows this. This is not to totally deprecate stats, just that it should not be the final conclusion.

by Elastico on Apr 14, 2010 4:27 AM CDT reply actions  

I take stats with a grain of salt, but I think they help a lot with Corey Brewer’s evaluation. Sure, he looks more comfortable on the court, but all his activity and the great dunks from time to time make him seem like he’s making more of an impact than he is. The stats don’t back that up though. Corey’s great shooting in Jan/Feb has returned to earth.

I don’t have a huge problem with Corey becoming a good bench player who can provide some high energy defense/hustle plays on a good team. I don’t know how that works financially. I’m really worried about Berri’s last statement though about Brewer getting a big payday. Brewer’s o.k. for his salary this year, but for a bench type wing defender he’s a little overpaid next year at $3.7 million given what you can get out of D league guys and 2nd round picks. How do you offer a guy you recently promoted for MIP a salary less than his option? Even most Brewer supporters wouldn’t be thrilled to pay him an MLE type deal or more. How do we avoid that given what has transpired this year with the MIP campaign?

If there’s any “added” trade value with Brewer right now we should try to capatilize. His attitude/hustle seems like a trait the Pacers have sought…I’d take on Dahntay Jones deal with Granger as part of an Al for Granger base deal.

by Blond Ricky on Apr 14, 2010 7:19 AM CDT up reply actions  

Stats allow us to see our impressions from a different angle, is the thing.

I’m not a huge fan of “Win Scores,” not any more than I’m a PER maven per se, but as you say: “There needs to be a balance between what is observed and what(’s) on paper.” Quoting the article:

When we look past scoring totals, though, we see that he has declined substantially with respect to rebounds and turnovers. And although he is getting to the line more frequently, his efficiency from the charity stripe has declined as well.

There’s dogmatism of the “one stat to rule them all” variety, here, as “Win Score” judges overall production independently of role and position. Brewer has been moved to the two, whereas he was basically a SF his first year, so he’s not boarding as much now partly for that reason. His ability in that area isn’t necessarily changing.

But despite its limitations, the number still is letting us re-ask the question: Is Corey effective in his new role?

The picture we have of Brewer this year should be tempered both by things like watching the hot shooting streak and by this sort of number. They way I see Corey right now is this: In the absence of reasonable NBA talent on the wing, the Wolves gave Corey Brewer a season’s worth of green light. Through playing time, through an extremely painful early season, he got more comfortable, particularly in shooting. But the kid is basically still among the least consistent NBA players going. Our eyes can tell us that, too, can’t they? It’s still the case that Corey is not reliable. His touches have gone up dramatically; looking at the “advanced” (meaning, quite basic but not collected in a standard box score) stat “USG%” will tell us that. But can you depend on Corey? His turnovers, the swings back and forth when he’ll get a steal and then blow the possession on the other end trying to finish that break…. I think the numbers and our vision are in some accord, here.

The comparison I often come back to on Brewer, given what we see and what the numbers tell us, is to baseball players who don’t have much “plate discipline.” That’s a fair amalgam of what the numbers tell us and what our eyes see. Corey Brewer is like a dynamic batter who can’t help swinging at balls in the dirt. My basic question about him is whether NBA players ever really learn plate discipline in that sense. Maybe in a smaller role, Corey would be able to direct it better. (In baseball, not so much. Hitters seem to either have a patient eye or not, over their careers.)

"It has come to the editor’s attention that the Herald-Leader neglected to cover the civil rights movement. We regret the omission."

by feral on Apr 14, 2010 8:16 AM CDT up reply actions  

I thought Berri adjusted the score for position?

by oblivionspocket on Apr 14, 2010 12:27 PM CDT up reply actions  

This argument is completely flawed.

He fails to realize that Brewer is played a new position this year, one that he’s probably never played, and really shouldn’t be playing. When you switch from a Forward to a Guard, it’s expected that your rebound rates will go down. He’s playing on the perimeter much more this year, due to his improved shooting from 3, and therefore can’t get to some of the rebounds he would have as a small forward who can’t shoot. His usage rate is also much higher, he has the ball in his hands more, in a faster paced, new offense. That’s why his turnovers are higher, not because he’s a worse ballhandler than his rookie year, which is almost impossible, because his ballhandling was terrible two years ago. People look at scoring in this case not necessarily because of a misperception in the NBA about scoring, but because as a SHOOTING Guard, you’re expected to score and not much else. Kobe Bryant is a pure scorer at the 2, and nobody’s looking into his stats and saying his rebounding and assist numbers aren’t great so therefore he isn’t one of the top 3 players in the NBA.

by kcoryell on Apr 14, 2010 6:51 AM CDT reply actions  

"Kobe Bryant is a pure scorer at the 2, and nobody’s looking into his stats and saying his rebounding and assist numbers aren’t great so therefore he isn’t one of the top 3 players in the NBA."

I can guarantee you that Berri is.

There is a positional adjustment to wp48 that accounts for your concern about different roles on the court. However, I think your argument is valid in that Corey , this year, may need to be evaluated as a 2 not a 3. That could change things (but probably not much).

by vjl110 on Apr 14, 2010 7:41 AM CDT up reply actions  

Correct.

but that is because he is comparing across an individual player. As kcoreyl said, that might be a problem in this case, because Corey has changed position.

by vjl110 on Apr 14, 2010 8:46 AM CDT up reply actions  

plus you get small sample size

issues in his 2nd year.

A Darko Fan since 2010!

by TheEvilProfessor on Apr 14, 2010 9:24 AM CDT up reply actions  

You want him to be a three, where his defense suffers?
is played a new position this year, one that he’s probably never played, and really shouldn’t be playing.

The Wolves have nobody other than Ryan Gomes (who’s a ‘tweener and really can’t play much offense at SF), who looks remotely like a starting NBA three. The reason Corey’s not there much is that he’s gotten killed defensively too often. Look at the way Rambis has used his roster, and you’ll see that he’s doggedly avoiding Corey at SF most of the time. He gave him Durant, another super-skinny type, to mark, but there have been countless examples this year of how shy Kurt R. is of putting Brewer on people like ’Melo. (He gave that one to Love at one point rather than Brewer.)

Everyone who’s wondered all season long how Sasha Pavlovic was getting minutes, here’s one of your answers: Rambis thinks Pavlovic can defend threes, and he mostly doesn’t think Corey can do it. The Wolves have been limping along at SF using veterans at hand like Wilkins and Sasha because Rambis doesn’t feel like he can slide Corey over.

"It has come to the editor’s attention that the Herald-Leader neglected to cover the civil rights movement. We regret the omission."

by feral on Apr 14, 2010 8:24 AM CDT up reply actions  

Rambis may think that, but it isn't completely true.

A lot of times Corey will overhelp because of defensive failures by some of the other guys on the team, and it leaves him just looking terrible trying to sprint out to a wide open shooter who he should have been guarding. If the Wolves had a competent defensive point guard, and two guys good at defending the paint, I don’t think Corey would need to overhelp and lose his man. He does need to gain strength to play against guys like Melo, but 3 is a more natural position for him, his ball handling skills are kind of masked because he isn’t handling the ball as much. He does look completely lost on defense sometimes, but I think if he had 4 proficient guys on the floor with him he would be a very good defender.

by kcoryell on Apr 14, 2010 6:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

Belatedly, let me just say

that right now it has at least a fair amount to do with his body’s lack of simple mass.

Corey’ll get under the basket for a board and just be tossed around like a leaf under there. Powerful players murder him. Rambis put Love on ’Melo instead.

"It has come to the editor’s attention that the Herald-Leader neglected to cover the civil rights movement. We regret the omission."

by feral on Apr 19, 2010 8:18 PM CDT up reply actions  

There is a reason

scorers get the contracts. Not because GM’s are stupid; it is because scoring is the big kahuna of all stats. If your team avgs. a 100 points a game and you got a guy who takes care 25% of that, you will tolerate weaknesses in other areas. We are begging for a wing scorer who can do just that even if he would not be a lockdown defender or a big time rebounder or one who dishes proficiently.

by Elastico on Apr 14, 2010 7:46 AM CDT reply actions  

My conclusion.

This guy is a douche for the sake of being one.

"This town, this night, this crowd
Come on put them up, let me hear it loud"

by Stay classy, Joe. on Apr 14, 2010 7:59 AM CDT reply actions  

oh the wonderful irony

a comment describing a guy as being a douche just for the sake of it (which he kind of is btw) by the name stay classy.

I love every minute of it.

A Darko Fan since 2010!

by TheEvilProfessor on Apr 14, 2010 8:02 AM CDT up reply actions  

Flawed post from Berri

If you look at the numbers Berri put into the table, they are per 48 minutes of game time. The problem is that Brewer is a much more significant part of the offense this season. So while his his number of turnovers for every 48 minutes is up, his turnover % is barely changed from his rookie season.

In fact, look at the guards who have a similar usage % (between 20-25). Corey’s 13.4% TOV ties him for 23. Not amazing, but not the horribleness that Berri implies. Additionally, it’s slightly better than his rookie year.

Additionally, if you look at guards who have at least 1000 minutes this season, Corey’s 4.1 per 36 minutes has him in the mid 30’s. Again, nothing to write home about, but not terrible either. By contrast, his position amongst forwards in his rookie season was 82th.

In short, I’m pretty sure Berri is being compared to other small forwards. In fact, I am positive of it, and that’s the reason for relative downturn in his numbers. In reality, Brwer is having the best season of his career.

by McCleak on Apr 14, 2010 8:02 AM CDT reply actions  

This helps with perspective

Coming into the year, we weren’t sure that Brew was an NBA player, period.

He’s shown that he can play in the NBA which wasn’t a given. We’re happy about this for Corey, he’s a likeable guy. But he is not performing at a level where you would consider him an impact player or someone to build around.

by Punisher#8 on Apr 14, 2010 8:33 AM CDT reply actions  

Color Me Unimpressed

I don’t feel Brewer should be any unconsideration for Most Improved Player in the league. The reason for this is simple- he doesn’t improve the T-Wolves much on the court. His Overall Numbers are fairly pedastrian. His Plus/Minus is about neutral. His Opponent Per isn’t that good. His Defensive Mulitplier numbers are poor. Looking at everything that can be considered a Defensive Metric he’s disappointed. I realize a lot of this could be due to poor rotations- caused by other horrible defenders. At the other hand- his production just hasn’t helped this much on this end of the floor.

He’s clearly improved as a shooter (He’s still below average) His turnover percentage remains about the same. As far as his rebounding goes- despite being 6’9 he’s no plus at the position. Compare his rebound rate to another Similar Build Player in Josh Childress. Berri’s article is true in that Brewer is overrated due to scoring impact. I actually see very little to disagree with within it.

by Jose Cordoba on Apr 14, 2010 8:50 AM CDT reply actions  

I think you are splitting hairs

the MVP is supposed to go to the guy that is the most valuable to his team (i.e. improving them). The most improved player award is usually for the player that has improved his own game the most from last year.

The question I ask myself is whether or not the player passed the “where the hell did they come from” test. While he does pass it, I do think it is fairly clear that there are others who have made similar improvement to their game that are more worthy. Durant, Gasol, Brooks all come to mind.

For the record you can pretty much ignore the opponent PER as it just doesn’t have a very high correlation to reality in my opinion. Sometimes it is correct in pointing out poor defenders and other times it’s not. God I wish they could come up with some better defensive metrics..

A Darko Fan since 2010!

by TheEvilProfessor on Apr 14, 2010 9:33 AM CDT up reply actions  

I would really like to see

Opponent PER turned into a team stat much like +/-

You could measure the efficiency of players while you are on and off the court in terms of PER, but I agree that it is very limited in effectiveness when used in isolation… especially on a bad team. Al Jefferson and Kevin Love look like good defenders according to some statistics… does anyone really believe that this isn’t due to them ignoring the fact that they could stop the easy basket? It’s easy to let another guy score and keep your own from scoring when you refuse to help out when someone penetrates. Which for the record, you absolutely can not stop your man from penetrating if he is worth a contract. Especially off of good screens (which our team is also really bad at). I have just never seen the argument that Love and Jefferson are actually good defenders surrounded by bad defenders. I’d like to see their opponent PER if they actually rotated correctly. It would definitely hurt them, but it would help the team a ton!

by Mplax on Apr 14, 2010 10:17 AM CDT up reply actions  

Love is actually ok

at stopping (well discouraging) of a wing/PG coming off a screen set by his assigned man outside the paint. Of course, this rarely prevents a score due to general system malfunction once rotations need to be instigated. Darko is better, Jefferson much worse. Love is not at all good at stopping players who have succeeded at driving into the paint. It’s alonmst as if he just wants to avoid fouling (wants to stay on the court above all else?) Jefferson has moments of success here amidst a sea of general disinterest. Darko is, of course, much better as a deterrent to deep penetration. As far as on-man defense, Love does a good job of working to deny deep position in the post, where real estate is 90% of the battle, whereas Jefferson does not fight for post position on either end of the floor. Neither are good at guarding spread 4s, but only Jefferson prompted Rambis to move Darko onto this type of player to keep big Al defending the paint.

by dropstep on Apr 14, 2010 10:42 AM CDT up reply actions  

Brewer's D

All defensive stats have problems in that you’re trying to evaluate opponent production (Which can be evaluated) along with figuring out how certain men are fulfilling their schematic responsibilities (Which is next to impossible to evaluate). Defensive Multiplier is a stat put up Basketball Prospectus which measures the quality of players you’re guarding, and their actual production per possession. Plus/Minus can sometimes help but it’s no sure bet either.

A More important point with Brewer is that he was drafted as a Potential Defensive Game-Changer. I’ve seen very few performances which have shown him to be that good a defender to offset his offense. The one stat that can’t be argued with is record 15-66.

by Jose Cordoba on Apr 14, 2010 11:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

Defense

Ya, Brewer’s defense has been poor this year, but I chalk that up to terrible team defense. I think he has the skills to be great but isn’t right now because he’s either trying to do too much or simply can’t count on his teammates. It’s sort of a backwards thing – he’s stopped trusting his teammates on defense so he freelances more, which actually makes the team defense worse because now his teammates aren’t sure what he’s going to do next. Getting the team back to basics on defense will significantly improve Brewer’s D – that’s my prediction.

The other observation I’d make about Brewer and rebounding is that this year he always seems like one of the first guys down the court on a fast break. In other words, he’s giving up rebounding chances because he’s sprinting down the court for outlet passes (that’s one of his roles on the team).

"Thankfully, they are not straw-colored brain bats."

by biggity2bit on Apr 14, 2010 12:36 PM CDT up reply actions  

Totally agree

He can definitely rebound, but due to being a SG and trying to cherry-pick, he has foregone boards that he used to get in prior years. I kind of wonder though whether we’d be better off if Rambis had asked him to hit the defensive glass harder. I realize this would have foregone a few fast break opportunities, but I wonder if the tradeoff nets out in the positive because we prevent even less second shot opportunities by the opposing team.

Defensively, I think he is pretty focused against guys like Durant and Ginobilli and plays them about as well as anyone does. It’s when he gets the guys that aren’t studs where he floats around too much and gets burned by three point shots.

by Rascal Flatts on Apr 14, 2010 12:45 PM CDT up reply actions  

Can't count on his teammates?

True enough. What, exactly, can a team count on from Corey Brewer though? Frantic activity, yes. Positive results, not so much.

Brewer is the Zen player: every time you put your foot in that water, it’s a different river.

"It has come to the editor’s attention that the Herald-Leader neglected to cover the civil rights movement. We regret the omission."

by feral on Apr 14, 2010 2:18 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm unimpressed, too

I mean, look at Corey’s Wigwam Stat, his Substitution Modifier Numbers and his irregular Overall Opponent Gatorade Multipliers and it’s obvious to see that Corey Brewer is a terrible basketball player. How could everyone else be so blind when the evidence is right there in front of them?

by TimAllen on Apr 14, 2010 9:52 AM CDT up reply actions   2 recs

Yes but...

…the gatorade multiplier is a wash at the end of the game.

by timmuggs on Apr 14, 2010 10:21 AM CDT up reply actions  

That's a good point

and I’d also suggest that the Wigwam Stat has never stood the test of time… It’s just not very reliable.

by Mplax on Apr 14, 2010 10:25 AM CDT up reply actions  

But his Crotch to the Face Dunk/Regular Dunk ratio is Top 3 in the league.

by BVP on Apr 14, 2010 10:26 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

I've run a thorough statistical analysis of your hatred of statistics.

And the data shows, unequivocally, that there is a significant (r = 0.93, P < 0.005) correlaton between your ability to understand a statistics calculation and application, and your acceptance of it’s validity .

A evidenced from the quotes from your Fanpost,

Now, according to some, you don’t truly get to understand the game of basketball unless you have a PhD in statistics. The casual fan is pushed out and told that he doesn’t really know what he or she is watching.
and
And if other people like using advanced stats, great. But as someone who comes to this message board often, it’s very frustrating when I feel like I need to sign up for classes at Carlson Business School just to understand an argument about basketball.
your rejection of advanced has a decidedly personal/emotional component, suggesting an inability to rationally and impassionately examine the information at hand. In other words, it’s really all about you.

This is 100% natural. As humans, we’re programmed to fear what we don’t understand, and hate what we fear. I get it.

by dropstep on Apr 14, 2010 2:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

Do you charge by the hour? Or by the semester?

I figure you’re either trying to give me psychoanalysis or tutor me, but I can’t figure out which.

by TimAllen on Apr 14, 2010 2:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

Funny thing for you to say

Because the only Timberwolf that significantly improves the team is Darko, and you’re dead set against keeping him

by Oceanary on Apr 14, 2010 4:21 PM CDT up reply actions  

I wonder how many games of basketball

Dave Berri has watched in his entire life? I really hope GMs don’t put any stock into this guy’s nonsensical ramblings.

by TimAllen on Apr 14, 2010 9:53 AM CDT reply actions  

The timing on this nonsense couldn’t have come any better after your “CodeTalkers” post. ;)

by BVP on Apr 14, 2010 10:25 AM CDT up reply actions  

Nonsense?

It’s one thing to argue against advanced stats. It’s another to call nonsense the basic argument that Brewer has not dramatically improved based on even the most basic glance at the data. You are not going to win any recognition as most improved without some statistical support, and the only thing Brewer can really hang his hat on is 3pt shooting. Can you make an argument for Brewer using any statistical or non-statistical reasoning?

by dropstep on Apr 14, 2010 10:33 AM CDT up reply actions  

nope

but you have to admit that it isnt’ as painful to watch him play anymore. That’s the eye test peaking around the corner to slap you hard across the face. :)

A Darko Fan since 2010!

by TheEvilProfessor on Apr 14, 2010 10:49 AM CDT up reply actions  

There was a pretty good post on True Hoop a few days ago

with David Thorpe talking about the improvements that Brewer has made this season. A lot of it had to do with shooting mechanics. I don’t have a link right now but you could probably find it on True Hoop somewhere.

by TimAllen on Apr 14, 2010 12:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

Check Thorpe's list of clients sometime

Brewer gets coached by David Thorpe. Without implying any horrible conflict of interest, it’s pretty natural for Thorpe to talk up his clients.

"It has come to the editor’s attention that the Herald-Leader neglected to cover the civil rights movement. We regret the omission."

by feral on Apr 14, 2010 2:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

Got it

so from now on, I’ll reject anything Thorpe says about Corey Brewer since Thorpe has coached him. Thanks for the head’s up.

by TimAllen on Apr 14, 2010 2:47 PM CDT up reply actions  

His Formulas are actually pretty accurate to determining Team's Records

http://www.wagesofwins.com/TWolves610910.html

If it seems a stretch to say the teams that score the most efficiently, collect the most rebounds, and have the fewest turnovers generally win games. I’m unsure how you think teams win Basketball games.

The burden of Proof should be on you to explain why he’s wrong rather than the baseless argument “How many games of Basketball has he watched in his life?”

by Jose Cordoba on Apr 14, 2010 11:41 AM CDT up reply actions  

So I have the burden of proof

to explain why every person who comes up with some cock-a-mamie basketball theory is wrong? Okay. Then you have the burden of proof to explain why my “Wind Scores” theory is wrong.

Wind Scores Theory: Every time the wind measures 70 MPH or greater in the Twin Cities, the Timberwolves win 100% of their games. When the wind measures less than 70 MPH, the Wolves win 18.5% of their games. This theory has proven 100% accurate in predicting the Timberwolves’ record this season.

by TimAllen on Apr 14, 2010 12:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

The difference is that

Win Score is made up of real things that happen on a basketball court. Turnovers impact a basketball game. Wind does not (unless you’re playing outdoors!).

Now if you think things like turning the ball over, missing free throws, and not rebounding are cock-a-mamie concepts unrelated to basketball, then you have a lot of explaining to do to justify your position.

by Rascal Flatts on Apr 14, 2010 12:51 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

All advanced stats have weaknesses

Berri’s method doesn’t take into account Defense in anyway. Although it should even out due to the value it places on Rebounding and Shooting Efficiency. Hollinger’s Methods have weakness in overvaluing Volume Scorers. Pelton’s work is probably my Favorite in its complexity. Although it can undervalue Plus/Minus contributions. You take enough Stats together to paint a picture- you should have a pretty good understanding of a player’s ability.

by Jose Cordoba on Apr 14, 2010 12:57 PM CDT up reply actions  

I agree

You take the production stats + the off/on stats + real-life observation and you can form a pretty reasonable conclusion about a guy. My point to Tim is that comparing Win Score to something like his fictitious “Wind Score” is a terrible argument to make.

by Rascal Flatts on Apr 14, 2010 1:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

I will say that, in my opinion

Win Scores and Wind Scores both tell me the exact same thing about Corey Brewer and Timberwolves basketball. Which is to say nothing at all.

by TimAllen on Apr 14, 2010 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

My point was that not every theory needs to be refuted

by people who don’t believe in the theory. If that were the case, we’d never get anything done because we’d spend all our times disproving theories.

Turning the ball over, free throws, rebounding, etc., are certainly important concepts. But I fail to see why we can’t just use those things by themselves to explain concepts related to basketball, instead of coming up with some unnecessarily-complex formula to explain them?

by TimAllen on Apr 14, 2010 1:11 PM CDT up reply actions  

It's not that complicated

He pretty much lays it all out in the table he uses and breaks it out by individual component. To me it’s really straight-forward and makes a lot of sense. Does that mean that “win score” alone dictates what I think a player is worth? Heck no. But to characterize it as this sort of cock-a-mamie black box of fuzzy math that has as much relationship to a basketball player’s performance as something totally unrelated to basketball is simply not true.

Dave Berri may be obnoxiously smitten with his own work, but that doesn’t mean it’s useless.

by Rascal Flatts on Apr 14, 2010 1:40 PM CDT up reply actions  

Exactly

He gives the “raw data” or at least the individual measures that you feel accurately represent a players production, separate from their use in calculating his advanced statistical metric.

by dropstep on Apr 14, 2010 2:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

What's happening for Timmy here....
(T)o characterize it as this sort of cock-a-mamie black box of fuzzy math

….is essentially to admit that you don’t have the patience to follow the argument. That’s what’s going on for Mr. Allen. I’ve been through that thread. He doesn’t understand the point of view of “advanced” stats, let alone its claims. It’s on the very edge of being a “bit” for him. And as you say, though Dave Berri is a bit of a twerp in his written tone, he’s not just a bit.

The consensus among reasonably smart fans is that one needs to, you know, look at talent and player acquisition and so on from as many different points of view as are useful. It’s pretty clear that using stats to ask questions about sports is often useful. Duh. But Mr. Allen has planted a flag, and he’s defending it. Pretty dull fare.

"It has come to the editor’s attention that the Herald-Leader neglected to cover the civil rights movement. We regret the omission."

by feral on Apr 14, 2010 2:29 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

"From as many different points of view as are useful"

and Dave Berri’s superstar simply isn’t useful for me. If it is for you, great, but that’s not going to stop me from mocking Win Scores or another weird formula anytime someone tries to use it in an argument.

by TimAllen on Apr 14, 2010 2:49 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm a little confused

It seems a lof of the comments seem to think that Corey Brewer has actually greatly improved his game. Am I understand you right? I guess I can kind of see pieces of that argument but do people really think he is an above average player? How about even an average player?I know there was a post on this a couple days ago, but I’m just trying to get an understanding of what exactly Wolves fans think Brewer is.

Do people really see him as a starting caliber SG or SF in the NBA?

by jama on Apr 14, 2010 11:16 AM CDT reply actions  

The astute eyes

and opinions of the CH crowd rightly thought CB was dog crap his first two years. No one is now thinking he is the second coming of D. Wade. But what our eyes are telling us is that he went from a player who should have been run out of the league to one who can play a role. That is a big improvement irrespective of Berri’s numbers.

by Elastico on Apr 14, 2010 11:39 AM CDT up reply actions  

No

He’s a bench guy at best. 8th-9th guy. That actually is an improvement from where he was.

We Are the Washington Generals

by Eric in Madison on Apr 14, 2010 12:02 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'd add

that he’s the first sub at the 2/3, as well as spot matchup starter. That’s Brewer at his best – let him play around 20 mpg floating around between the starters and the backups creating/exploiting mismatches. He can now be counted on offensively, which would be great on the second team, but he could also be a great defensive matchup on a star 2/3 who could help tire them out by sprinting down the court for those fast break scores. Of course, all of this is dependent on acquiring two guys to start ahead of him at the 2 and 3. I don’t think he’ll be an All-Star, but he’s the kind of guy who if he got hot in the playoffs could be a huge difference maker.

"Thankfully, they are not straw-colored brain bats."

by biggity2bit on Apr 14, 2010 12:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

You're higher on him than me

“He can now be counted on offensively” is not a phrase I would employ regarding Brewer.

We Are the Washington Generals

by Eric in Madison on Apr 14, 2010 12:43 PM CDT up reply actions  

It's better than

“dear god why did anyone pass the ball to him!!!!” ;)

"Thankfully, they are not straw-colored brain bats."

by biggity2bit on Apr 14, 2010 12:48 PM CDT up reply actions  

I got stopped by

“creating mismatches”. Is there really a player who can’t guard Brewer (current Twolves exempted)? He hits wide open 3s because he is essentially given wide open 3s.

by dropstep on Apr 14, 2010 1:59 PM CDT up reply actions  

Agree

He needs to keep working on his 3-ball. But I agree that his ultimate fate is a defensive specialist off the bench that you can’t leave totally alone on offense. He was asked to do a lot this year and he stretched his game, but ultimately he is not starting material.

by Rascal Flatts on Apr 14, 2010 12:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

"creating/exploiting mismatches"

Do you really see Corey Brewer ever creating or exploting a mismatch? How exactly is he going to do that? He can’t take his man off the dribble, and he has no post up game. I just see zero chance of him “creating/exploiting mismatches” anytime in the near future.

by jama on Apr 14, 2010 1:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

Brewer

He can start if you have above average pt guard and above average shooting guards. I think he could play with Rubio and Wall.

by Adam Chandler on Apr 14, 2010 11:28 AM CDT reply actions  

What, you mean he could start at the three?

The position he was supposed to occupy on this team, but which he’s seldom allowed to play now? Because we’re trotting out Wilkins and Sasha Pavlovic instead?

"It has come to the editor’s attention that the Herald-Leader neglected to cover the civil rights movement. We regret the omission."

by feral on Apr 14, 2010 2:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

David Thorpe on Brewer from ESPN Chat

Good Insights on the matter. I wouldn’t say his defensive has really improved since when he came into the league. I still think his rotations are dicey at best. But then again Jonny Flynn doesn’t help matters.

Shawn (Rochester, MN)
Hi David. I’m happy about Corey Brewer’s improvement as a shooter. However he came into the league with a rep as a defensive stopper. I’m not really seeing it. Opposing players ring him up pretty good, and his on/off court #s at 82games say he actually hurts the woeful Wolves D. Is he helping other guys too much in team D, or isn’t suited to guard SGs, or ?
David Thorpe (12:23 PM)
I’ve said and written this repeatedly-defense is a 5 on 5 game. Period. It’s impossible to be great on d, other than as a steal/shot blocker guy, without help from the other 4 and a coach who lays out a smart strategy. On a team like Orlando or the Bucks, he’d be getting all defensive team votes. He’s a huge pain to go up against.

by Jose Cordoba on Apr 14, 2010 11:58 AM CDT reply actions  

On a team like Orlando or the Bucks

he wouldn’t be playing.

We Are the Washington Generals

by Eric in Madison on Apr 14, 2010 12:03 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yes he would

You don’t think he’d be a better option than Bell or Pietrus? He’d be more of a role player in Orlando, but he’d look really, really good there.

"Thankfully, they are not straw-colored brain bats."

by biggity2bit on Apr 14, 2010 12:44 PM CDT up reply actions  

Certainly not better than Pietrus

Bell is a pick-em. Hard to see him getting minutes with guys like Ilyasova and Delfino around.

We Are the Washington Generals

by Eric in Madison on Apr 14, 2010 12:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

The glass is now empty...

It’s interesting how Woj and Berri find all this time to write about a 15-67 team. Both are complete A-holes if you ask me. Sure they might be right, but what is the point of rubbing it into an already beleagured fan base?

by DR_JPK on Apr 14, 2010 12:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

Pietrus is pretty good.

I would trade Corey for Pietrus if we had the chance and be pretty pleased about it.

by princelyfrank on Apr 14, 2010 4:30 PM CDT up reply actions  

Corey is Thorpe's guy

Brewer has been one of Thorpe’s students. Thorpe tends to talk up his guys, not surprisingly.

"It has come to the editor’s attention that the Herald-Leader neglected to cover the civil rights movement. We regret the omission."

by feral on Apr 14, 2010 2:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

Doesn't mean he doesn't have anything insightful to say

but yeah, you probably won’t here David Thorpe say, “Corey Brewer has pretty much stayed as a mediocre nba player, nothing to see here.”

by aarendsvark on Apr 14, 2010 3:43 PM CDT up reply actions  

I disagree

All a Fan-Base can ask of a 15-66 team is to try to figure out the reasons why? I’d rather not be ignored.

Berri points out that Brewer’s play is less than an average NBA SG. This is pretty hard to dispute.

WOJO just spoke the truth 1. This team is an embarrassment 2. Kahn has no credentials that should give fans hope.

by Jose Cordoba on Apr 14, 2010 1:05 PM CDT reply actions  

So those years doing a similar job that Dennis Lindsey currently does mean nothing...

It’s a joke to say he has no credentials. The main issue is that he was away from the league for 5 years, not that he was the towel boy when he was in the league. He had the same amount of authority back then as guys like Lindsey and Tom Penn did last year.

by pagingstanleyroberts on Apr 14, 2010 2:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

Where I would Disagree

Is we have the following moves to judge Kahn on
1. Jonny Flynn
2. Kurt Rambis
3. Ryan Hollins
4. Ramon Sessions
5. Pavs.

by Jose Cordoba on Apr 14, 2010 3:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

why don't I see Rubio on that list?

Or was I supposed to guess that these were all bad moves and hence Kahn clearly sucks monkey *(&^%? Just trying to set my expectations.

A Darko Fan since 2010!

by TheEvilProfessor on Apr 14, 2010 3:36 PM CDT up reply actions  

Rubio

Rubio was considered by far the best talent on the board. When he slipped to 5. This isn’t evidence of Kahn’s genius. Perhaps I would have been more convinced if Kahn knew this beforehand. The confusion was on display with the Jonny Flynn pick. The Wolves ideal draft was Evans (Who wouldn’t have fit here as well as with Sac-Town) and either Curry/Flynn.

by Jose Cordoba on Apr 14, 2010 5:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

Wolves are 15-67

I suppose that’s great they’re getting national coverage as JC suggests. Wow, that is wonderful when those writers spend the time to tear apart a 15-67 squad. Ummm, duh, wolves aren’t very good. I think anyone could point that out. ANYONE. So Berri and Woj are brilliant for point out this stuff. woohoo! And yes, Kahn is an idiot according to JC. I think the jury is still out on many of these moves. We probably can agree that 1.5mil was wasted on Pavs. Aside from that, I don’t think you can make a clear call. Sure Flynn is disappointing, so what?

Go cheer for the Blazers JC :)

by DR_JPK on Apr 14, 2010 5:48 PM CDT up reply actions  

OK

I’m not exactly the most popular person on Blazers Edge. Although one time I got a Poll placed up there in my villianious honor.

The reason the Wolves are 15-67 has nothing do with Dave Berri or Wojo or Myself. I said Kahn doesn’t have a track record that inspires confidence, this is true. I hope I’m proven wrong. Where I lack confidence is any coherant basketball philosophy- perhaps this offseason I’ll be convinced.

by Jose Cordoba on Apr 14, 2010 10:18 PM CDT up reply actions  

From listening to Kahn talk about Brewer, he may agree with the article

Kahn seems to think Brewer has been over-rated (especially defensively). While we know everybody on this roster is tradable, I think a lot of people may be surprised if Brewer is traded early, I won’t. Not saying Kahn doesn’t like Brewer, but he says in every interview that the team needs to improve significantly in the spots Brewer plays. I think Brewer may be at the top of Kahn’s trade now list (trying to maximize Brewer’s value).

by Rumblebee on Apr 14, 2010 1:13 PM CDT reply actions  

I'd be surprised if he's traded easily, anyway.

The contract is more than his value at this point, notwithstanding Corey’s somewhat steadier feet.

"It has come to the editor’s attention that the Herald-Leader neglected to cover the civil rights movement. We regret the omission."

by feral on Apr 14, 2010 2:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

I know this isn't related to anything

but my season ticket rep e-mailed me today and I get to do one of those “Wolves Trivia” things with Mike or Natalie up on the JumboTron at tonight’s game against the Pistons. So, if you’re going to the game tonight, look for me up there. =) I should be fine unless they ask me anything having to do with Win Scores.

by TimAllen on Apr 14, 2010 1:27 PM CDT reply actions  

Played well for a stretch

Corey seemed to be playing pretty well around mid-season, but has really faded in the last month or so. But then everyone on the team has sucked during the last month. The team seems to have no rhythm, and one has to wonder if that is not a coaching problem. There is a danger that the players statistics might reflect bad coaching rather than what they would be capable of in a better system.

When you look at how much worse this team’s record is than last year’s, and you look at the change of personnel, it’s hard to see that this team should not be as good as last year’s. McHale at least was able to get some effort out of this team, Rambis seems to be getting nothing.

by Charadrius on Apr 14, 2010 1:53 PM CDT reply actions  

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