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Casper's Updated Mock - June 15th, 2010

The draft is 9 days, 5 hours, 50 minutes, and 31 seconds away (as of the time I submitted this FanPost at least), and I just got done sorting through reports, videos, and rumors coming out from the recent workouts.  With all that new information (and misinformation, which I tried to weed out using intuition) I put together my latest mock draft.

There was a lot of movement up and down in this mock, however my big board - when I get around to updating it at least - will be relatively unchanged besides removing the international players who have pulled out of the draft from its rankings.  Below the jump, you can see how things appear to be shaping up...

Star-divide

1st Round:
1. Washington - John Wall (PG):
The Arenas era is over; the John Wall era has now begun. This pick is a lock now per reports.

2. Philadelphia - Evan Turner (SG/SF):
This pick could be moved so Philadelphia picks up more value as Turner and Iguodala duplicate each other’s strengths and weaknesses a little too much. I believe they would be almost equally as happy with Favors or Cousins, but right now Turner is the safer bet.

3. New Jersey - Derrick Favors (PF/C):
Lopez isn’t really a brutish player down low, but he’s a very skilled offensive player who can also step out and hit a jumper. Favors is a tough-nosed player and he has the athleticism Lopez lacks. This is a spectacular fit, though the pick is rumored to be "gettable".

4. Minnesota - DeMarcus Cousins (C):
This represents a BPA pick as DeMarcus has the potential to be dominant. It is also a pick which will drastically change the franchise as Al and Cousins likely cannot coexist, but Cousins is the larger and more talented of the two.

5. Sacramento - Wesley Johnson (SF):
This is a tough pick for the Kings, and don’t be surprised to see them move up or down. They need talent which fits next to Evans, but they would highly prefer it to be a big with defensive ability. However, as the value isn’t there, they instead go for BPA and take Johnson - even though they already have Casspi and Greene.

6. Golden State - Greg Monroe (PF/C):
The Warriors really don’t have a specific need besides being healthy and reorganizing their talent. Seeing as they already have athletes in the frontcourt, Monroe’s athletic and defensive deficiencies could be covered up and his skills could be maximized.

7. Detroit - Ed Davis (PF):
Detroit needs help just about everywhere, and as such they cannot afford passing up the potential Davis has on both ends of the floor. He’ll fill a huge hole in the Pistons rotation next year, possibly starting by year’s end.

8. LA Clippers - Paul George (SF):
The Clippers have a need at SF, but they also could use some playmaking since Gordon lacks in that area. Aminu could get a look here since he has the ability to play PF next to Griffin when they go small, but George offers a diverse skillset and his stock has skyrocketed.

9. Utah (from NY) - Cole Aldrich (C):
Gift wrapping Utah an NBA-ready defensive Center would be like an early Christmas, even if he isn’t the BPA. He doesn’t offer much upside, but it beats relying on Fesenko or Koufos to develop, while also being a decent fit with Millsap.

10. Indiana - Xavier Henry (SG/SF):
If the Pacers trade down or out of this spot as rumored, then Henry is the pick as he’s BPA and the team targeting this pick in a trade would likely be looking to draft him. However, if they keep the pick, this is a tough spot and Aminu, Udoh, or Hayward are all possibilities.

11. New Orleans - Gordon Hayward (SF):
It is rumored that Hayward has a promise somewhere above the 12th pick. This would be a reasonable spot for him if that’s the case, even though Aminu is still on the board and represents the BPA. If he can rid himself of the streakiness which plagued him this past year, this could be a very nice fit.

12. Memphis - Al-Farouq Aminu (SF/PF):
If they allow Gay to walk, then Aminu would look like an excellent fit - and even if they do not, Mayo, Gay, and Aminu could all play on the floor together and create huge mismatch problems with their athleticism and scoring ability.

13. Toronto - Patrick Patterson (PF):
Losing Bosh is certainly going to sting, but Toronto can’t panic. Patterson - while not a quite as good defensively like the BPA Udoh - could immediately come in and be a nice fit next to Bargnani as he has a reliable post game, while also being an extremely safe choice.

14. Houston - Hassan Whiteside (PF/C):
Upside pick that Houston can afford to take, even with the red flags surrounding him. While this pick has a high possibility of being moved, a pick of Whiteside would allow him time to mature and also make him earn his minutes - possibly giving him more motivation to reach his potential.

15. Milwaukee (from CHI) - Luke Babbitt (SF/PF):
Babbitt measured out better than almost everyone expected, and it’s rumored the Bucks like him a lot. The Bucks should give Anderson a heavy look here, but the Bucks will take one of the most skilled offensive players on the board.

16. Minnesota (from CHA) - Ekpe Udoh (PF/C):
The Timberwolves really need help on the wing, and Anderson is staring them in the face. However, Udoh is BPA and he is potentially a perfect fit alongside Cousins and would work very well in an uptempo triangle variation. I think they take him and reshape their frontcourt.

17. Chicago (from MIL) - James Anderson (SG):
Rose is a dominant ball-handler with a budding jumper, and the SG next to him needs to be able to play off the ball and be great working primarily in catch-and-shoot and screen situations. Anderson brings that as well as decent playmaking and defense to the table. Great fit.

18. Miami - Avery Bradley (PG/SG):
Bradley isn’t currently ready to play PG in a traditional role, but the Heat don’t need that if they keep Wade. He can immediately step in and give them excellent defense as well as solid shooting in his limited minutes, while learning to become more of a playmaker.

19. Boston - Willie Warren (SG):
Warren has certainly fallen out of favor with the masses over the past year, but I still think he has the upside to be pretty good in the NBA. Working off more talented players, he could be a deadly sharpshooter with handles. In Boston he could replace some of Allen’s production, and give them another handler when Rondo is off the floor.

20. San Antonio - Damion James (SF):
They need toughness, length, and spot-up shooting at the SF spot since Jefferson clearly didn’t give them that. James brings those as well as quality defense, and seems like a Popovich kind of player.

21. Oklahoma City - Daniel Orton (PF/C):
I personally would dislike this pick if I were an OKC fan; however this is a mock, not my big board. Some team will reach for him early because of his size, athleticism, and thug-like nature on the court; and I think that team will be the Thunder as he is a hometown player who also fills a big need.

22. Portland - Kevin Seraphin (PF/C):
They were decimated by injuries last year, and could have Oden and Przybilla start off the year watching games in suits. Seraphin is an upside pick, but also should be able to contribute a crude, but punishing game on offense his first year; while also giving them plus production defensively and on the boards.

23. Minnesota (from UTA) - Devin Ebanks (SF/PF):
Minnesota likely moves up in the draft using this pick, but if not, I like Ebanks here. As BPA (in my opinion at least) he does not given them an immediate boost offensively at the wing like they need, but he’ll provide lockdown defense, quality rebounding, playmaking, and also possesses a nice mid-range game. They can get the offense in Free Agency.

24. Atlanta - Larry Sanders (PF/C):
The Hawks need size and defense. Sanders brings great defensive ability as well as an excellent frame, but doesn’t have the bulk they’d be looking for. However, seeing that he’s put on about 15lbs of "good" weight in the past two seasons (he only has 4.6% body fat); I think he could eventually bulk up to 240-250 and be a menace for Atlanta.

25. Memphis (from DEN) - Eric Bledsoe (PG/SG):
Conley doesn’t seem to be a guy worth considering part of their core, even though he’s a decent player. As such, they go with Bledsoe who - even if Conley is kept longterm - can play a role as a comboguard off the bench that will give them a great defender and decent shooting.

26. Oklahoma City (from PHX) - Tibor Pleiss (C):
I don’t know if they keep both picks, but I’ll pick as though they will. They already took Orton, but it’s rumored that they also like Pleiss and they could stash him for a year or two. Their roster cannot handle any more non-impact players, so taking an international prospect makes sense.

27. New Jersey (from DAL) - Quincy Pondexter (SF):
The Nets should use this pick to guess at the type of role player a star FA would want to surround him. You can never have enough role players who are very athletic and have the ability to guard three positions, while also able to create for themselves - so Pondexter is the pick here.

28. Memphis (from LAL) - Elliot Williams (SG):
I cannot see Memphis taking three rookies this year, so I would assume they will trade up or out of one of their later picks. However, if they do keep all three, I think they’ll go with Elliot Williams who grew up in Tennessee, played at Memphis, and is a pretty good athlete that can be a scorer/slasher off the bench.

29. Orlando - Darington Hobson (SG/SF):
Hobson is rumored to have a 1st round promise. As someone who is adept at handling the ball, shooting it from deep, and also possesses decent athleticism - it makes sense. While he doesn’t have the star potential on the wing which they seemed to need in the playoffs, he can fill a void off the bench and then eventually earn a starting spot and allow Nelson to work off him at times.

30. Washington (from CLE) -Solomon Alabi (C):
Could he slip all the way to the last pick in the 1st round? It’s possible, especially when a lot of teams don’t necessarily need a C at the end of the 1st in this mock. He gives the Wizards a legit C with good defense and budding skills, as well as a high character guy. I don’t know if he’ll ever be a big-minute player, but this is good value.

 

2nd Round:
31. New Jersey - Artsiom Parakhouski (C)
32. Oklahoma City (from MIN) - Terrico White (SG)
33. Sacramento - Jerome Jordan (C)
34. Golden State - Dominique Jones (SG)
35. Washington - Gani Lawal (PF)
36. Detroit - Jarvis Varnado (PF)
37. Milwaukee (from PHI) - Trevor Booker (PF)
38. New York - Lance Stephenson (SG/SF)
39. New York (from LAC) - Stanley Robinson (SF)
40. Indiana - Mikhail Torrance (PG/SG)
41. Miami (from NO) - Craig Brackins (PF)
42. Miami (from TOR) - Jordan Crawford (SG)
43. LA Lakers (from MEM) - Greivis Vasquez (PG/SG)
44. Portland (from CHI) - Paulao Prestes (C)
45. Minnesota (from HOU) - Nemanja Bjelica (SG/SF)
46. Phoenix (from CHA) - Brian Zoubek (C)
47. Milwaukee - Armon Johnson (PG/SG)
48. Miami - Lazar Hayward (SF)
49. San Antonio - Ryan Richards (C)
50. Dallas (from OKC) - Derrick Caracter (PF/C)
51. Oklahoma City (from POR) - Latavious Williams (SF/PF)
52. Boston - Da’Sean Butler (SF)
53. Atlanta - Omar Samhan (C)
54. LA Clippers (from DEN) - Jerome Randle (PG)
55. Utah - Alexey Shved (PG/SG)
56. Minnesota (from PHO) - Manny Harris (SG)
57. Indiana (from DAL) - Sylven Landesberg (SG)
58. LA Lakers - Dexter Pittman (C)
59. Orlando - Tiny Gallon (PF/C)
60. Phoenix (from CLE) - Charles Garcia (PF)

 

Comments?  Criticism?  Questions?  Have your own?  Post away.

Comment 24 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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3 power forwards for a team whose 2 best players are powerforward, you must be joking please.

by remiel6 on Jun 15, 2010 12:24 PM CDT reply actions  

I think you mean one PF

Cousins is a C, Udoh is primarily a PF, and Ebanks is primarily a SF.

Appreciate the… comment though.

Check out my NBA Draft blog:
http://casperkid23.blogspot.com/

by Casperkid23 on Jun 15, 2010 12:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

According to DX

the Clippers are leaning towards Henry again? And apparently George has refused to work out for Mem, who was the biggest risk to take another SG/SF. This would be great news for us if George/Aminu/Babbitt were all still on the board around the 12th pick!

I see Memphis taking one (Babbitt or Aminu if the info is correct), Milwaukee taking one of the others and the third falling to us. Tough to speculate on which of the two each would pick, but we have a decent chance of ending up with one of the two who have been projected in the top 10. I just can’t see Milwaukee passing on Aminu and his defense if he is there, but their need would obviously be greater for George with Salmons and Redd likely gone…

I like Udoh with Cousins, but I can’t help but be disappointed by this draft. I was really hoping to walk out of this draft with a wing upgrade at 16 (even if that is Rudy Fernandez) and Kevin Seraphin at 22 (speculation on us swapping our picks and then 16 for Rudy), who I would rather have next year than Udoh this year, especially at a lower pick. This allows us to take another year before forcing Jefferson AND Love out the door. By that time we can hopefully have given Pekovic enough time to up his value (assuming we don’t trade him as well for 14, which would be great in my above scenario) and trade him for more than he is worth right now. Hopefully we can also figure out a solid rotation of Love/Cousins/Darko and figure out a way to add Seraphin to the mix or maximize value with Love or Cousins (I don’t see Darko appreciating a trade anywhere). I just like the extra year so we are not rushed to figure everything out now… which we might already be anyways.

Buckeyes are red, Wildcats are blue,
I wanted Evan Turner, But DeMarcus Cousins will do.

by Mplax on Jun 15, 2010 12:39 PM CDT reply actions  

Kahn loves his wheeling and dealing

But until the draft gets closer it’s hard to put a trade in pen. This mock would assuredly see Jefferson on the outs and likely would bring in a wing who can shoot and hold down one of the starting spots at least for next season.

So yeah, don’t fret about the Twolves lacking wing power from this mock. There are other avenues. If this actually plays out (and the Timberwolves walk away with Cousins and Udoh) I plan on doing a 2000+ word writeup on how they work well together. Hell, I might do that before the draft and see if I can get it into Kahn’s hands.

Check out my NBA Draft blog:
http://casperkid23.blogspot.com/

by Casperkid23 on Jun 15, 2010 12:45 PM CDT up reply actions  

Thanks for the update. I think you have Stanley Robinson, Lance Stephenson, and Jordan Crawford in the wrong round. I think all three are going to sneak into the bottom of the 1st.

by jama on Jun 15, 2010 12:40 PM CDT reply actions  

Someone could definitely fall in love

with Jordan Crawford, I just hope it’s not us at 23. Stanley Robinson has been dropping for a while now and I don’t think anyone would feel safe enough to try to turn Stephenson’s career back around in the first.

Buckeyes are red, Wildcats are blue,
I wanted Evan Turner, But DeMarcus Cousins will do.

by Mplax on Jun 15, 2010 12:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

If you had to bet your house...

If you had to bet your house on which player will have a bigger impact in the NBA Alabi or Stephenson who would you put your money on? I realize they are completely different players and height always is overrated but I actually think Stephenson has a real chance of being a real beast off someone’s bench. I’m not expecting him to be the next Kobe but I think he’s going to make a rotation if he lands in the right spot.

by jama on Jun 15, 2010 12:44 PM CDT up reply actions  

I just don't think either of them will make much of an impact :)

Tho to be fair, there are a lot more teams that need backup wings than backup bigs at the bottom of the first (Orlando, Memphis, even NJ, and who knows with Washington, depends what they do with their guys).

Again, I just don’t see either of them tearing it up at the next level (I was bashing Alabi going so high at the beginning of this year quite often). I think there are going to be at least five guys drafted in the second who make a bigger impact on their teams in five years (Jordan, Crawford, Zoubek, Brackins, Lawal, and a Euro or two would be my guesses. They all just seem like end of the bench or 6th man/energy types).

Buckeyes are red, Wildcats are blue,
I wanted Evan Turner, But DeMarcus Cousins will do.

by Mplax on Jun 15, 2010 1:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

Brackins

I think if Brackins gets past the early 20’s he’s going to be the steal of the draft. I know he doesn’t have the upside of some of the other PF’s in the draft but he is very solid and he can shoot. I think his game is very similar to Troy Murphy’s. I’m not nearly as high on Lawal or Zoubek and I think Crawford really needs to land in the right situation. He could tear it up on a running team but if he lands in a more rigid offense where they also ask him to defend he is going to struggle.

by jama on Jun 15, 2010 1:21 PM CDT up reply actions  

In my eyes

I have a hard time distinguishing between Brackins and Babbitt as far as their overall talent. Yes, Babbitt was far more efficient this past year, but he wasn’t the clear #1 on a team in a major conference. I have them both as late-1st round prospects as purely offensive prospects with diverse skillsets.

Now, the difference between them is Babbitt is getting a ton of positive buzz while Brackins is basically getting no buzz. I keep an eye out for anything draft related that I can find – and yeah, virtually nothing.

Check out my NBA Draft blog:
http://casperkid23.blogspot.com/

by Casperkid23 on Jun 15, 2010 1:43 PM CDT up reply actions  

Talent-wise they may be similar, but they are very different players. Brackins is a 4/5 hybrid and Babbit is a 3/4. Brackins can play inside and out and block some shots. Offers length as well. Babbit sounds more of a pure scorer that may not help out on the defensive end.

The Future: Rubio, X Henry (from Al trade), P George (16 & 23 trade), Favors, Darko

by wolfen on Jun 15, 2010 3:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

I see no way that Brackins plays the 5

Absolutely none, and sorry if that comes off in a disrespectful tone, but just trying to emphasize that. He’s either a pure 4, or a guy who sees scant minutes at the 3. Their skill-sets are eerily similar.

Check out my NBA Draft blog:
http://casperkid23.blogspot.com/

by Casperkid23 on Jun 15, 2010 4:34 PM CDT up reply actions  

I can only go on highlights with Babbit, so I’m not the best judge of his skillset. But I’ve watched Brackins for 3 years living in Iowa and have seen a multitude of games. I guess I say he can play some 5 because he plays some 5 at the college level. Yes, mostly he would be a 4. He would never ever play the 3. If he played another position for a short amount of time it would be at the 5. What really excites me about him though is his outside shooting. I legit sized 4 who can stretch the floor. That’s the new breed in the NBA and he can fill that niche. Especially if we draft DMC or he is on the floor the same time as Big Al.

The Future: Rubio, X Henry (from Al trade), P George (16 & 23 trade), Favors, Darko

by wolfen on Jun 15, 2010 9:21 PM CDT up reply actions  

I think Brackins is much more a 4 and Babbitt is much more a 3. I guess in trying to compare them to current players I see Brackins being a shorter Memet Okur and I’m not sure who I would compare Babbitt to, maybe Mike Dunleavy.

by jama on Jun 15, 2010 4:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

Ebanks vs. Pondexter

Thanks for the post. Could you please explain why you’d pick (or you think the Wolves would pick) Ebanks over Pondexter?

by Madison Dan on Jun 15, 2010 12:44 PM CDT reply actions  

On top of it being an easier transition for him

Excellent defense, playmaking, and height/length are the three I’d list. I’d give Devin the edge in mid-range games as well, but neither are stellar.

Pondexter has his proponents (Ebomb’s posts in this thread, for example, provide good analysis). He’ll almost assuredly be a plus defender as well, and also is quite a bit more athletic than Ebanks as well as having more range on his jumper. It’s just the way he played at Washington is going to be far different than what his role will be in the NBA (working off the ball, not able to crash inside as much) so yeah.

  1. is always a very hard pick when doing these mocks, but I would feel pretty good about Ebanks there even if it means the Timberwolves desperately would need to find a scorer at SG/SF through a trade or Free Agency.

Check out my NBA Draft blog:
http://casperkid23.blogspot.com/

by Casperkid23 on Jun 15, 2010 12:53 PM CDT up reply actions  

Thanks

I’ve seen the case for Pondexter, but not much about Ebanks.

by Madison Dan on Jun 15, 2010 12:59 PM CDT up reply actions  

http://casperkid23.blogspot.com/2010/04/devin-ebanks-writeup.html

I did that about two months ago for something a bit more in-depth about him – but it’s not written from a Timberwolves PoV.

Check out my NBA Draft blog:
http://casperkid23.blogspot.com/

by Casperkid23 on Jun 15, 2010 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

Seeing as that was my thread :)

I think I would actually prefer Ebanks over Pondexter. But I think the case had to be made for Pondexter because he was kind of sneaking under the radar and he was a huge reason for that team’s success.

Buckeyes are red, Wildcats are blue,
I wanted Evan Turner, But DeMarcus Cousins will do.

by Mplax on Jun 15, 2010 1:06 PM CDT up reply actions  

I don’t think Aminu falls this far.

I’d rather see us take Anderson than Udoh (on Hollinger’s most likely to bust list), but it’s becoming increasingly clear that Henry and George have moved up and won’t be avail at 16 like we hoped a few weeks ago.

No thanks on Ebanks. I’m hoping Seraphin is there to stash for year…if not (and with options you have listed), I’d trade that pick for a lottery protected pick in 2011 or 2012.

by TWolvesFanInLA on Jun 15, 2010 1:42 PM CDT reply actions  

or trade 23 with Pek or #16 to move up.

by TWolvesFanInLA on Jun 15, 2010 1:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

If it fell like that and you need a C, PF and wing

I’d much rather go:

  1. DMC
  2. Anderson
  3. Brackins
    Brackins would be the ULTIMATE compliment to DMC. 23 isn’t high for him. Trust me. He is a lot like Udoh but with a much better outside shot, maybe not quite the shot blocker, but still can do some of that. If we draft Ebanks I’ll throw up in my mouth a little….

That being said I’m still high on Paul George and would like to land him somehow.

The Future: Rubio, X Henry (from Al trade), P George (16 & 23 trade), Favors, Darko

by wolfen on Jun 15, 2010 3:15 PM CDT reply actions  

Cousins needs a good/great man and weakside defender next to him in order for it to be a ultimate compliment, Brackins is not that – and he’s not the playmaker Udoh is either. Certainly is far more advanced in terms of scoring ability, but I don’t know if scoring next to Cousins should be the highest priority – just a guy to help space the floor, make athletic plays, and help facilitate.

I get why you’d take Anderson, however. Much more of a need, whereas Udoh is basically saying it’s an overhaul of talent in the froncourt.

Check out my NBA Draft blog:
http://casperkid23.blogspot.com/

by Casperkid23 on Jun 15, 2010 4:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

It will be fun to watch Udoh and Brackins over the years to see how they both progress. I’m not sure Udoh is that much better of a defender than Brackins frankly. I guess at the 4 position I value scoring more than play making. And by play making i assume you mean passing. It’s hard to judge Brackins on that since he was counted on so heavily to be the main scorer. Not the case with Udoh with Carter and Dunn on the team.

The Future: Rubio, X Henry (from Al trade), P George (16 & 23 trade), Favors, Darko

by wolfen on Jun 15, 2010 9:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

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