FanPost

3 advance stat GMs top 10 per Chad Ford

I talked to three other NBA executives who use various forms of statistical analysis to rank their players to get a feel for what they're seeing. The GMs agreed to share their statistically based top 10s as long as I didn't disclose the team and as I long as I didn't divulge the statistical methods they were using.

 

This group hedges closely with Hollinger's findings and even a bit closer to our Top 10 in our Top 100. Each team had an outlier that the other two teams didn't have. One team had Cole Aldrichranked in the top five. Another had Manny Harris and Gordon Hayward in their top 10.

A few things to note. The first is that, by statistical measurements at least, it looks like Greg Monroe should be going higher than No. 9 -- where we have him projected in our mock draftright now. The same holds true for Henry, who we currently have at No. 15.

The love keeps on coming for Luke Babbitt, who I believe is now seriously in the discussion at No. 9 in Utah.

One guy who isn't getting any love is Ekpe Udoh. That's because Udoh is already 23 years old and virtually all of the stat gurus agree that it's a problem. Players who are older than 22 when they are drafted have terrible track records in the NBA. That works against him in virtually every formula out there.

 

I then aggregated those lists and here's a look at what they came up with:

Metric-minded GMs' Top 10

Draft prospects as ranked by our three stat-head GMs.

Rank Player Team
1 DeMarcus Cousins Kentucky
2. Derrick Favors Georgia Tech
3. Evan Turner Ohio State
4. Greg Monroe Georgetown
5. John Wall Kentucky
6. Xavier Henry Kansas
7. Luke Babbitt Nevada
8. Al-Farouq Aminu Wake Forest
9. Wesley Johnson Syracuse
10. Ed Davis

North Carolina

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Canis Hoopus

You must be a member of Canis Hoopus to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Canis Hoopus. You should read them.

Join Canis Hoopus

You must be a member of Canis Hoopus to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Canis Hoopus. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker