Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: In Crunch Time, Spurs Don't Change Their Game

Grab bag of thoughts

Hey all,

I've had some thoughts that don't quite make full posts on their own, so I thought I'd put them in a grab bag here. I'd love to hear other people's opinions, both on what I suggest but also on whatever else is on your mind (your own conjectures about the team). 

In no particular order...

  • On the one hand I understand completely the interest in Gay and Lee, and on the other I can't understand it at all. The closest I can come to figuring it out is that Rambis views the perimeter as being a play creator and two scoring wings, hence Wes and Gay together feeding off of Rubio. Lee would be too expensive, IMO, given that he duplicates much of what Love already does, but from most accounts he moves far better and was a 20 ppg scorer last year, so he might fit just a smidge better on a running team. I don't think we sign Lee, though.
  • Offensive system. What is it? It's certainly not going to be the triangle. I think it's becoming clearer and clearer that the triangle was a teaching tool. Hopefully enough of the guys from last year are around this year to make use of it, otherwise the decision to run it seems a bit short-sighted. Maybe it was all run for Flynn's benefit, as it will be the thing in hindsight that helps him become a stud PG. I don't know. Oddness. I do trust Rambis as a coach, though, knowing what he's doing. I know many other probably disagree, and that's OK. I think we'll get a much better sense of Rambis as coach this year, as he's coaching to win for the first time. This team appears all in on Rubio, using a running system led by creative playmakers/passers (Rubio, Bjelly, Sessions, Love) feeding very good scorers (Gay, Wes, Brewer even, Webster?, Ellington, Pek). Jonny Flynn moves to the bench as instant offense/change of pace - he could lead an all offense unit of Flynn-Wes-Gay-Love-Pek.
  • Team building. In look and feel this is really starting to remind me of the Hawks and Nuggets, and I suppose to a lesser degree OKC. I'm not going to go back and revisit my research from many months ago, but the Nuggets - when they drafted Melo - shifted from trying to be a low-post dominant team to a more perimeter team. While Camby and Nene put up 'worse' numbers, their defense improved and that appeared to ripple through the rest of the team, improving everyone. Or perhaps a better way to put it is that roles and expectations were more clearly defined to player strengths and everyone benefitted as a result. The commitment to Darko and Pek, as well as the (potential as it may be) acquisition of Gay/Wes/Webster strongly suggests to me that this team is looking to rely on its perimeter scoring to set up everything else. Darko is a commitment to defense instead of offense at the 5, with Pek replacing the low post scoring of Al at a fraction of the cost. Love can play inside but also hit perimeter shots. On the perimeter we're getting quite an assembly of long and athletic three point shooters, two of which can play very high above the rim (Gay and Wes, if Gay is signed). All it needs is a guy like Rubio, with Sessions in the short term (or even Flynn, if they start working the PnR or PnP a lot more). Anyways - starting to look like a Nuggets model, but even more like an Atlanta model - get lots of talented, young prospects, let them grow for a few years and watch your win total go from 13 to 53. 
  • Anyone else struck by the comparison of Wes to Wally World? Similar size, similar shooting ability (Wally was better). Wally was a pretty good player given his limitations, and I'm beginning to wonder if Wes will be better than we think because of his athleticism. Certainly KG helped Wally immensely, so we'll see whether Wes will struggle with that at all. Both guys had comparable numbers in college, near as I can find, with Wally being a higher volume shot taker (and thus scorer), and Wes being the superior rebounder and shot blocker. Shooting percentages were quite similar though (caveat - I'm using last year only for Wes, as that's the indicator for his potential). 
  • Finally, after the break, a quick retrospective looking at how we compare to the initial post-KG rebuilding squad.

Star-divide

PG:

In 2007-08, Bassy (6'-0") and Foye (6'-4") were our PGs of the present and future. Today it's Jonny (6'-0") and Ramon (6'-3") and eventually Rubio (6'-4"). Ultimately Bassy turned out to be a solid guy, but not a starter. Ramon is like our  Bassy of today, but with better size and ability across the board. Jonny, in my opinion, is a better prospect than Bassy long term, and at worst has a better physical profile for a 6' PG than Bassy. Foye, it turns out, was better suited as a SG.

SG:

Jaric, McCants, and Foye were the main players here. Jaric had a great physical profile but was too Hollins-esque in his play. He was like a bizarro-European version of Mike Miller but, without, you know, Miller's skills or instincts. McCants.... anyways... Foye's a pretty solid SG I think. At least he ended up that way for us, problem was he's a 4th option being asked to produce like a 2nd or even 1st option. Today we appear to be rolling with some combo of Webster and Wes at the 2. We can even add Brewer and Ellington in today. Talk about a huge disparity in size and athleticism and length! Wes is a clearly superior prospect to Foye, and Webster is even an upgrade because of his defense. 

SF:

Hey, anyone remember Corey's rookie year? Yup, he's in play here in 2007-08, along with a bit of Ryan Gomes. It would have been fun to see how he could have developed here if he hadn't gotten hurt. As it is, he did get hurt and now finds the 3 manned by Wes, potentially Rudy Gay, and Lazar Hayward. Hayward is like Gomes, and Wes and Rudy are simply much better prospects than a young Corey from a skills perspective. All three have great athleticism and size, so Wes and Rudy win based on skills.

PF:

Who was our great PF before Love? Anyone? If you said Ryan Gomes and Rhino, you would be correct! If we think Love is a bit undersized and unathletic for the 4, how about these two? They had mobility and strength, but Love is so far and away a better player than these two it's just ridiculous. Depending on where you see him playing, Pekovic is like a supersized Rhino - instead of rockin' the 6'-7" like Rhino, Pek's rockin' the 6'-10" or 6'-11" with similar strength and bullish attitude towards scoring. 

C:

Back then we had a pretty damn good center by the name of Al Jefferson. He was a monster in the making with only one fatal flaw - he could defend worth a damn. Today we're going in the opposite direction by committing to Darko. We'll probably give up about 8 points and 5 rebounds a night in lost production compared to Big Al, but make up for it with an addition block or two, a couple more assists, and immensely improved defense. Darko also has a size and athleticism advantage over Al, but Al is still the better player here (even if Al is ultimately miscast as a PF playing C). If we add in Pek as a center prospect, well things get a bit more interesting. IMO, collectively Darko and Pek at center beat out any Al + whoever combo they trotted out in '07-08.

Observations:

Gotta be honest with y'all - we've gotten bigger and more athletic pretty much across the board. Love, though taller than Gomes and Rhino, isn't nearly as athletic as those guys. He makes up for it by being so damned productive, though, that it's ultimately no competition. Kahn's actually lived up to his promise of making the team longer and athletic, at least if we're comparing it to the '07-08 team. A lot is still in flux with the current team, but I have to admit that I'm a bigger fan of the current team than the initial post-KG squad. They won 22 games last year, and this team should win more than that. Famous last words, I know, but it's hard not to get excited about these guys if they start running up and down the floor. 

Again, I just want to reiterate something that keeps cropping up in my mind - I think Rambis is moving towards an offense that is 'freer' of traditional positional responsibilities and is instead predicated on skills. Playmakers/passers, scorers, and defenders/rebounders/fast break facilitators. We seem to be collecting a group of big men with passing ability and court vision (according to some Euro blogs Pek is under-appreciated in this regard. Can't find the link now, but one compared him to Yao in that the vision/want-to was there for good passes but the execution wasn't always up to snuff). We've got a collection of playmakers led by Rubio but augmented by Sessions, Flynn (who still could be a good PnR guy), Bjelly, and even Ellington or Webster in secondary roles. Lastly we've got all these scorers who are good either at the rim or from three point land - Wes, Webster (supposed to be), Brewer (developing), Gay even, and Pekovic. Seems to suggest a lot of pushing the ball up the floor with passes into our big guys and back out for either a scoring drive, a three, or a quick pass to a cutting Wes/Gay/Brewer or corner three. Anyone else see that? 

Well, that does it for me. Thanks for reading, and I'd love other people's takes or conjectures about the team and where it's going. 

Comment 33 comments  |  2 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Triangle

I suspect it’s not going anywhere. Kahn wants to emphasize that he is not making an effort to build a triangle team per se,

by Punisher#8 on Jul 1, 2010 12:39 PM CDT reply actions  

so much for cancelling my post. Too much going on at work…

by Punisher#8 on Jul 1, 2010 1:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

I agree with you in part...

I agree in that we’re getting a picture of what the shape of the team is meant to be… the Triangle, I think it stays, augmenting a freer offense based on speed, movement, and multiple options.

I don’t think we have a good picture of who will be on the Wolves team when this summer is over. I just don’t know that Al will be traded in a S&T for Gay. I don’t know who, currently on the Wolves, are intended to be trade pieces and who the Wolves are serious about building around… other than probably Darko locked in at C.

by Krotz the Wall on Jul 1, 2010 12:44 PM CDT reply actions  

Slashing and shooting.

Cutting and moving the ball. This IS THE TRIANGLE OFFENSE. The Triangle is only the Half court set. You can run and get easy buckets on the break when you run the Triangle. In the Triangle we want guys that are willing to move without the ball set screens and hit open shots. IDK how we can think that Kahn is not building the Triangle Offense.

by 123farve567-612 on Jul 1, 2010 12:53 PM CDT reply actions  

+1

Hence whenever Kahn is asked about Johnson playing the 2, he simply says, “Yes, I believe Wes can guard SGs.” This is because offensively, the 2 and the 3 are the same in Rambis’ system. Johnson, Webster, Brewer/Gay will be interchangable parts, and we can consistently give teams different looks with athletic wing players.

by bbeeck on Jul 1, 2010 12:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

Right on

None of these guys but Gay should be trusted with a ton of mins. It’s really great to have them all to mix in there. Next addition. Anthony Morrow or Kyle Korver.

by 123farve567-612 on Jul 1, 2010 12:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

every thing he has done points too the Triangle offense!

What do we see that hints we are not going to run the Triangle?

by 123farve567-612 on Jul 1, 2010 12:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

Because

Rambis and Kahn both say it was a teaching tool, to get the players to be able to play in a free flowing, non-play calling offense.

Kahn has said it will be played on only about 15% of possessions now.

by TO12 on Jul 1, 2010 12:59 PM CDT up reply actions  

Great Post

This, oddly enough, seems to be an emotional time. I know it is for me. I have lots of thoughts in my mind too.

You did a great job summing up what has happened, and I enjoy your positive outlook.

It is not literally what our team is right now, but what sorts of plan we are working towards and the position we have put ourselves in.

by TO12 on Jul 1, 2010 12:58 PM CDT reply actions  

Regarding analysis on AlJeff at C..

…yes, while we will be losing considerable offense production and rebounding, all of those shots he would have been taking would be transferred to someone (Webster? Wes?), hopefully with an equally high efficiency. So the effective “loss” of replacing Al with Darko at C, will possibly be a net gain?

by Boss10 on Jul 1, 2010 1:09 PM CDT reply actions  

I don't think you are going to get 50% fg shooting from Wes and Webster.

Probably not even close – 40-45%??? Some of it transfers to Darko who should shoot about 50%, but either way your loosing 8-10 points to be made up by other players that likely shoot less than 50%.

by Breaking Ankles on Jul 1, 2010 1:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

I would think

that more shots would go to Love as well. I think Darko will end up being a neutral player – neither bad nor good. The reason for committing to Darko over Al at center is a philosophical one – he is there to compensate defensively for Love’s and everyone else’s mistakes. He is there to anchor things defensively, allowing Love to be on the floor more and hopefully playing well enough that guys like Brewer don’t have to constantly switch or help out on a guy because Al Jeff simply couldn’t get out there. Offensively I think he’s going to be asked to try to be more efficient and to help keep the ball moving. They don’t need a ton of offense from him, just enough to keep the other team honest while he’s out there. My guess is that they’d rather Darko score 8 points a game and get 3-4 assists a night than have him score 12 points a night with only 1-2 assists.

"Styx might be the mullet of bands."

by biggity2bit on Jul 1, 2010 1:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

True

i didn’nt think of 3s either – I was just thinking of fg%. So I took a look at the numbers and if you make some nasty assumptions: all of Als shots would be distributed to Webster, K Love, and Darko (or Webster, Love, Darko like players) evenly and the scoring would be above and beyond what those positions contributoed last year. i calculated the amount of points that Al’s 1125 shots over 76 games would produce for those players (fg, 3, ft), i came up with Webster adding 5.9 ppg, love adding 6.23 ppg, and Darko adding 5.25 ppg. This adds up to 17.38ppg and slightly more than Al’s 17.1ppg last year. So I would say with the FT and 3s factored in it could be a slight add with the right player distribution, but it seems to me that it is probably a wash.

by Breaking Ankles on Jul 1, 2010 2:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

Wow, props.

Obviously, that’s a “quick ’n dirty” reallocation, but one I was not willing to take the time on, and it does do well to illustrate Al’s inefficiencies.

I looked ahead to the open road, thought about the people and what they know, and wrote a book called "People Don't Know Nothin!"

by Bahlgren1 on Jul 1, 2010 3:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

Very nice...

… your post is the proof in my pudding of a post. Thanks, and well-done.

by Boss10 on Jul 1, 2010 3:22 PM CDT up reply actions  

This is missing an important point about efficiency

Al’s FG% was brought down to earth somewhat by his utter inability to get to the FT line. I don’t have a lick of stats sitting in front of me, but we know other players who will be relied on in his absence (KLove for one) get to the line much more often per usage, boosting their efficiency.

Do they level out? I dunno.

But is Al as efficient as his post game appears? I say no.

I looked ahead to the open road, thought about the people and what they know, and wrote a book called "People Don't Know Nothin!"

by Bahlgren1 on Jul 1, 2010 1:45 PM CDT up reply actions  

And the other overlooked aspect...

Similarly, you can’t judge Wes, Webster, or Flynn (or Love, for that matter) strictly on FG%, because you have to factor in 3s.

I know I’m bringing up basics with this post, but it is still often forgotten:
40% from 3 (12 pts on 10 shots) is 60% from 2 (12 pts on 10 shots).

Fact of the matter is Al is his FG%.

I looked ahead to the open road, thought about the people and what they know, and wrote a book called "People Don't Know Nothin!"

by Bahlgren1 on Jul 1, 2010 1:53 PM CDT up reply actions  

Gay Love Triangle

This team will be a soap opera next year. Parents, may not be suitable for children.

by Mano on Jul 1, 2010 1:20 PM CDT reply actions  

The offense should be known as

“The Running Triangle”

Here’s the basic diagram that I pilfered from the Wolves playbook:

by PoorDick on Jul 1, 2010 1:30 PM CDT reply actions   2 recs

Dude

Kahn’s a lawyer. He’s going to pissed you published that!

"Styx might be the mullet of bands."

by biggity2bit on Jul 1, 2010 1:34 PM CDT up reply actions  

Given the size of that guy's arms and legs

I’m guessing that’s Corey Brewer?

Actively looking for red flags since my 5th grade traveling team

by TimAllen on Jul 1, 2010 2:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

If it's Brewer

why is he wearing Love’s padded glove (and one on each hand)?

by dropstep on Jul 1, 2010 3:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

Is he trying to

catch that carrot in his mouth on the bottom right?

Rudy Gay: Feeding his family since 7/1/10

by Mplax on Jul 1, 2010 7:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

Darko has a size and athleticism advantage over Al

This is the same Darko who couldn’t run up and down the court last season?

by DJL44 on Jul 1, 2010 1:52 PM CDT reply actions  

He was fine once he got his conditioning back

And he does have more size and athleticism regardless

by Oceanary on Jul 1, 2010 1:53 PM CDT up reply actions  

When was that?

I was at the Golden State game near the end of the season. The dude couldn’t run. That’s only going to get worse, not better, with a long term deal and age.

by DJL44 on Jul 1, 2010 1:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

FYI

There have been 42 fanposts in the last 3 days.

Because talent? You want to add a guy like boozer because hes talented? I’m sorry i just don’t see that as a valid reason. -- fffindeed

by wallywagon11 on Jul 1, 2010 3:29 PM CDT reply actions  

17 so far today

impressive

Because talent? You want to add a guy like boozer because hes talented? I’m sorry i just don’t see that as a valid reason. -- fffindeed

by wallywagon11 on Jul 1, 2010 3:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

This team as currently constructed is

at least ten games better than the team we thought we had last July. The consensus before Love was injured was about a 25 win team. Could this already have the makings of a 35 win team?? Especially if a couple Western teams get weakened through free agency, and the Wolves don’t have to waste half the season proving Jefferson can hold up playing 35 MPG!

by Rumblebee on Jul 1, 2010 10:23 PM CDT reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Canis Hoopus is straight T-Wolves straight from Minnesota.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
Around the League: Atlanta Hawks

Recent FanPosts

Small
Possible that Perry Jones = Paul George?
Small
Evan Fournier
557415_10101880206283470_13960869_76835255_1401292386_n_small
Poll: Do the NBA playoffs live up to their potential?
Rubio_wolfrider_small
PA100 Northwest Division
Rubio_wolfrider_small
Ricky Rubio: Probably not as good as you think...
Rubio_wolfrider_small
PA100 Southeastern Division
Rubio_wolfrider_small
PA100 Central Division
Small
A Poem by Rashad McCants
Franklin2_small
Revisiting Rudy Gay (with poll!)

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Canis Hoopus Twitter

    follow me on Twitter

    Hoopus Features

    HOOPUS FAQ

    Salary Cap Info

    Draft Info

    Player Movement Flow Charts

    Draft Boards

    Former Tag Lines:

    • In desperate need of an epic dose of basketball Viagra
    • Your source of radical left wing politics cleverly disguised as basketball fandom
    • Palin-Free since before statehood
    • Despairy Home Companion
    • The world's leading exporter of small area quickness
    • Sorry…I have no idea who is Joe Mauer
    • Home of the Peja deep douche
    • Vote McGrady!
    • Bork, bork, bork, bork, bork
    • Wir Sind Darko
    • Weird, unhealthy Darko mania
    • les goûts et les couleurs ne se discutent pas
    • Basketball success makes character issues forgivable
    • Building the Boogie Bandwagon
    • Building the Dream....One Power Forward At A Time
    • Kids, Puppy Dogs, And Long Walks In The Park
    • SWITCH THE FLIP!!!
    • Team Red Pill.
    • December is Bunny Month. Survive it with insincerity and Merle Haggard.
    • Like having a really good seat at a beheading.
    • We've got to have rules and obey them. After all, we're not savages. We're Wolves fans, and Wolves fans are best at everything.
    • Getting Real Mythological
    • Trapped in Punxsawawney
    • BIIYYYOOOMMMBOOOOOOO!!!
    • Estoy llevando mi talento a Minnesota
    • Where sharks do battle with giant eagles
    • You don’t put a saddle and reins on a magical unicorn, you bareback it and put faith in nature
    • Toeing the line between nerd and loser
    • If Theo Ratliff’s Expiring Contract could see us now...

    Hoopus Recipe Book

    Let's Settle This:


    Self-Promotion

    BallHype Sports Blog Rankings


    Managers

    Dr wyn

    Journey_small Stop-n-Pop

    Rviy7fbgmhz5ht2dpgo6q0jfu_small TimAllen

    Editors

    Wolveslogo_small Oceanary

    Authors

    Small SG

    Hrbek_small Jon Marthaler