Dealing with Kahnsequences.
David Kahn has set himself up to be dealing with one of the most grandiose sucess/failure opportunities I've seen in a major sport. He is constantly on camera trying to sell Minnesotans on his plan. Well, there is no doubt that this team is his creation and he will live or die by the Kahnsequences (seriously I should be writing for ESPN) he has laid out for himself.
If you're anything like me you have read most every rehashed, poorly researched Kahn hating article on the internet. People seem to find any move the our current GM makes to be the equivalent of shooting one's self in the face. Even when its as simple as signing a low risk veteran PG like Luke Ridnour. God knows there have been worse signings than that.
I for one feel like I can see the big picture Kahn is going for. I hope he gets there and he'll need some luck, but the biggest moves for this year have now been made I believe, and from here its a matter of a few minor trades and waiting to see who steps up from our new crop of players.
The point of this post is look even further into the future to next year which, if all goes according to plan, should be our breakout year into relevance. The way I see it, there are 4 major changes that will happen between this year's team and next year's team and I think the Wolves have a lot to be looking forward to in 2011.
Change #1: Look for us to trade Jonny Flynn before the beginning of the 2011 seaons.
The Luke Ridnour signing makes a world of sense if one is willing to look a little further down the road. It practically guarantees Flynn will be dealt. It has been my belief since the night of the 2009 draft that Kahn did one thing and one thing only with picks 5 and 6. He drafted for the best possible value he could. The reason he did this is because he knew that the team would be moving players all over the place so there's no need to commit to need over talent. Of course we've been over the fact that Steph Curry seems the superior player and I'm sure all of us including Kahn would do that one differently another time around. However, I still believe Jonny will be the 3rd best PG to come out of that draft. I don't think Kahn really ever felt that Jonny and Ricky would play together. He knew one would likely get traded at some point, he just wasn't sure which one. With Ricky telling us he will be here next year the time is ripe for making Jonny look great this year, letting him play to his strengths, and watching his trade value shoot way up, while keeping Ridnour around for the future to be backup/mentor to Ricky Rubio.
Change #2: The use of our trade exception.
Speaking of Kahnsequences, this is pretty much the big moment. Not that having the cap space added to our payroll isn't worth a lot, but I think we all feel he has to use this to acquire a major player. The number one guy I think most of us have in the back of our minds is Iguodala. We need a good SG and Webster has only about a 20% chance of being our future starter. Iggy would come in and give us the ball handling we need from the 2 spot. I think Philly is going to be crying for the cap relief too, especially if Turner works out for them. There may be other players that would be even better but I think most would agree this would be a home run.
Change #3: Ricky Rubio in MN.
I don't deal in the media's belief that Rubio won't play here. As soon as the lockout business is settled I believe we will see mop-top playing for us. He's the most likely player to be our superstar and Kahn gets 100% of the good or the bad that comes from Ricky.
Change #4 One more lottery draft pick.
I expect us to finish slotted around 6th in the lottery for this year. That still gives us a good shot at the top 3 picks, and regardless should net us a nice player. We also should have the added bonus of having no major holes on the roster so those clamoring about BPA, this should be your draft. We will be free to get the guy with the best chance of being an allstar.
Therefore I see the 2011 starting roster looking like
Rubio
Iguodala
Beasley
Love
Milicic
Then add to that the 2 unknown assets in what we get for Flynn and the player we draft in the lottery, as well as our seemingly very solid bench.
I am confident that this is a playoff squad. Our system should gel this year and be ready to roll when this happens.
Anyone else see the vision?? Anyone?? I hope you weren't serous about that f%#$ing avocado!!!
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2 First Round Picks Won't Hurt Either
Since we will be losing one in two years I could see us dealing one or two of those picks to move up or into the following years draft. We could get lucky and win the lottery next year and with Rubio coming and a high pick plus the team we have, we’d go a long ways towards becoming a playoff team.
I also think that
much of the euro stashing we have been doing the last couple of years (and see continuing) might very well be like getting that lost draft pick back from the clip. Bejlica (sp?) could be ready in 2 years, and seems to really want to come to the nba.
Will the Real Thor Please Stand Up ... ?
by the Real Thor on Jul 16, 2010 7:21 AM CDT up reply actions
We don't have a trade exception from Jefferson
Just cap space, I believe, since we were too far under the cap when the deal was made.
But otherwise I agree.
The roster is a star SG, maybe two years of young player development (that would be one for Rubio), and maybe a replacement of Hollins with an athletic, elite defending big man away from making some serious noise.
1.You are right they will trade Johnny Flynn
2. The trade exception will be used to free up cap space. Iguodala trade will not happen because Philadelphia is not worried about money like oher teams. The 76’s are owed by Comcast and the losses that they incur with the 76e’rs are just a rounding error on their balance sheet.
3. Rubio will be in minny but I don’t think he will become a superstar. Superstars are dwade Magic Johnson. He will never be like these guys. Hopefully he will become a 2nd tier guy like Jason Kid Steve Nash.
4 Expect more roster turnover. I think that Beasley can play some Three but he can’t guard most threes in the NBA. his best spot is will be at the 4. This leads to the next move of trading Klove . Klove, Kurt Rambis ,and David Kahn will not see eye to eye . We have already seen signs of this week with Kevin love questioning what Divid Kahn has done this summer. He has also bump heads with Kurt last year. I think he will be traded for what I don’t know.
5 in 20011 the starters are
Rubio
Webster / draft pick or trade
Johnson
Beasley
Milicic
Totally disagree on point number 2
The corporate owners tend to be the stingiest. No one likes to lose money, but sometimes the desire by a human owner to win at all costs trumps balance sheet concerns. The 76ers have no such human at the helm.
If Rubio is as good as Nash or Kidd we should all be ecstatic.
by PhoenixWolf on Jul 16, 2010 10:31 PM CDT up reply actions
Great Write UP
I disagree with one part of the 2011 write up though. I also don’t think Beasley is a STARTING 3. I think he and love battle it out for the opportunity to be our starting 4 going forward and I think Wes goes forward as our starting 3. Although there could be similar battles between Wes and Brewer as well as Darko and Pek. With everything else being equal, I see 2011 shaking out like this.
Rubio
Iguodala (sticking with your trade)
W. Johnson
Beasley
Darko
With Ridnour, Brewer, Love/Beasley and Pekovik coming in as the second unit.
Assets = trading Flynn, 1 loto next year, 2 Al first rounders
Still young and cheap….
It’s starting to come together…
My Hope
Is that Kahn stops being “trader Joe” if we get talent, because winning is about eliminating having less turnovers, more rebounds and a higher TS% than your opponents and that is talent and experience working together. Our big weakness now is IMO is point guard and experience working together. Kevin love is an all star caliber player right now. His game though, is as the player who makes you better but not as the go to scorer. Scoring wise, I am ok with him as a 2nd,3rd or 4th option. If he improves and is only the 2nd best player on this team, it will be because we have become a playoff team.
That is true
But I dont think Klove has the Physical attributes to be a good scorer. I think the best we can expect is Bill laimbeer with less defense and better passing.
I think Love
has proven he’s a good scorer. Not as good as Al, and he looks ugly doing it, but the guy scores points.
That...
and I think we’re going to see him getting to the line even more frequently this coming year. There is a lot to be said about Love’s ability to draw fouls.
by Krotz the Wall on Jul 16, 2010 12:17 PM CDT up reply actions
Quick Question on Next Year's Draft...
Can anyone link to any educated guesses on how the labor situation might affect next year’s draft? The paranoid Wolves fan in me is fearful it will cause all the top prospects to go back to school to avoid the mess (meaning the Wolves will be left with seniors to draft next year) and thus the subsequent draft (2012) will be loaded with the top guys from two classes (and of course the Wolves’ lose their protection on the Jaric disaster that year).
oh dont worry
we’re finally gonna win the lottery, then the lockout will be announced and Harrison Barnes will decide to stay in school…. (%)
by NuthinBurger on Jul 16, 2010 5:52 PM CDT up reply actions
That’s my fear, and it would be fitting if it weren’t for the fact the Clippers are perhaps the one team equally misfortuned as the Wolves. Flip side of the coin, that’s almost too good to happen to them.
It’s like an unstoppable-force/immovable-object matchup of crappiness.
I think the Clippers have won the lottery
two or three times since the Wolves came into existence. Hardly seems like similar misfortune, more mismanagement.
Ellington looks improved
He’s much more fluid with his mind-set with attacking the basket. Seems to have been working a lot on his handle too.

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