Then this is not the post to read. I did a quick review of how our beloved team has done with first-round picks, as shown in the table below the jump. It ain't pretty.
|
Year |
Pick |
Player |
Draft-day Trade |
Seasons |
Traded for |
|
1989 |
10 |
Richardson |
3 |
Chuck Person, Micheal Williams |
|
|
1990 |
6 |
Spencer |
3 |
Mike Brown |
|
|
1990 |
20 |
Glass |
2 |
Lance Blanks, Brad Sellers |
|
|
1991 |
7 |
Longley |
3 |
Stacey King |
|
|
1992 |
3 |
Laettner |
3.5 |
Spudd Webb, Andrew Lang |
|
|
1993 |
5 |
Rider |
3 |
Bill Curley, James Robinson |
|
|
1994 |
4 |
Marshall |
0.5 |
Gugliotta (3 seasons) |
|
|
1995 |
5 |
Garnett |
12 |
Al Jefferson, etc. |
|
|
1996 |
5 |
Allen |
Marbury |
3 |
Terrell Brandon |
|
1997 |
20 |
Grant |
1 |
||
|
1998 |
17 |
Nesterovic |
4 |
||
|
1999 |
6 |
Szczerbiak |
7 |
Ricky Davis, Mark Blount, Marcus Banks, Justin Reed |
|
|
1999 |
14 |
Avery |
3 |
||
|
2003 |
26 |
Ebi |
2 |
||
|
2005 |
14 |
McCants |
4 |
Shelden Williams, Bobby Brown |
|
|
2006 |
6 |
Roy |
Foye |
3 |
Rubio (pick) |
|
2007 |
7 |
Brewer |
3.5 |
Randolph |
|
|
2008 |
3 |
Mayo |
Love |
3 |
|
|
2009 |
5 |
Rubio |
0 |
||
|
2009 |
6 |
Flynn |
2 |
||
|
2009 |
18 |
Lawson |
Future #1 |
0 |
|
|
2009 |
28 |
Ellington |
2 |
||
|
2010 |
4 |
Johnson |
1 |
||
|
2010 |
16 |
Babbitt |
Webster |
1 |
|
|
2010 |
23 |
Booker |
Hayward |
1 |
(I may not have all of the details exactly right on the number of seasons, etc., but I think it's close enough.) A couple of things jump out to me. First, there are a lot of times that we've kept a player for about three years and then gotten little or nothing in return. Second, Kahn has already made 25 percent of the franchise's first-round picks. Read that one again. Then think about what we're watching this season. Yikes.
I love the draft. But with Kahn picking from a weak crop of players, I don't think there's much chance that we'll find a franchise-changing player this year.


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