I made this a Fan Post in case it's true nobody reads Fan Shots. ESPN's Hollinger has been right enough times to give me pause. He pegged Foye, Brewer and Flynn as duds, pegged KLove and impressively Ty Lawson as good. If nothing else, he's right more often than whomever Rob Moor has in charge.
Here's what Hollinger calls the Cliff's Notes version:
• Marshon Brooks, Josh Selby and the two Morrises appear overvalued.
• Brandon Knight, Jimmer Fredette and Jan Vesely are overvalued, but not as strongly.
• Kyrie Irving and Derrick Williams are, rightly, the top two players on the board.
• Tristan Thompson and Tobias Harris are undervalued. [Thompson scored higher than both Williams and Irving.]
• Jon Leuer, Norris Cole and Greg Smith are your sleepers.
This on Marshon Brooks:
"Probably the most suspect candidate, according to Draft Rater, is Marshon Brooks; his 7.88 rating was 27th among perimeter players. The Providence guard put up huge stats, but his average is hugely padded by two factors: First, the Friars played the fastest pace of any major Division I team; second, Brooks played nearly every minute of every game, averaging 36.5 per game -- remember, they play only 40 in college. Let all the air out and his numbers look a lot more ordinary -- his usage rate, which is his most alluring stat, ranks only ninth among prospects. Given his age (22 and five months) and his relative inefficiency, I'm not sure there's a ton to see here. Draft Rater sees him as a second rounder."
I don't like him so much anymore. Here's the link (it's Insider):