I Love The Point Guard Revolution
Welcome to the next installment of "Cap'n Hack's Not Necessarily Wolves Specific Basketball Thoughts." Though, this one is pretty important to Wolves related news, what with Rubio coming over and all, so maybe I should have waited on that title, but since "not necessarily" does not mean "never ever," I'm sticking with it. ANYWAY, let's begin.
Fact: Creating a shot for yourself is less valuable that creating shots for yourself and the four other guys on the floor with you.
Opinion: Ball movement is way more fun to watch than Iso basketball.
That, my friends, is why the Knicks are idiots for going to get Melo instead of Deron Williams. It's why I'd much rather have Steve Nash than Zach Randolph. It's also why there's no such thing as a superteam until we see signs up to play with Chris Paul next off-season, why I'm excited about the post-Monta Ellis era in Golden State and why Ricky Rubio is untouchable while Mike Beasley is surplus to requirements in MN. 1<5. Basic math, people.
With all the young talent at the point guard spot, we might be in for a golden era in NBA basketball (assuming there is NBA basketball sometime within the next few years). It also allows for interesting ways to construct a roster. If you have an elite distributor, it significantly reduces your need to add guys like Hedo Turkoglu to your team just to have an extra guy creating shots for you. You don't need two iso scorers if you know how to free up your point guard with a simple pick (and don't let your point guard take on LeBron James by himself for no apparent reason). If he gets space, your team will get a shot. In an off-season that might see the amount of money teams can use to fill up their rosters substantially cut, the value of guys like that will only go up.
Think about it, what's the most expensive role to fill, relative to value for a team? For me, it's not close--it's iso scorers. What's cheap? Rebounders, shooters, defensive specialists, etc. You know, just those guys that I like to call everyone else in the NBA. For the purposes of this post, I won't even argue with that system of attaching value to players. It is what it is, and will probably be that way for a while. With that in mind, getting someone who is going to create as many open looks for his cheap, replaceable teammates is probably the most useful kind of player to have in the NBA today. So, hey, congratulations on bringing a guy like that to the Target Center!
The argument against loading a team up with efficient scorers who don't create for themselves is invalidated by a dominant point guard. Kevin Love can't carry a team as the #1 scoring option, but he sure kicks ass in the Ray Allen "I'm going to make whatever shots you can get me, and am willing to take a whole bunch of them" role. Michael Beasley is a really bad first option, but if Ricky Rubio is picking his spots for him, you can bet most of them will be at the rim and not long 2s with a hand in his face. Hell, you don't even need Beasley for that. Anyone who's fast and likes dunking can do that job. High usage, low efficiency players are all but useless when you've got a first class distributor. It's all about making good shots, not creating bad ones.
So, that's fantastic news for anyone with a good pass-first floor general running the show. If you have CP3, Ricky Rubio, Jason Kidd, Deron Williams, or someone else to ably fill that role, and an ounce of competence in the Front Office (here's where you'll really find out if Kahn is worth a damn--this isn't a hard team to build), you should have a playoff team. Fill these teams with guys who can make open looks and not leak points on the other end, and there's no excuse for being in the lottery. Sadly, that's exactly where a couple of these guys should expect to be next year. Now, the Wolves and Nets have an excuse. They haven't had much time to assemble the aggressively simple model I've just explained. If I'm Kahn, I'm trading Beasley for the first 3 point shooter I'm offered as long as he can tread water defensively, finding out if the Randolph/Love frontcourt combo can work consistently, and telling Wes Johnson that he's making 500 3s every single day until the season starts. A Randolph/Love/Wes/Webster/Ricky starting 5 with Darko or Pek/Williams/3pt shooter/Ridnour rounding out the rotation might actually be halfway decent, and by the time Rubio's got a hang of this NBA thing, should bust out of the lottery. That team is fast, and if Wes and Ricky turn into the defensive players we hope they can be, it's actually not bad on that end, either. Team building is about maximizing value. The presence of a great passer makes a huge difference for a team. Make some shots, Wolves.
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it's nice to see a fanpost with 4 recs
that deserves them.
make that 5.
by rickyp on Jun 27, 2011 8:04 PM CDT reply actions 2 recs
Are you bad-mouthing sbjake?
You know his response will be a 17-rec’d post about why it’s awesome to have a post rec’d more than 4 times and how easy it is to get those rec’s.
Toddler Riley Scientist
by ynotsema2 on Jun 28, 2011 9:44 AM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
I feel like I should clarify that I don’t actually know if Ricky will be good enough to make this work. After watching him a couple of times, I like his odds, but we’ll have to see how it goes. If this weren’t on a Wolves blog, the point of the post probably would have been better served by talking about off-season moves the Nets should make or places I want to see Chris Paul play, or something like that.
heart of a champion, will of the warrior.
by cap'n hack on Jun 27, 2011 8:36 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
I couldn't agree more...
…it’s why Ricky can be very valuable even without a good outside shot.
A smart GM in a market like ours would value rebounds, assists, steals, low turnovers and high effective FG% above all else. It’s obvious NBA moneyball.
Rubio and Love are perfect building blocks for that foundation (Rubio will have to improve his shooting or shot selection though).
I love arguing against the importance of point guards
Lakers have won their last two titles having the worst PG rotation in the league. All a team needs conceivably is a coach that stresses the importance of ball movement and getting the best shot possible every possession, like Dallas did to perfection. PGs can simplify that matter by making most of the decisions for the team, but having somebody like Beasley that can possibly in the future at the end of games demand to be double teamed shouldnt be undervalued. In the playoffs its best to have a dynamic scoring wing player than a distributing PG
You make a good counter-point...
…but I think you went a bit far by suggesting that Beasley can be a dynamic scoring wing player ala Kobe or Jordan.
I agree that a team that has 4 or 5 players who can pass and who move the ball can be very successful without a great PG. But I’d rather start with a great PG.
Besides, we don’t have any great wing players on this team. Not Wes, not Bease and not Derrick Williams/.
In summary, I think you told us that
a team can succeed without a Zebra, so long as they have a Unicorn.
Truly dynamic wings are, IMO, far rarer than distributing PGs. As a team with a 2-decade long drought of wings, the Wolves and their fanbase are well aware that it’s the Jordans and the Kobes (and Wade, Manu, Pierce) that are winning titles. Dallas is one of the exceptions to that basic principle, but as you stated yourself, they played their game “to perfection” (and let’s not sell Kidd’s influence short, as this role we’re discussing is really about orchestrating an offense, stats be damned). See also Chauncey Billups, 2004 Finals MVP.
by BrettAhlgren on Jun 28, 2011 8:33 AM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Sure you don't need one ball distributing point guard on your team when you have 4 ball distributing non-point-guards running the show.
However, we’ve seen how ineffective it can be to have a coach that stresses the importance of ball movement and getting the best shot possible every possession without a bunch of players that can distribute the ball. And it seems silly to focus on Dallas’ offense when during the most important times of the game it came down to nothing more than: 1) give Dirk the ball anywhere on the floor; 2) let him take a shot that is virtually impossible to block; and 3) hope that shot goes in. When you have that at your disposal there’s hardly a reason to have a point guard. Here’s a news flash for you: there’s only a handful of guys (I’m being generous) in the league that can take an unblockable shot, there’s really only one guy that can make that unblockable shot with any sort of regularity, and that one guy is not Michael Beasley.
Toddler Riley Scientist
by ynotsema2 on Jun 28, 2011 10:01 AM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Ignoring the fact that Dallas has Jason freaking Kidd, one of the best passers of this generation starting at point guard, the point you make is valid. If you have tons of great passers for their position, it’s better than relying solely on the point guard to do that. But it’s also a hell of a lot more expensive and harder to do. A great point guard is way easier and cheaper to build around than anything outside of a dominant defensive center (and for that reason, while Paul and Dwight might not be the best two players in the NBA, they’d be my top 2 options for starting a team).
And if your dynamic scoring wing isn’t a good passer, he’s not anywhere near as useful as a fluid offense. That’s Beasley’s problem. He’s never going to be able to really run the offense from the wing. The ball is going to stop with Beasley a lot more than anyone else on the team, and if he’s taking bad shots—even if he’s making a few—he’s less useful than the players who pass better and take better shots.
heart of a champion, will of the warrior.
Good Article
But I have to disagree with you on Beasley, specifically with the follow two points you made:
Think about it, what’s the most expensive role to fill, relative to value for a team? For me, it’s not close—it’s iso scorers.
High usage, low efficiency players are all but useless when you’ve got a first class distributor. It’s all about making good shots, not creating bad ones.
I agree very much with the first quote, iso-scorers are the most expensive role to fill. I will take this one step further and say because they are valued more, and are more expensive, they are generally difficult to acquire on the open market. Having said that, your second quote makes a leap a logic that I don’t think I can agree with.
If Iso-Scorers are expensive and difficult to come by, why get rid of Beasley to put all the pressure on Rubio. Having Rubio doesn’t make an iso scorer mutually exclusive. There will surely be games where Rubio has a poor matchup, an off night, or where situational defense prevents him from creating shots for others. Having a different option on the floor other than Rubio to create a shot should make us better, not worse.
Last season, the Wolves had literally no ball handlers to create for others. Ridnour could create for himself, Beasley could create for himself, everything else was junk. Beasley was thus forced to becoming the high volume shooter because the Wolves had no other options to create. Depend solely on Beasley and last season is what you get. It’s entirely possible that depending solely on Rubio, as a rookie, may produce similar results. I would rather we hold on to Beasley and have two options for shot creation, Rubio in creating shots for others, and Beasley in creating shots for himself. Having both would appear to benefit the team more than solely relying on one.
Derrick Williams was going to Bust...but then he was selected by the Timberwolves!
First off, I’d like to reiterate that I don’t actually know if Rubio will be good enough to make this work. I added that in the comments, but it’s probably something that I should have included in the post itself. Ricky might not be able to handle this pressure, and the Wolves might still be a mess next year. It might take a while to make this work.
Second, I think Beasley has demonstrated brilliantly why an iso scorer who doesn’t score efficiently tends to not help a team very much. I think there’s enough athleticism and ability on the rest of the Wolves team where if an active offense, initiated by the point guard is the plan, you don’t don’t really need to go back to Beasley and hope and pray he creates a good shot. If you can get Ricky a little bit of space, the defense will have to adjust, and then ball movement after the first pass can continue. Moving the ball, starting with a good pass, rather than holding the ball and waiting for a Beasley shot is the main difference here. Ricky doesn’t have to do everything, he just has to start the play.
And of course, if Derrick Williams is kind of like Beasley, but with more range, then Beasley is completely unnecessary.
heart of a champion, will of the warrior.
Second, I think Beasley has demonstrated brilliantly why an iso scorer who doesn’t score efficiently tends to not help a team very much.
The facts say that Michael Beasley is not an inefficient isolation scorer. An isolation play is one of the most inefficient ways to score. Players who use a lot of possessions in isolation are necessarily less efficient than those players who use possessions differently.
Beasley’s isolation PPP was 0.88 which was 75th most efficient in the league. However, Beasley’s overall PPP at .90 is 275th best in the league. Beasley is a top 25% in the NBA isolation scorer; however, he used over 30% of his possessions in isolation, versus a guy like Dirk who only used 13% of his possessions in isolation. The Wolves had no one to create offense forcing Beasley to use possessions in the most inefficient manner.
The hope, for me, is that Beasley’s isolations significantly drop as a percentage of his possessions used so that he still maintains his above average isolation PPP numbers, just uses possessions in that matter less. This will make him appear to be a more efficient scorer, even though he didn’t improve in isolation situations on a per possession basis.
The argument here is that depending on a isolation scorer to carry your offense is not an efficient offense. I agree with you that ball movement creates better shots than isolations. I just think that when the shot clock hits 8 and ball movement has not worked, or in an end of the game situation, having someone who can create in isolation, like Beasley, is an asset, not a liability.
Derrick Williams was going to Bust...but then he was selected by the Timberwolves!
Agree with all of this
and the “eye test” or whatever you want to call it, bears out how Beasley is pretty damn good at making difficult shots against defense. Problem is, he doesn’t get enough easy shots or free throws. His passing isn’t even that bad. I wouldn’t call it a strength, but for his position and player type, I also wouldn’t call it a weakness.
Beasley might very well be the player whose perceived value rises the most with Rubio’s addition. Beasley is a finisher and Rubio is a creator. Last time I checked, that is the correct combination of pieces to build an offense around.
I’d be all for keeping him around if I didn’t think there was a way to squeeze more value out of his roster spot. The Wolves are loaded with finishers who play Beasley’s position, and he’s not really providing much that we don’t think Derrick Williams can do. I’m all for keeping him around while the Wolves see what Williams and Rubio can do, but if they provide what the team hopes they provide, Beasley is redundant.
heart of a champion, will of the warrior.
Yeah, some depends on Williams
some depends on the new coach and offensive strategy, too. I’m just skeptical that Williams or any of the others can become the scorer that Beasley is and will continue to improve on.*
*(I 100% don’t subscribe to the idea many post here that Beasley hasn’t improved in 3 years. His role in Minnesota was entirely different and more-difficult than it was being D-Wade’s sidekick in Miami and he held up pretty well despite injuries.)
If he’s about as good at creating shots as Beasley, and is a better shooter, I’d much rather have him around, personally. I think you can sacrifice some of Beasley’s creating ability if Rubio’s playing the point as well as everyone hopes he can.
Of course, you shop both and see if Williams brings in something way better than Beasley if you think that they aren’t both needed. Like, say, if the Bucks thought Williams would be Jennings’s perfect running mate and were willing to make a Bogut for Williams, AR and Pek deal. I don’t see that happening (and didn’t even check the salaries), but it seems more likely than Beasley being the centerpiece of a package like that.
heart of a champion, will of the warrior.
An interesting, hopeful comparison in this case might be Amare. His final four seasons in Phoenix he posted offensive ratings of 116, 124, 117, and 117. Last year, away from Nash, he was at 109. And at 29, he’s not at the age where a dramatic dropoff is a given. A caveat is Amare shouldered the largest offensive load of his career in New York, which likely contributed. But it’s not like he was a 4th option with the Suns, either. His increased usage wasn’t THAT dramatic.
On the other hand, taking another former Sun as an example, Joe Johnson actually managed to maintain his productivity (at an increased role) once he left Phoenix for Atlanta. So who knows?
I agree with you
And I also think that if we trade Beasley away, finding a player who can create, unless DW is that player, is going to be difficult.
Derrick Williams was going to Bust...but then he was selected by the Timberwolves!
I just don't understand the constant want around here
to get rid of the team’s best PROVEN scorer. Yah know, the player who can get his own shot. As was pointed out, Dallas is the champion because they have such a player. I’m not saying Beasley is Dirk, but who else is? And who are we getting who has shown they could be the next Dirk/Wade/LeBron/Kobe? We couldn’t get rid of Al Jefferson fast enough and he probably has the best low-post moves in the league. We acquire Beasley. He is working hard for us and has not been any problem. And we can’t wait to dump him over a player who is, so far, just a college highlight reel. Getting rid of Jefferson did not improve our team’s win total. It’s awfully premature to assume that getting rid of Beasley would improve our fortunes, either.
by ogishkemuncie on Jun 28, 2011 3:00 PM CDT up reply actions
And we’ve officially come full circle on Beasley from when he first arrived. Going from “well, he’s a first option on offense, having Wade around held him back,” to “if he’s your first option, he’s probably using too many iso possessions, it would be better if he didn’t have to do that.” In both situations, Beasley was about equally efficient. Best case scenario, Beasley comes close to average efficiency while providing an iso threat. If you can swap him for a player who is more useful in non-desperation situations, I say you do it. And again, this is all dependent on Rubio being able to create shots for 5 guys at least as well as Beasley did for himself.
That’s what I’m not understanding about this argument. You’re saying that if ball movement—the more effective option the majority of the time—has yet to get a good look, Beasley suddenly becomes more likely to make the right play. You’ve acknowledged that it’s a bad option relative to nearly every other play they could run, but for some reason, at the 8 second mark, it becomes plan A. It’s not as though Ricky controlling the ball isn’t putting pressure on the D (in this hypothetical situation), it’s that it’s yet to produce a good look. If you think that within 8 seconds, Ricky is going to create a better shot than Beasley, you have to stick with that plan.
For me, if your offense runs best through Ricky, you run it through Ricky, even when the shot clock is low, even when the game is on the line. If Rubio can’t make his own shot, it’s a totally different story, but if he’s any sort of scoring threat, he’s the guy I want with the ball in his hands.
heart of a champion, will of the warrior.
Your first argument that It’s come full circle is not one I agree with. Wade is not a shot creator for others, he’s a shot creator for himself. Yes, he does put up assist numbers and does create offense for others moreso than anyone on the Wolves roster last year, but Wade and Rubio aren’t the same player. Wade creates offense for himself first, only if stifled, does he pass to others. Ricky is the exact opposite type of player who will likely create offense for others first, and only if stifled, will he create offense for himself. Assuming that Beasley will be the same player with Rubio as he was with Wade is not an argument I agree with.
Regarding your second point, I’m not saying that as a rule, Ricky has 16 seconds to create offense and if not, we run Iso-Beas in the corner. All I’m saying is that there will be situations where the defense takes away ball movement and Rubio, and without Beasley, or someone else, to create offense for themselves, it will be a team weakness. I don’t think it’s smart to trade away Beasley prematurely until we know whether his strengths are needed.
Derrick Williams was going to Bust...but then he was selected by the Timberwolves!
Sorry, that first part was just something I was pointing out because it seemed funny to me. You’re right, the situations are different. I should have clarified that.
And I agree with the second part, too. I wouldn’t trade him away until I knew exactly what the Wolves were getting with Rubio and Williams. I’m rolling with two serious assumptions that A) Rubio is going to be a very good pass-first PG and B) That Williams and Beasley are generally similar players, but since Williams has more range, I trust him to be a bit better at the 3.
heart of a champion, will of the warrior.
Also, question about the Dirk numbers you have above: When you say “iso” does that include post-ups? I would assume not, but that’s almost always a one-on-one until help arrives situation that’s pretty similar to an iso. It doesn’t really change anything about this discussion, I was just curious.
heart of a champion, will of the warrior.
You are correct, Iso's do not include Post Ups.
But even so, a guy like Wade scores at .91 PPP in isolations which is close to Beasley. But yes, Dirk uses much more possessions in post ups than Beasley, and those possessions could be characterized as isolations, without looking at the videos of each possession to determine if that was the case.
Derrick Williams was going to Bust...but then he was selected by the Timberwolves!
Thanks for that. I’m not questioning Beasley’s ability in iso situations, so much as I’m questioning the value of iso plays in general, and saying that having an elite point guard is the easiest way around that problem.
And semi-related, I think that Dallas losing Caron Butler was one of the underrated storylines of the playoffs last year, because if he’s stopping the ball, I’m not even sure they make it to the Finals. To me, Dallas basically trading Butler’s isos for more Dirk isos and post-ups, and better passing was a massive help to them. Obviously, the Wolves don’t have anyone with anything close to Dirk’s scoring ability, but the Mavs looked their most dangerous when they were whipping the ball around to shooters. Dirk was unbelievable, don’t get me wrong, but man could that team pass.
heart of a champion, will of the warrior.
I'm not sure Dirk is a great example to use here.
Dirk is on the short list of players that don’t hurt the team when they go iso. He is a full 0.1ppp better than Beasley and I think it is an important 0.1 because it crosses the threshold of what you can expect from an average half-court situation. If you can’t pass that threshold, why do it?
Dirk is also a bad example, because he really doesn’t go into iso that much, only 13.4% of his possessions compared to Beasley’s problematically high 31.4%. If Beasley was more selective with who he decided to take on he might be able to put up similar numbers, but he isn’t and it hurts us more than helps us.
Interestingly, Dirk is a good comp for how Beasley should move away from isos. Dirk is the 12th best post scorer in the league, and recognizing this he gets 27.5% of his possessions in the post and scores a much better 1.1ppp. Beasley is actually nearly as good as Dirk in the post, scorin 1.03ppp good for 20th in the league, but he only finds 9% of his possessions there. Why? Why waste possessions on isolation plays when they are worse than an average possession and you can do other things? The opponents don’t force you into it, you need to be doing it to yourself and it hurts.
There is a very short list of players who are dominant enough in isolation to make it consistently a good play. Derrick Rose and Kobe Bryant are on this list… not many others are. That ability is a luxury, but it is the last kind of offensive strategy you want to force. Sure, if some team sticks a Mike Miller on Beasley, you go for it, but most of the time it is a bad idea, and there is no need for some guy that can do it.
by vjl110 on Jun 28, 2011 4:09 PM CDT up reply actions 3 recs
Trading Beasley for a 3 point specialist makes little sense to me
Wolves were sixth in percentage and ninth in makes from beyond the arc last season. We have plenty of capable shooters, including Beasley.
Tired of crying
They shot a good percentage from beyond the arc, but in a ball movement offense, you’re going to get more open looks, and I’d like to see more of them come from deadly 3 point shooters. Beasley’s decent, but he’s not terrifying from deep by any means. And if that 3 point shooter is a better defender (not that big of a stretch), it’s an easy decision for me.
But it’s certainly something reasonable people can disagree on. Ebomb makes good points for keeping Beasley above, too. That was just my logic behind that statement, but considering that keeping Beasley isn’t really going to be such a disaster for the Wolves, I’d hardly start shouting about FO incompetence if they didn’t take my advice.
heart of a champion, will of the warrior.
If Wes can pick things up from long range it could balance the equation
But I wouldn’t be too mad if we traded Beasley for Stephen Jackson lol.
Tired of crying
I think there’s something to the idea of surrounding a playmaker like Rubio with efficiency machines. On that note, I just hope David Kahn realizes his statement “our offense wasn’t the problem, it was our defense” is only half right. The Wolves last year had 4 players who graded out as above-average in offensive efficiency: Kevin Love (123), Luke Ridnour (112), Anthony Tolliver (122), and Martell Webster (111). Nobody else came close to sniffing average (which was a little above 107 for last year).
Beasley (100) at least has the excuse that he was probably asked to do way too much, and I wouldn’t kill them if they gave him one more shot at SF. And Ant (101), when he played, also used a fair number of possessions. Wes was really troubling for a 4th overall pick. He had a 101 Ortg on only 17% usage. Point is, I hope Kahn doesn’t think he has “OKC Thunder North,” and all they need to do is develop, or that Rubio is some sort of alchemy. They probably do need to convert some of these guys into players who can contribute.
observation
the 4 above average players you have listed were not really players that had plays called for them… Luke jacked 3’s (well), while the other three were opportunistic. This smells to me of poor coaching.
I really felt before last season there was no way the team could not win 30 games. I’m still convinced that a lot was left on the table last season from a managerial level. Rube speculation, but I still don’t get it.
Random Thoughts
Keep everyone (Beasley/Williams/Randolph/Love/Wes). Unless you receive an offer that will clearly make you better when the Wolves will next compete for the playoffs (2012-2013???). I don’t see Williams as a 3/ where as Beasley in theory could develop here in the long-term. I think the Beasley/Williams dynamic at the 3/4 especially when paired with Love can create some really interesting match-ups that can be exploited. Stop N Pop said it best a traditional way to building a Basketball team probably won’t work in a market like this barring Luck.
"Vote Ailuridae for Wolves GM"
This is an article by Twolvesblog.com on Beasley
There were games, like that one against the Clippers, where he demonstrated the potential to become an all-star caliber talent, a true alpha dog player on a team that desperately needed leadership. Unfortunately, there were also games where he seemingly checked out altogether.
I’m not going to judge his motor on last season alone. After all, finding motivation would have been difficult during some of those losing stretches.
Coach Rambis certainly didn’t help matters. He apparently couldn’t decide what he thought of Beasley. In one game, he’d give him the ball in an isolation set during crunch time. In another, he’d sit him on the bench while Luke Ridnour got the last shot. There was no rhyme or reason to what Rambis was doing, and that would have been difficult on any young player trying to find his niche in the NBA.
ESPECIALLY BEASLEY.
I think any casual observer of the NBA understood that Beasley had emotional issues headed into last season. He clearly has loads of talent, but he needs the right atmosphere to develop fully. He needs structure. He needs order. He needs a routine. Rambis seemed intent on yanking Beasley around, and that was clearly the wrong approach for a player like Beasley.
And now Rambis is gone. Thank goodness.
So has Beasley hit his ceiling? Could a capable coach get more out of him? Look at his stats. Remember, Beasley’s only 22 years old.
I take three big things from Beasley’s splits over the last three seasons.
1. Beasley was asked to shoulder a larger load in terms of scoring this season, and he responded.
Perhaps the most common complaint on Beasley I heard this season was that, in response to being the team’s go-to scorer, he was inefficient. Fair enough. I grew tired of the missed 21 footers as well.
But statistically, he shot the same percentage from the field (.450) as he did in Miami in 09-10 even with 4 more attempts per game. Despite defenses focusing on Beasley as Minnesota’s main offensive weapon, he still managed similar efficiency to what he did in Miami as a role player. That’s impressive.
2. Beasley still isn’t playing heavy minutes.
He only averaged 32.3 MPG this season. Meanwhile, he averaged 19.2 PPG and 5.6 RPG. If you extrapolate that to a very reasonable 38 MPG for an NBA starter, suddenly Beasley is averaging 22.6PPG and 6.5 RPG. Not bad.
3. Beasley needs to get to the line more.
This is perhaps the most aggravating part of Beasley’s game. He’s incredibly talented at getting to the basket, but he settles for jump shots way too often. Despite his new role in Minnesota, he still only got to the line 4 times per game. That needs to improve, and his FG% will also improve when he stops relying on contested long jumpers.
So how much of that is even Beasley’s fault? Doesn’t the responsibility on #2 and #3 fall with the coach? Carmelo Anthony faced a similar propensity to jack up jump shots in his early years in Denver, until Coach Karl encouraged him to take it to the basket. This allowed Anthony to become one of the deadliest offensive threats in the NBA.
Can a better coach shape Michael Beasley to become a star in this league?
The talent is clearly there. I believe the heart is there as well. He just needs a good teacher – someone who can relate to him on an individual level and get the best out of him. Hiring a legitimate NBA coach will go a long way towards fixing Beasley. Let’s hope Kahn (and for that matter, Glen Taylor) prioritize getting a solid coach over getting a cheap one.
I understand the desire to give up on Beasley, to trade him away for a veteran. I think that’s a bad idea. You certainly don’t "sell low and buy high." Beasley’s trade value isn’t nearly as high as it should be right now, and we shouldn’t give up on him yet.
Give him one more season with a different coach. I think we’ll start to see some magical things out of him.
by monro on Jun 28, 2011 2:31 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
Good post. Here's a thought...
Beas got a lot of non-calls from the refs. No respect from the refs in contact situations. He would have had a lot more FT attempts if the refs called it differently for him.
I’m guessing that without calls, Beas figured, why go through the beating he’d take on drives to the hoop if there was no call?
I also think that maybe this year will be different. Beas earned some respect last year, IMHO. He moved his rep from an uncommitted doper to a talented player. He never complained, that I recall. He played through pain. The hit he took from Bynum may have been a turning point, at least I hope so. Beas did not complain. He got helped to the locker room. He came back and played in the same game. The refs must have been embarrassed with all the reruns of that play, and with Bynum’s history.
I’m hoping that Beas will get more respect and more calls this year, and that will help his game. Incremental improvements like that mean a lot, especially for a guy like Beas who is on the cusp.
I just don't see what's gained by trading him at this time.
Good Points
"Vote Ailuridae for Wolves GM"
It just veered off into another direction
"Vote Ailuridae for Wolves GM"
I like the post but right now I think
Keeping Beas may be more helpful to the team rather than trading him. Let’s get some consistancy, let’s get a solid coach, and let’s grow together. We can add vets and role players as we grow.
I'm Trill, I'm running w/ the WOLVES
by running with Twolves (and scissors) on Jun 28, 2011 4:55 PM CDT reply actions

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