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United (under a smart coach) We (know when to) Run.

Almost the very first thing David Kahn said upon his hiring, during the resulting press conference, was that he thought the Wolves needed to run.

For anyone who'd watched Al Jefferson as the centerpiece of the Minnesota offense, the assertion was jarring. He'd looked at the Timberwolf roster and concluded that "We need to run"? Three of our more productive players were Jefferson, Kevin Love, and Craig Smith. There were times the previous year when I'd look down from my nosebleed season tickets and picture three rhinoceroses, walking away with the word "Wolves" written across their butts. "I think we need to run"? It was like saying he thought we needed to trade everyone. (Insert a parenthetical remark of your own here.)

Since that opening press conference we've been talking about what, exactly, Kahn meant. What did it mean to trot out a "United We Run" marketing slogan? This year, we have a new phrasing of Kahn's doctrine – running is, we are told, 'in our coach's DNA' – and we have another new answer about what that actually means on the court.

Star-divide

Rick Adelman: he has winning in his DNA.

The hiring of Kurt Rambis seemed to tell us that the "Showtime" Lakers were our model. Only.... Did Rambis himself understand that? A year into Rambis's tenure with the team, I contrasted "Showtime" with the "Seven Seconds or Less" Phoenix Suns, asking whether Rambis was aiming for the former or the latter.

We've been debating stuff like whether Al Jefferson's game, or Kevin Love's, can fit with a running team ever since David Kahn's first couple of comments about the Wolves team he was taking over. "Can Kevin Love be the PF in a Running Offense?" "How does Al Jefferson fit the running style?" We're asking these questions as if every significant player on the roster needs to be another Shawn Marion. Isn't there still some room to ask: Just how much of a running offensive style would this be, exactly?

The team's "Pace" numbers, under Rambis, were high. They were much higher than they'd been the two previous years. Last season we paced the league:

Pace:

2007-2008: 91.9 (13th of 30)

2008-2009: 91.6 (15th of 30)

2009-2010: 96.1 (3rd of 30)

2010-2011: 96.5 (1st of 30)

On Canis, we referred to Rambis trying to race his "tricycle" offense down the driveway and into the street with one tire falling off. There was also the counterargument that it was really turnovers giving other teams fast-break opportunities that caused the high pace numbers.

It's 2012 now. Rick Adelman, noted architect of the Sacramento Kings' sudden emergence as the gun-shootin'-est team in the West, is at the helm. (Adelman kicked off training camp with a right old fusillade of coach scorn about the Wolves' ability to turn the ball over, too. )

So, what's in Rick's DNA? Glance at those Pace numbers over time again:

2007-2008: 91.9 (13th of 30)

2008-2009: 91.6 (15th of 30)

2009-2010: 96.1 (3rd of 30)

2010-2011: 96.5 (1st of 30)

2011-2012: 92.6 (11th of 30)

The Wolves' turnover numbers are still problematic. The team's fast break points, too, have dipped somewhat from last season, at least in sources I can find. We're running the flamboyant rookie PG with the big turnover rate out there, and playing some exciting ball. But that's not meant a screaming-fast, fast breaks first offense. Has it?

In general I think the use of "Pace" is problematic. That number probably should get called "Possessions" instead. But given that we've ticked off the usual suspects – turnovers, fast break points, defensive rating – and found everything moving in the same basic direction, it's probably fair to say that Rick Adelman has moderated the Wolves' running ways in order to win some games.

The post-lockout season's stirred this pot, too:

A passel of teams have moved noticeably on the Pace rankings relative to last year. Minnesota is one. But when Phoenix and Cleveland squared off on January 12th, and the Cavs won 101-90? That slow pace was as much the Suns' pace as Cleveland's. In fact, Phoenix is currently sporting the league's 15th-fastest pace. Cleveland is ranked 7th. You could have watched that game and fairly concluded that Phoenix had successfully slowed Cleveland down.

Sorry, maybe I should have told you to sit down first.

Things have changed:

Putting the Pace pedal down:

Portland has gone from the lowest pace in the league to the 5th-highest.

Miami's gone from 20th to 3rd overall.

Milwaukee's gone from 25th overall to 11th. Scottie Skiles, who are you?

Charlotte was 26th last year, and is 13th this time around.

That change in Portland sticks out like a sore thumb. Miami is pretty interesting to consider too.

Lowering "pace":

Toronto's reined things in, from 11th to 23rd. (Dwane Casey knows what he's trying to do, anyway.)

Indiana's gone from 6th to 21st.

The Clippers, 12th to 19th. (Yes, they've "slowed down" with Chris Paul on board.)

Orlando's slipped from 17th to 25th in Pace. And in several other senses.

Phoenix has gone from 7th to 15th. They haven't really been "SSOL" for a while now, unless the "OL" means something to do with luck.

Houston, 8th to 14th. "Smash Mouth" ball?

The top Pace number in the league right now is Denver's, at 96.1. That's a bit below our league-highest number last year. However, below that the general numbers for the league are off by a measure, all the way down the rankings.

What can we expect as the season wears on? It's easy to imagine that things will gradually drift back to the league's previous norms, but some of these teams aren't in character right now. Will Portland and Denver be able to win in the playoffs at their high current paces? That's quite new for the Blazers.

Comment 10 comments  |  5 recs  | 

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I wonder if we'll end up being like the early-aughts Nets teams

That is, a mid-paced team that only runs off of opportunities born from strong defense, yet carries a “running team” moniker due to their flashy PG and strength in running the break.

It’s telling that instead of envisioning a team full of athletes using their athleticism to be a top-shelf defensive team, Kahn spun it as a reason to run. I know that he’s trying to sell excitement to the fans, but he had it backward. Teams that are athletic enough to run should focus on the defensive side first and foremost, and the fast breaks will come naturally as a result.

Gary, you didn't kill your brother. Those gorillas did.

by nja700 on Jan 29, 2012 3:36 PM CST reply actions   1 recs

Honestly, I think Kahn actually knew that.

When he talked about Showtime, too, he would mention that those were decent defensive teams. He said stuff to the effect that fast breaks came from defense. ’Course, he said a lot of stuff….

"First, I'd like to blame the Lord for causing us to lose today."

by feral on Jan 30, 2012 12:26 PM CST up reply actions  

(He also talked a lot about his love of the Portland championship team he grew up watching)

That and Showtime appear to have been what he grew up watching.

Follow @canishoopus

by Stop-n-Pop on Jan 30, 2012 1:04 PM CST up reply actions  

feral.. some of the changes you've noted are intentional..

Spoelstra has absolutely emphasized pushing the pace in Miami which he should have done last year as it makes perfect sense (their pace will not drop off). Portland and Denver both want to run in lieu of their personnel. In terms of Portland the change from Miller to Felton at the point certainly contributed to the pace change. Moreover, I suspect their trying to use their depth to their advantage in this shortened season by pushing the pace. This is clearly what’s happening in Denver as I was watching George Karl coach Denver on “The Association” (the show on the NBA channel) and he implored them to run as much as possible. Charlotte’s increase in pace may be attributable to Kemba Walker in part, although it is likely ill advised for them to play at such a pace. I don’t fully understand what’s going on in Milwaukee, but you have to wonder if Skiles has decided their half court offense isn’t that great and pushing the pace is beneficial to them, particularly with Bogut out and them having to play small. Undoubtedly, in their win against the Lakers they pushed the pace because they tried to use their speed advantage to offset the Lakers size advantage. One could explain the declines in the paces of the teams you mentioned in a similar manner to that aforementioned as I don’t find it all that surprising. Thus, I don’t know if the changes in pace are attributable to the lockout, or coaches adjusting to their personnel. The reduction in our pace clearly is due to Adelman and Ricky, and has proven very beneficial.

by bsg007 on Jan 29, 2012 4:38 PM CST reply actions  

Yep, it seems like teams are trying to go there.

It’s just interesting that several teams have made pretty radical changes in their approaches. That doesn’t seem to happen in most seasons.

Nate M. in Portland raised his young roster over a handful of years at one of the slowest paces out there. Now he’s pushing the pace instead. That change…. It’s like when the Suns tried to work Shaq in. It’s like the Warriors suddenly were slowing it down and winning games 86-83. You don’t see changes like that from winning teams so often.

The Bucks are one where I’d expect it to change. Skiles and that team were almost a sort of Bill Musselman model – play ugly, get involved in scrappy defensive games.

"First, I'd like to blame the Lord for causing us to lose today."

by feral on Jan 30, 2012 12:30 PM CST up reply actions  

In Houston Adelman wanted

To run when it was there,if not set up half-court and run the offense. And by running the offense he meant don’t take the first half-a** shot there was,but run the sets,be patient and you’ll get great looks towards end of clock.(When the Rockets were running it right they got an astonishing amount of lay-ups and open shots w/time running out.)
He didn’t mind bad shots,being off,but he really hated turnovers.

So it was push off turnover,rebound,but if it’s not there,run the sets and get a shot.
As a result Rocket offensive possessions went from high 80’s under JVG to low-mid 90s.

by Tisbee on Jan 29, 2012 7:16 PM CST reply actions  

The whole "Running in his DNA" thing is, it seems fair to say, pretty overblown.

Adelman’s Portland teams were in that second tier of teams in those terms; they ran from like 4th to 8th in the context of the league then.

The guy’s just smart.

"First, I'd like to blame the Lord for causing us to lose today."

by feral on Jan 30, 2012 12:33 PM CST up reply actions  

Excellent piece feral.

Enjoyed it a great deal.

No mistakes in the tango, Donna. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on Jan 30, 2012 1:15 PM CST reply actions  

How much is McHale like Adelman?

That Houston team sure looks the same.

You can't...dust...for vomit.

by twinstalker on Jan 31, 2012 11:42 AM CST reply actions  

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