FanPost

TGG's 2022 Big Board




I thought this would be a fun experience to make a big board to look back on in future years and see how I did. For anybody unfamiliar with this draft this would be a good way to get to know some of the different players. It is important to know that this is a big board not a mock draft so this is how I view prospects, not what I think will happen for this draft. I started out just explaining my draft philosophy and then my view on the top 26 players. The majority of players don't end up finding major roles in the NBA so I only wrote about those I thought had the best chance of sticking around. I also included a list of second round flyers that could end up being decent role players down the road.

2022 NBA Draft Big Board

My draft philosophies:

1. Draft for potential at the top of the lottery. NBA stars are hard to come by and anybody that is picking at the top of the lottery likely needs stars before they are anywhere near competing for championships.

2. Shooting is the most important attribute for guards and wings. If players can’t shoot at these positions, they need to be really strong in other areas to be able to find any role in the NBA.

3. After the initial high upside early lottery players, aim for role players that fill needs for your team. The best later picks are those with high floor and some upside, but there are only so many of those. Good teams are not just built upon star players, but complimentary teammates that hide those stars weaknesses and bring out their strengths. There is no better place to find cheap role players than the draft.

4. In the second-round teams can do what they want. Finding a player that makes an NBA roster long term is considered a win at this point. There’s nothing wrong with swinging for upside since most players don’t make it at this point, but finding a role player is also a win.

Players:

1. Paolo Banchero- Athletic 6’10" forward with a 7’ wingspan. Excellent shot creator around the rim and out of the midrange. Also an excellent passer which is a compounding skill for his shooting. Shot 34% from 3 this year and 73% from the FT line so should be able to make 3s. Highest upside player in this draft with his offensive creation. Concerns with Banchero are similar to Andrew Wiggins and Anthony Edwards coming out of college. Shot selection needs to improve and Banchero can be disinterested on the defensive end. He also can be a ball stopper as he prefers to score out of isolation. These are all fixable issues with good coaching but could be problems in a bad situation. That’s on the coaching staff to iron out.

2. Mathurin- Excellent size and athleticism with elite shooting. Can score off the dribble, movement, and catch and shoot at a high level. If he improves his handle and passing/shot selection he has all star potential. Should be a good defender down the road but needs to refine this. High ceiling high floor.

Comps: Jaylen Brown, Jamal Murray

3. Chet- Excellent length and shot blocking ability. Good 3 point shooter and lateral quickness to switch onto the perimeter. Can handle the ball some. Good finisher. Needs more strength and should play 4 next to a center, not 5 or he will struggle with lack of strength. Some concerns about injuries due to potentially low bone density with his height and really low weight?

Comp: Jaren Jackson Jr.

4. Ivey- Big guard with elite athleticism and finishing ability. Okay passer. Some concerns about 3 point shooting particularly off the dribble which would really limit ceiling if it does not translate. Really bad defender at this time which seems to be lack of understanding/anticipation and dying on screens which is more concerning to me than effort concerns. Could be an elite scorer if 3-point shot translates but a little more high risk/high reward

5. Jabari Smith- Good size and athleticism. Should be able to defend in the post and switch some. Not an elite shot blocker. Elite shooter for his position, should provide good spacing. Don’t think he’ll be able to create his own shot at a high level

Comp: Al Horford

6. Jalen Williams- Big guard who can score on all 3 levels and is an excellent passer. Can already hit 3s at a high rate off the dribble and in spot up situations with some upside to score off movement. Decent defender with nice length. Not a great first step is the main knock on him. Could play any of the 3 backcourt positions. High ceiling and high floor

Comp: SGA

7. Keegan Murray- Decent size and athleticism for position. Can space the floor and provide good defensive versatility. Good post scorer but game is kind of post centric at this point. Not a great first step and needs to improve his handle if he can ever develop an off the dribble game.

8. EJ Liddell- Strong PF with good shot blocking and athleticism to switch 2-5 defensively. Very good shot blocker and passer for position. High IQ player. Looks like he should be able to space the floor. Not a great low post scorer but can score against smaller players in mismatches. Don’t think he has much score creation potential. Would be nice if he was taller but he is about the same size as guys like Draymond Green, Paul Milsap, and PJ Tucker who have all had success at the position. Upside is defensively while providing adequate but not great offense.

9. Wendell Moore- Wing/big guard with nice length. Good ball handler, passer, shooter, and finisher. Excellent defender. High IQ player. Not a great first step and needs to improve his off the ball shooting to become a primary ball handler. Good 3/D defender with potential to play PG if the off the dribble jumper improves.

10. AJ Griffin- Big, strong wing that is an elite shooter. Really strong driver that can finish through contact. Limited quickness can’t beat guys off the dribble and a bad defender because of it. Serious injury concerns with 2 major lower leg injuries before the age of 19.

11. Jalen Duren- Super athletic and strong center with good size. Lob threat offensively. Could grow into that center that can switch everything. Questions on feel defensively and cannot shoot at all. Limited upside offensively.

12. Tari Eason- Athletic forward that is an elite defender. Excellent on the perimeter and good in the paint. The concern is can he provide enough on offense to not hurt his team on that end. Alright post scorer and lob finisher. Completely right hand dominant and horrible passer. Shooting numbers looked okay this year on low volume but were bad the years before and the shot looks mechanically flawed. If I had more confidence in the shot translating he would be higher. The numbers are okay even though it looks bad so I think he will be shooting between 30-33% in the NBA unless he really improves the mechanics of it.

13. Ochai Agbaji- Big guard that is a good shooter, defender, and lob threat. Can shoot at a high level off of movement and spot ups. Struggles shooting off the dribble and creating on offense. Much more of a tertiary spacer, shooter, and cutter offensively. He’s higher than some of the other 3 and D guys because of the defense and movement shooting.

14. Julian Champagnie- Combo forward/big wing that is an excellent shooter. Can shoot off movement, off the dribble, and in spot up situations. Has a good mid-range jumper and is a good cutter. Has a bit of a post-up game offensively and is a decent post defender. Is a good perimeter defender that should be able to switch 1-4 at a high level. Looks like a nice 3&D wing that could play some stretch 4. Doesn’t have a good first step offensively limiting his offensive upside and has some shot selection concerns which impacted overall shooting percentages. Unsure if he was asked to carry a heavy scoring load on a bad team or if he is a chucker.

Comp: Saddiq Bey

15. Dalen Terry- Long wing that is excellent defensively and has the passing ability of a PG. Excellent assist/turnover ratio. Not good at creating his own shot off the dribble but can finish well. Some question on how good his 3 point shot is although it looks okay. Was not a high scorer in college which is somewhat concerning.

16. Christian Braun- 3&D guard. Really athletic and good defender. Good cutter and solid ball mover. Not much offensive creation/off the dribble upside and has a negative wingspan.

Comp: slightly taller Grayson Allen

17. Malaki Branham- Wing with good length and self-creation in the midrange off of the PNR. Good spot up shooter. Struggles with off the dribble 3 pointers and hasn’t showed movement upside. Lacks quickness defensively and a quick first step offensively. Should be a decent defender because of his size.

18. Mark Williams- Strong, big, rim running and rim protecting center. Can score on post ups. Good rebounder, shot blocker and interior defender. Not sure he can develop any shooting range. Seems like he will have to play only in drop coverage due to his lateral quickness.

19. Christian Koloko- Big, rim running and rim protecting center. Good lateral quickness to play in drop or hard hedge. Good interior defender and shot blocker. Might be able to shoot a little. Needs to add strength and a post up game and is pretty old for a center prospect.

20. Johnny Davis- Big guard with a solid mid-range game. Strong defender but not super athletic or long. 3 point shot wasn’t great but could improve in different role. Really bad shot selection that might be a problem. Poor first step to get to the rim.

Comp: Dillon Brooks

21. Jake LaRavia- Combo forward that can stretch the floor and stay in from of wings. Can drive a little and has a good post up game. Solid post defender but not a great shot blocker. Only a stand still catch and shoot 3 point shooter.

Comp: Grant Williams

22. Max Christie- Combo guard that can create his shot in the midrange. Projects as a decent 3-point shooter and defender. Not a good finisher or much of a passer. Likely can fill a bench scorer role with some 3&D potential.

23. Jaden Hardy- Combo guard with a nice looking shot but was really inefficient in the G-league. Okay passer. Slow first step and really bad defender with both physical limitation and effort problems. Probably just a 6th man off the bench.

Comp: Jamal Crawford

24. TyTy Washington- PG that can play off ball. Looks to have a nice shot and to be pretty good at running the pick and roll. Not a lot of upside due to lack of athleticism. Most likely a low end starter or good backup PG in the league.

25. Blake Wesley – Athletic combo guard with a really smooth looking game. Decent defender. Really inefficient in college so probably more of a bench scorer but could see some upside with the athleticism and nice looking shot.

26. Dyson Daniels- Big wing that is a good defender and passer. Has a nice floater. Not a good shooter. Poor athlete with a slow first step. Not a good finisher, gets blocked a lot.

Comp: Kyle Anderson

2nd round Sleepers- These are guys that I think have a chance of becoming good role players depending on how they develop and what kind of opportunities they get. Some of these guys will likely be available as undrafted free agents as well.

1. Gabe Brown- 3&D wing

2. Andrew Nembhard- backup PG

3. Collin Gillespe- backup PG. Small but a really good shooter

4. John Butler- 3&D wing with nice length not much strength

5. Gabriele Procide- 3&D wing

6. Ryan Rollins- Back up/bench scorer

7. Keon Ellis- 3&D guard

8. Drew Peterson -backup PG

9. Ismael Kamagate- mobile 5?

10. Justin Lewis- 3&D wing?

11. Jabari Walker- Stretch 4 with questionable shot?

12. Ron Harper Jr.- Stretch 4?

13. Orlando Robinson- Stretch 5

14. Jordan Hall- Tall backup PG

15. Vince Williams Jr- 3&D guard

16. Kofi Cockburn- big center